Weekend weather brief – October 1/2, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 01/02 OCT

NWPAC outlook, 01/02 OCT

NORTH

As we roll into the first weekend of October, cooler changes are on the horizon for the north region. A bit of cooler and drier air has ushered in the feel of autumn over much of the region, but a stalled cold front draped over central Japan and extending westward into Korea and eastern China will keep things damp at times this weekend. Japan is keeping a close eye on tropical storm 21W CHABA, as forecasts take the system near Okinawa, and into the mainland islands of Japan next week.

City

Sat High

C        F

Sun High

C       F

Conditions

Sat                         Sun

Ulaanbaatar

11

52 10 50 Partly cloudy

Partly cloudy

Vladivostok

20

68 21 70 Mostly fair

Mostly fair

Beijing

26

79 28 82 Partly cloudy

Mostly fair

Seoul

26

79 19 66 Partly cloudy

Periods of rain

Tokyo

21

70 27 81 Periods of rain

Mostly fair

Xi’an

29

84 31 88 Partly cloudy

Mostly fair

Shanghai

29

84 30 86 Sctd. t-storms

Sctd. t-storms

 

CENTRAL

The central region will see a mix of weather conditions this weekend, with most of the precipitation falling over the coastal areas of southeastern China. Temperatures will be seasonably warm across the region, as the cooler air stays to the north for the time being. All in all, it should shape up to be a rather pleasant weekend over the region. Looking ahead, residents of Okinawa are preparing for the onslaught of tropical storm 21W CHABA, which is expected to be a strong typhoon as it passes near the island late on Monday. More details on CHABA are available in the ‘tropics’ section of this update.

City

Sat High

C       F

Sun High

C       F

Conditions

Sat                         Sun

Kunming

18

64 24 75 Thunderstorms

Mostly fair

Hong Kong

30

86 31 88 Sctd. t-storms

Sctd. t-storms

Taipei

32

90 33 91 Partly cloudy

Mostly fair

Naha

31

88 31 88 Mostly fair

Partly cloudy

Hanoi

32

90 33 91 Mostly fair

Partly cloudy

 

SOUTH

Autumn has not even given an inkling that it is headed to the south region, as deep tropical moisture combines with a daily dose of sunshine to bring showers and thunderstorms to much of the region. A recent monsoonal surge has been making things difficult over western provinces of Luzon in the Philippines, with flooding rainfall occurring the past two days. A weak low pressure area over northern Indochina will ramp up rain chances across northern Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia through tomorrow. The remainder of the region will see more of the same, but not enough to dampen spirits on the first weekend of October.

City

Sat High

C       F

Sun High

C       F

Conditions

Sat                         Sun

Siem Reap

31

88 32 90 Thunderstorms

Thunderstorms

Ho Chi Minh

32

90 32 90 Sctd. t-storms

Sctd. t-storms

Manila

31

88 31 88 Thunderstorms

Sctd. t-storms

Davao City

33

91 32 90 Thunderstorms

Sctd. t-storms

Brunei

32

90 33 91 Sctd. t-storms

Sctd. t-storms

Singapore

32

90 32 90 Thunderstorms

Thunderstorms

 

TROPICS

The tropics are ripe and churning out plenty of energy as we get into the latter part of the season. Things are a bit quiet now, but attention is clearly focused on tropical storm 21W CHABA.

TAAG, 01 OCT

TAAG, 01 OCT

Severe tropical storm 21W CHABA continues to slowly strengthen as the path shifts a bit more to the NW now. Current forecasts continue to fall in better alignment, taking the system VERY close to Okinawa Monday and Tuesday as a relatively strong typhoon. Of course, with a typhoon, it’s all about location, so residents in Okinawa are watching this storm closely, and hoping it passes to the east, rather than directly overhead or west of the island. For more details on this developing situation, please see the full report by Meteorologist Robert Speta here.

21W full, 01 OCT

21W full, 01 OCT

Another weak area of disturbed weather is being watched as 99W INVEST continues to track slowly westward. Current computer models are in pretty good agreement on this system, showing a weak storm approaching the northern Philippines and Luzon Strait late next week.

99W INVEST, 01 OCT

99W INVEST, 01 OCT

The remainder of the region will see a good chance for showers and thunderstorms over the weekend, with the best weather being found in eastern Micronesia and Wake Island.

City

Sat High

C       F

Sun High

C       F

Conditions

Sat                        Sun

Guam

31

88 29 84 Sctd. t-storms

Thunderstorms

Yap

30

86 30 86 Thunderstorms

Thunderstorms

Palau

29

84 29 84 Sctd. t-storms

Thunderstorms

Chuuk

29

84 30 86 Sctd. t-storms

Partly cloudy

Pohnpei

32

90 29 84 Partly cloudy

Sctd. t-storms

Majuro

29

84 28 82 Sctd. t-storms

Sctd. t-storms

Wake

31

88 30 86 Partly cloudy

Sctd. t-storms

 

Have a wonderful weekend!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, NRL, JMA, JTWC

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