Daily weather brief – Friday, October 7, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 07 OCT

NWPAC outlook, 07 OCT

NORTH

Much cooler and drier autumn air is settling across much of the north region as the latest surge from Siberia rolls through. The coolest temperatures of the season are in place across Mongolia and northern and central China, while areas to the south and east deal with increased tropical moisture and slightly warmer temperatures. A frontal systems associated with the latest surge is sweeping through northern and central China and is combining with plenty of tropical moisture that has recently been introduced to the area from CHABA earlier in the week, squeezing out plentiful clouds and showers along the boundary.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Ulaanbaatar

3

-8 37 18

Partly cloudy

Vladivostok

14

12 57 54

Partly cloudy

Beijing

16

9 61 48

Periods of rain

Seoul

25

17 77 63

Mostly cloudy

Tokyo

22

18 72 64

Mostly fair

Xi’an

19

11 66 52

Periods of rain

Shanghai

26

22 79 72

Scattered thunderstorms likely

 

CENTRAL

Tropical storm 22W AERE’s close proximity to China’s southeastern coast will bring numerous thunderstorms to coastal China and offshore locations today as the large monsoonal system drifts to the west-southwest. Scattered showers will also fall along the tail of a significant frontal system passing through the high country of central China. Southern China and northern Indochina should see a relatively nice, albeit a bit balmy, day due to copious moisture over the area and warm air advection ahead of the frontal system.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Kunming

22

13 72 55

Scattered showers likely

Hong Kong

32

27 90 81

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Taipei

29

25 84 77

Scattered showers likely

Naha

29

27 84 81

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Hanoi

34

24 93 75

Mostly fair

 

SOUTH

Tropical storm 22W AERE continues to spin up northwest of the Philippines today as it begins to take a more west-southwesterly course over the northern South China Sea. This large monsoonal system will continue to generate showers and thunderstorms for coastal locations of the South China Sea as it maintains strength and continues along the forecasted track. The remainder of the south region will also see a good chance for showers and thunderstorms as deep tropical moisture gets a lift from the warm afternoon sun.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Siem Reap

29

24 84 79

Thunderstorms likely

Ho Chi Minh

31

24 88 75

Thunderstorms likely

Manila

30

26 86 79

Thunderstorms likely

Davao City

32

24 90 75

Thunderstorms likely

Brunei

31

24 88 75

Mostly cloudy

Singapore

29

26 84 79

Thunderstorms likely

 

TROPICS

The tropics have quieted down just a bit with tropical storm 22W AERE taking center stage.

TAAG, 07 OCT

TAAG, 07 OCT

Tropical storm 22W AERE is maintaining strength as it tracks west-southwestward along the southeastern coast of China. The latest forecasts show less influence on the storm’s track from an incoming continental surge, as the timing will be just a bit delayed on the front’s encroachment into the region. The system resembles a monsoon-type system, with a vast precipitation field and rather uniform wind field extending well away from the center of circulation. AERE is expected to continue tracking to the west-southwest towards northern Vietnam, while starting to weaken as cooler and drier air from the north gets caught up in the circulation and shuts down the “engine”.

22W full, 07 OCT

22W full, 07 OCT

Sub-tropical low 94C INVEST continues to spin far to the east, bringing some showers and thunderstorms to Wake Island. This system is expected to drift west-northwestward, with a turn to the north and northeast in the coming days.

94C full, 07 OCT

94C full, 07 OCT

Elsewhere, plentiful moisture will get a lift from the warm afternoon sun to squeeze out numerous showers and thunderstorms across most locations in the region.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Guam

30

26 86 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Yap

30

26 86 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Palau

29

27 84 81

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Chuuk

31

26 88 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Pohnpei

31

23 88 73

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Majuro

29

27 84 81

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Wake

29

26 84 79

Thunderstorms likely

 

Have a fabulous Friday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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