WesternPacificWeather.com

NORTH

Residents of the north region are waking up to some very crisp temperatures as cool autumn air settles into the region. The latest frontal system is lingering just east of Japan, and will bring some clouds to the central portion of the archipelago as it clears out. Warm air overriding the cooler air at the surface will also keep skies cloudy over the central Chinese highlands. Everyone else will see a very nice day, with cool afternoon highs and plenty of sunshine.

City	High/Low C		High/Low F		Conditions
Ulaanbaatar	2	-7	36	19	Partly cloudy
Vladivostok	13	4	55	39	Mostly fair
Beijing	18	9	64	48	Mostly fair
Seoul	19	8	66	46	Mostly fair
Tokyo	18	14	64	57	Mostly cloudy
Xi’an	18	11	64	52	Mostly cloudy
Shanghai	22	18	72	64	Partly cloudy

 

CENTRAL

Tropical storm 22W AERE continues to sit just offshore of southeastern China, bringing rain to coastal locales as well as Taiwan today. Cooler air has filtered down into parts of the region, helping bring a feel of autumn to many locations. Showers and thunderstorms are likely across much of the region, thanks to the tail end of a frontal system slogging through, with southern China and northern Indochina being the exceptions.

City	High/Low C		High/Low F		Conditions
Kunming	21	15	70	59	Thunderstorms possible
Hong Kong	29	23	84	73	Partly cloudy
Taipei	26	24	79	75	Periods of rain
Naha	29	26	84	79	Thunderstorms likely
Hanoi	33	24	91	75	Partly cloudy

 

SOUTH

Tropical storm 22W AERE continues to pump is moisture and showers into western provinces of northern Luzon in the Philippines as the system weakens in the South China Sea. Elsewhere, tropical moisture remains entrenched over the region, and will combine with the warm afternoon sunshine to lift up some showers and thunderstorms across much of the region.

City	High/Low C		High/Low F		Conditions
Siem Reap	31	24	88	75	Thunderstorms likely
Ho Chi Minh	31	24	88	75	Thunderstorms likely
Manila	29	25	84	77	Thunderstorms likely
Davao City	32	24	90	75	Thunderstorms likely
Brunei	31	24	88	75	Scattered thunderstorms likely
Singapore	33	26	91	79	Scattered thunderstorms likely

 

TROPICS

Officially speaking, things are getting busy in the tropics, however, not much is expected to affect any major populated areas over the course of the next two weeks.

Tropical storm 22W AERE continues to weaken as hostile atmospheric conditions set up in the area. Although currently in a favorable VWS (Vertical Wind Shear) environment, much higher winds are located along the northern periphery of the system. Another factor would be much drier air that the system has entrained into its circulation, thanks to some recent continental surges passing through to the north. The storm is expected to start tracking to the southwest while dissipating over the next 48 hours.

Severe tropical storm 23W SONGDA is looking quite impressive in the central WPAC, and if this system were located to the south and west, we would have a serious problem on our hands. As things are, however, the system is far away from any major landmasses, and will stay that way through its life span as forecasts show a strengthening trend over the next 48 hours, combined with a slow recurvature to the north and northeast, ultimately transitioning into an extra-tropical system and being swept up in the baroclinic zone by week’s end.

The N.R.L. (Naval Research Laboratory) has designated two other areas of disturbed weather as 91W and 92W INVEST. Neither of these areas is very impressively structured and current long-range computer forecast models show no development of these systems in any way, shape, or form.

Elsewhere across the tropics, it will be a day of the usual showers and thunderstorms as the deep moisture across the region gets a nice lift from the warm afternoon sun.

City	High/Low C		High/Low F		Conditions
Guam	31	27	88	81	Partly cloudy
Yap	30	26	86	79	Thunderstorms possible
Palau	28	27	82	81	Scattered thunderstorms possible
Chuuk	30	26	86	79	Thunderstorms possible
Pohnpei	27	21	81	70	Scattered thunderstorms possible
Majuro	29	27	84	81	Scattered thunderstorms possible
Wake	30	27	86	81	Partly cloudy

 

Have a marvelous Monday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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