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Daily weather brief – Monday, October 10, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 10 OCT

NWPAC outlook, 10 OCT

NORTH

Residents of the north region are waking up to some very crisp temperatures as cool autumn air settles into the region. The latest frontal system is lingering just east of Japan, and will bring some clouds to the central portion of the archipelago as it clears out. Warm air overriding the cooler air at the surface will also keep skies cloudy over the central Chinese highlands. Everyone else will see a very nice day, with cool afternoon highs and plenty of sunshine.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Ulaanbaatar

2

-7 36 19

Partly cloudy

Vladivostok

13

4 55 39

Mostly fair

Beijing

18

9 64 48

Mostly fair

Seoul

19

8 66 46

Mostly fair

Tokyo

18

14 64 57

Mostly cloudy

Xi’an

18

11 64 52

Mostly cloudy

Shanghai

22

18 72 64

Partly cloudy

 

CENTRAL

Tropical storm 22W AERE continues to sit just offshore of southeastern China, bringing rain to coastal locales as well as Taiwan today. Cooler air has filtered down into parts of the region, helping bring a feel of autumn to many locations. Showers and thunderstorms are likely across much of the region, thanks to the tail end of a frontal system slogging through, with southern China and northern Indochina being the exceptions.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Kunming

21

15 70 59

Thunderstorms possible

Hong Kong

29

23 84 73

Partly cloudy

Taipei

26

24 79 75

Periods of rain

Naha

29

26 84 79

Thunderstorms likely

Hanoi

33

24 91 75

Partly cloudy

 

SOUTH

Tropical storm 22W AERE continues to pump is moisture and showers into western provinces of northern Luzon in the Philippines as the system weakens in the South China Sea. Elsewhere, tropical moisture remains entrenched over the region, and will combine with the warm afternoon sunshine to lift up some showers and thunderstorms across much of the region.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Siem Reap

31

24 88 75

Thunderstorms likely

Ho Chi Minh

31

24 88 75

Thunderstorms likely

Manila

29

25 84 77

Thunderstorms likely

Davao City

32

24 90 75

Thunderstorms likely

Brunei

31

24 88 75

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Singapore

33

26 91 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely

 

TROPICS

Officially speaking, things are getting busy in the tropics, however, not much is expected to affect any major populated areas over the course of the next two weeks.

TAAG, 10 OCT

TAAG, 10 OCT

Tropical storm 22W AERE continues to weaken as hostile atmospheric conditions set up in the area. Although currently in a favorable VWS (Vertical Wind Shear) environment, much higher winds are located along the northern periphery of the system. Another factor would be much drier air that the system has entrained into its circulation, thanks to some recent continental surges passing through to the north. The storm is expected to start tracking to the southwest while dissipating over the next 48 hours.

22W full, 10 OCT

22W full, 10 OCT

Severe tropical storm 23W SONGDA is looking quite impressive in the central WPAC, and if this system were located to the south and west, we would have a serious problem on our hands. As things are, however, the system is far away from any major landmasses, and will stay that way through its life span as forecasts show a strengthening trend over the next 48 hours, combined with a slow recurvature to the north and northeast, ultimately transitioning into an extra-tropical system and being swept up in the baroclinic zone by week’s end.

23W full, 10 OCT

23W full, 10 OCT

The N.R.L. (Naval Research Laboratory) has designated two other areas of disturbed weather as 91W and 92W INVEST. Neither of these areas is very impressively structured and current long-range computer forecast models show no development of these systems in any way, shape, or form.

INVEST full, 10 OCT

INVEST full, 10 OCT

Elsewhere across the tropics, it will be a day of the usual showers and thunderstorms as the deep moisture across the region gets a nice lift from the warm afternoon sun.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Guam

31

27 88 81

Partly cloudy

Yap

30

26 86 79

Thunderstorms possible

Palau

28

27 82 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Chuuk

30

26 86 79

Thunderstorms possible

Pohnpei

27

21 81 70

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Majuro

29

27 84 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Wake

30

27 86 81

Partly cloudy

 

Have a marvelous Monday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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