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NORTH

Temperatures across the north region continue to drop as round after round of cooler and drier air from the northwest continues to push through. The latest infusion has lowered temperatures across the northwestern two-thirds of the region as the frontal system continues to move to the east, just offshore of Japan. Skies will be cloudy over the Korean peninsula and eastern China, while japan will see a good chance for rainfall through the day. While it will be a bit chilly in portions of northern China and Mongolia, the remainder of the region will enjoy a comfortably warm afternoon.

City	High/Low C		High/Low F		Conditions
Ulaanbaatar	8	-4	46	25	Partly cloudy
Vladivostok	18	6	64	43	Partly cloudy
Beijing	20	9	68	48	Partly cloudy
Seoul	22	11	72	52	Mostly cloudy
Tokyo	21	18	70	64	Periods of rain
Xi’an	25	12	77	54	Partly cloudy
Shanghai	23	19	73	66	Mostly cloudy

 

CENTRAL

As slightly cooler air settles in over the south-central high country of China, locations to the east and south with see warm, moist air in place, with a chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Northern Vietnam and southern China are closely monitoring the progress of typhoon 24W SARIKA as it tracks west-northwestward over the South China Sea. The system is expected to affect these areas starting tomorrow as the system strengthens before one final series of landfall events over Hainan Island and into the continent near the Vietnam/China border.

City	High/Low C		High/Low F		Conditions
Kunming	17	12	63	54	Thunderstorms possible
Hong Kong	29	25	84	77	Scattered showers possible
Taipei	31	25	88	77	Scattered thunderstorms possible
Naha	29	26	84	79	Scattered thunderstorms possible
Hanoi	34	24	93	75	Partly cloudy

 

SOUTH

Residents of the central and eastern provinces of Luzon in the Philippines are picking up the pieces left behind by typhoon 24W SARIKA, also named “Karen” by the Philippines’ state weather agency PAGASA, which made landfall very early Sunday morning local time. The system is now in the South China Sea and is tracking towards northern Vietnam and southern China. Now the attention in the Philippines turns back to the east, as typhoon 25W HAIMA gets wound up, with current forecasts showing a very powerful system coming quite close to extreme northern Luzon later this week. For more information on these systems, please see the “tropics” section of this report. Elsewhere across the south, it will be another typical day of scattered to numerous thunderstorms, especially over the central and southern portions of Indochina, as the tropical moisture gets lifted up by the warm afternoon sun.

City	High/Low C		High/Low F		Conditions
Siem Reap	31	24	88	75	Thunderstorms likely
Ho Chi Minh	31	24	88	75	Thunderstorms likely
Manila	31	25	88	79	Thunderstorms possible
Davao City	33	24	91	75	Scattered thunderstorms possible
Brunei	33	24	91	75	Scattered thunderstorms likely
Singapore	31	26	88	79	Scattered thunderstorms likely

 

TROPICS

Two systems remain in the NWPAC today, as 24W SARIKA moves towards southern China and northern Vietnam, and 25W HAIMA gathers strength in western Micronesia.

Typhoon 24W SARIKA, also named “Karen” by the Philippines’ state weather agency PAGASA, continues to re-gather itself as it tracks to the west-northwest of the warm water of the South China Sea. This storm left a narrow wake of destruction over portions of eastern and central Luzon in the Philippines as it made landfall early Sunday morning. The storm is expected to strengthen back to a category 2 storm on the Saffir-Simpson scale before making landfall in Hainan Island during the day tomorrow, with a final landfall in northern Vietnam as a weakened shell of its former self.

Typhoon 25W HAIMA is quickly gathering strength in western Micronesia as conditions continue to favor development of the storm. HAIMA has big plans, as current forecasts show this system to reach a peak intensity near 145kt (269kph), a strong category 5 super typhoon on the Saffir-Simpson scale, sometime overnight Tuesday/Wednesday before passing very close to, and perhaps making landfall at, the extreme northeastern tip of the island of Luzon in the Philippines during the day Wednesday. Residents of the Philippines are urged to monitor the progress of this system closely over the next 48 hours.

Elsewhere in the tropics, with plenty of moisture in place, the warm sunshine will find it easy to stir up scattered showers and thunderstorms across the region, with Yap and Palau seeing increased chances due to the proximity of HAIMA.

City	High/Low C		High/Low F		Conditions
Guam	31	27	88	81	Scattered thunderstorms likely
Yap	29	26	84	79	Tropical storm conditions
Palau	29	27	84	81	Thunderstorms likely
Chuuk	31	27	88	81	Scattered thunderstorms likely
Pohnpei	28	22	82	72	Partly cloudy
Majuro	29	27	84	81	Scattered thunderstorms likely
Wake	29	26	84	79	Scattered thunderstorms likely

 

Have a marvelous Monday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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