Weekend weather brief – October 22/23, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 22/23 OCT

NWPAC outlook, 22/23 OCT

NORTH

The newest surge of cooler air is making its way across the north region through the weekend. The frontal system associated with the new surge is currently moving through southeastern Russia and the D.P.R.K., extending to the west and south back into central China. This front will press through mainland Asia, and will be passing through Japan and maritime locations early next week. Temperatures are falling significantly behind this system, with single-digit highs forecast for the northerly locales, and teens extending as far south as Korea and central China through the weekend. The Korean peninsula and parts of eastern and central China will see a good deal of cloudiness this weekend, thanks to the front’s interaction with remnants of HAIMA moving to the northwest through the eastern portions of the region. Most other locations will be clearing out nicely through Sunday. Long-range forecasts are hinting at an even stronger Siberian surge to start moving through next week, which could bring significant changes for the entire region.

City

Sat High

C        F

Sun High

C        F

Conditions

Sat                          Sun

Ulaanbaatar

6

43 6 43 Partly cloudy

Mostly cloudy

Vladivostok

4

39 8 46 Snow showers

Mostly fair

Beijing

13

55 14 57 Partly cloudy

Partly cloudy

Seoul

21

70 16 61 Partly cloudy

Mostly cloudy

Tokyo

18

64 22 72 Mostly cloudy

Partly cloudy

Xi’an

18

64 15 59 Mostly cloudy

Mostly cloudy

Shanghai

23

73 23 73 Periods of rain

Mostly cloudy

 

CENTRAL

The remnants of HAIMA continue to plague parts of the central region this weekend, as the remnant low tracks to the northeast across southeastern China. This system still represents a great risk for flooding rainfall and possible landslides as it moves through the more mountainous terrain of the region. Just about everyone will see a chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms through the weekend, with locales in the high country of south-central China being spared any inclement weather. Temperatures will be very warm across the region, due to warm air advection ahead of a significant Siberian surge to the north.

City

Sat High

C        F

Sun High

C        F

Conditions

Sat                         Sun

Kunming

23

73 23 73 Mostly fair

Partly cloudy

Hong Kong

29

84 30 86 Sctd. t-storms

Partly cloudy

Taipei

32

90 31 88 Sctd. t-storms

Thunderstorms

Naha

31

88 29 84 Partly cloudy

Sctd. t-storms

Hanoi

27

81 34 93 Sctd. showers

Partly cloudy

 

SOUTH

Things have quieted down significantly across the south region, as the tropics take a rest. Deep moisture remains over the region, so as always, a good dose of warm afternoon sunshine will lift up that moisture in many spots, generating scattered showers and thunderstorms across much of the region.

City

Sat High

C        F

Sun High

C        F

Conditions

Sat                         Sun

Siem Reap

31

88 31 88 Thunderstorms

Thunderstorms

Ho Chi Minh

31

88 32 90 Thunderstorms

Thunderstorms

Manila

33

91 33 91 Sctd. t-storms

Partly cloudy

Davao City

32

90 32 90 Sctd. t-storms

Thunderstorms

Brunei

33

91 31 88 Partly cloudy

Thunderstorms

Singapore

32

90 32 90 Thunderstorms

Thunderstorms

 

TROPICS

As the remnants of 25W HAIMA rain themselves out over southeastern China, we find that the tropics have gone silent following a very busy 10-day period which saw two significant tropical cyclones hit the Philippines.

TAAG, 22 OCT

TAAG, 22 OCT

Tropical cyclone “double-taps” are actually quite common in the Philippines, but rarely do we get two storms of this magnitude striking within a week of each other. The east coast of the island of Luzon was hammered through the whole stretch, from the Bicol region, all the way north to Cagayan province in the extreme north. Residents will be happy to know that at this time, there are no other systems forecasted to affect the region for the next 10 days.

Elsewhere across the tropics, scattered pockets of convergence continue to track westward within the I.T.C.Z. (Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone), bringing a good chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms to most locations within the region.

City

Sat High

C        F

Sun High

C        F

Conditions

Sat                         Sun

Guam

31

88 32 90 Sctd. t-storms

Sctd. t-storms

Yap

31

88 29 84 Sctd. t-storms

Partly cloudy

Palau

31

88 30 86 Sctd. t-storms

Sctd. t-storms

Chuuk

32

90 31 88 Sctd. t-storms

Partly cloudy

Pohnpei

31

88 30 86 Partly cloudy

Thunderstorms

Majuro

29

84 30 86 Sctd. t-storms

Sctd. t-storms

Wake

29

84 29 84 Thunderstorms

Thunderstorms

 

Have a wonderful weekend!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, NRL, JMA, JTWC

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