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Daily weather brief – Thursday, October 27, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 27 OCT

NWPAC outlook, 27 OCT

NORTH

A train of cold fronts are crossing the north region as mid-autumn starts to transition to winter in some locations. Very cold air has settled in over Mongolia and northern China, as well as northern third of Japan. Cooler air has moved through the remainder of the region, and the surges are just getting started. Today will be a carbon-copy to yesterday for most locations as north-central and northeast China will see rain as the coldest surge yet pushes through, while lingering moisture keeps things wet and cloudy in eastern China and Korea. The remainder of the region will enjoy a bright sunny day with cool autumn temperatures.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Ulaanbaatar

-4

-16 25 3

Mostly fair

Vladivostok

8

-2 46 28

Mostly fair

Beijing

11

7 52 45

Periods of rain

Seoul

20

12 68 54

Mostly cloudy

Tokyo

21

11 70 52

Mostly fair

Xi’an

12

7 54 45

Scattered showers likely

Shanghai

22

20 72 68

Periods of rain

 

CENTRAL

Fair and warm weather will dominate the central region, as warm air piles up ahead of a series of cold surges that are forecast to start moving through this weekend. A few thunderstorms are likely in the higher terrain of south-central China, while everyone else enjoys a very warm, mostly cloud-free day.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Kunming

21

14 70 57

Thunderstorms possible

Hong Kong

32

26 90 79

Mostly fair

Taipei

33

25 91 77

Mostly fair

Naha

29

26 84 79

Partly cloudy

Hanoi

32

24 90 75

Partly cloudy

 

SOUTH

Widespread scattered showers and thunderstorms are on tap for much of the south region as tropical moisture remains well in place, and gets a lift from the warm afternoon sun. The northern Philippines will once again see the lowest chances for rainfall as high pressure continues to mostly dominate the local weather scene there.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Siem Reap

32

23 90 73

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Ho Chi Minh

31

24 88 75

Thunderstorms possible

Manila

33

26 91 79

Partly cloudy

Davao City

31

24 88 75

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Brunei

31

24 88 75

Thunderstorms possible

Singapore

31

24 88 75

Thunderstorms possible

 

TROPICS

The tropics are still fairly active, although still in a resting stage following the activity of last week.

TAAG, 27 OCT

TAAG, 27 OCT

97W INVEST continues to linger out near eastern Micronesia as it drifts slowly westward along the general flow of the I.T.C.Z. (Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone). Long-range computer models show this system could form into a significant tropical system as we enter November, but current forecasts show no affect to any major land areas. The wildcard with this potential system is a surge of cold air, the first significant surge of the season that will move down into the region as we enter the new month. This will determine a lot in relation to this developing situation. 99W INVEST has been designated in the Marshall Islands but current long-range forecasts show no development of this system.

ALLINVEST, 27 OCT

ALLINVEST, 27 OCT

Elsewhere across the tropics, it will be another Chamber of Commerce type weather day, with widely scattered showers and thunderstorms under bright and warm sunshine, except in eastern Micronesia and the Marshall Islands where 97W and 98W linger and bring an increased opportunity for precipitation.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Guam

32

26 90 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Yap

29

26 84 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Palau

31

26 88 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Chuuk

31

26 88 79

Thunderstorms likely

Pohnpei

30

24 86 75

Thunderstorms likely

Majuro

30

28 86 82

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Wake

30

27 86 81

Partly cloudy

 

Have a thoughtful Thursday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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