Daily weather brief – Thursday, November 3, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 03 NOV

NORTH

Temperatures are rebounding a bit across the north region, ahead of the next surge of Siberian air to come down this weekend. Most of the region will see a rather pleasant day ahead as temperatures settle into comfortably cool autumn levels under fair to partly cloudy skies.

CENTRAL

Temperatures are slightly cooler today across most of the central region as the latest Siberian surge settles in and moderates a bit. Aside from lingering clouds in the mountains of south-central China, and lingering moisture and showers being pumped in from the northeast across Taiwan, the region should see a good day ahead with mild daytime highs and just a few scattered clouds.

SOUTH

Most attention in the south region is turned to the east with the developments of newly-designated tropical storm MEARI. However, for today, the weather will be relatively benign as tropical moisture stays locked in over most of the region, serving up an offering of afternoon showers and thunderstorms later this afternoon across much of the region.

TROPICS

The tropical situation has settled into two designated systems in the form of tropical depression 99W INVEST, and newly-designated tropical storm 1623/26W MEARI.

TAAG, 03 NOV

Tropical storm 1623/26W MEARI has been upgraded to its current status by J.M.A. (Japan Meteorological Agency) as it slowly gets better organized between the Mariana Islands and the Philippines. There is still very little consensus on the actual track and strength estimates of this system, due to the vastly changing atmospheric conditions in the general area of the system. In the near-term, the system is expected to get stronger while moving VERY slowly to the west. Beyond that, it’s anyone’s guess what will happen, but the system is being monitored very closely for any developments.

26W MEARI full, 03 NOV

TD/99W INVEST continues to wobble about near the Mariana Islands, and is playing a bit of a tug-of-war with MEARI for moisture. This system is expected to track mostly northwest, before turning poleward and leaving the area as an extra-tropical cyclone this weekend.

99W INVEST full, 03 NOV

Elsewhere across the region, with lots of moisture and energy to play with, the afternoon sun will lift up the damp air and help stir up showers and thunderstorms across much of the region.

Have a thrilling Thursday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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