Weekend weather brief – November 5/6, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 05/06 NOV

NWPAC outlook, 05/06 NOV

NORTH

Another surge of wintry air will make its way through the north region this weekend, bringing a good dose of snow and dropping temperatures significantly across the northern portion of the region. The current frontal system is draped across the northern third of the region, stretching back to the southwest and west from southeastern Russia to north-central China. Temperatures ahead of the front are warming up a bit due to warm air advection leading the system, and readings behind the front are a great deal colder, with Mongolia, north-central China and southeastern Russia staying locked in the deep freeze this weekend. The front will move slowly to the south and east, bringing all but the easternmost and southernmost locales under the cold snap by tomorrow.

City

Sat High

C        F

Sun High

C        F

Conditions

Sat                          Sun

Ulaanbaatar

-2

28 -7 19 Periods of snow

Snow showers

Vladivostok

-2

28 -3 27 Periods of snow

Mostly fair

Beijing

18

66 9 48 Fog

Mostly fair

Seoul

19

66 15 59 Sctd. showers

Mostly cloudy

Tokyo

20

68 19 66 Partly cloudy

Mostly fair

Xi’an

22

72 16 61 Partly cloudy

Periods of rain

Shanghai

23

73 22 72 Mostly fair

Partly cloudy

 

CENTRAL

Temperatures are comfortably mild across the central region as high pressure builds into the region from the northwest. A weak disturbance will slide through south-central China and bring a few showers through Sunday. Moisture moving up from the south will also help generate some showers in northern Indochina over the weekend. The remainder of the region will see pleasant weather, with lots of sunshine and cool autumn temperatures.

City

Sat High

C        F

Sun High

C        F

Conditions

Sat                         Sun

Kunming

21

70 22 72 Partly cloudy

Partly cloudy

Hong Kong

27

81 27 81 Partly cloudy

Mostly fair

Taipei

27

81 27 81 Partly cloudy

Partly cloudy

Naha

27

81 27 81 Mostly fair

Mostly fair

Hanoi

30

86 28 82 Partly cloudy

Sctd. showers

 

SOUTH

A new tropical depression near southeastern Vietnam will make it a rainy weekend across much of southern Indochina, as the weak system moves slowly to the west-northwest. The biggest threat of this system is rainfall, as development is not expected. The Philippines can relax a bit as severe tropical storm/typhoon 26W MEARI moves off to the northeast slowly. A lingering trough of low pressure extending southwest of MEARI will keep clouds and rain over much of the southern Philippines through the weekend. The remainder of the region will see a weekend full of typical afternoon showers and thunderstorms with warm temperatures each day.

City

Sat High

C        F

Sun High

C        F

Conditions

Sat                         Sun

Siem Reap

32

90 29 84 Mostly cloudy

Periods of rain

Ho Chi Minh

28

82 30 86 Periods of rain

Periods of rain

Manila

32

90 31 88 Sctd. t-storms

Sctd. showers

Davao City

32

90 32 90 Sctd. t-storms

Sctd. t-storms

Brunei

31

88 31 88 Sctd. t-storms

Thunderstorms

Singapore

30

86 31 88 Thunderstorms

Sctd. t-storms

 

TROPICS

As we enter the weekend, we are left to deal with two tropical systems in the region, as 26W MEARI moves out to sea, and a new tropical depression makes things wet across southern Vietnam.

TAAG, 05 NOV

TAAG, 05 NOV

Sever tropical storm 1623/26W MEARI, designated as a typhoon by the J.T.W.C. (Joint Typhoon Warning Center), continues to track slowly to the northeast today. MEARI absorbed much of the remnant moisture from 99W INVEST, after completely absorbing 91W on Friday. The system is expected to strength slightly as it gets caught up in the general baroclinic flow, and will be jettisoned out to sea without affecting any major landmass directly.

26W MEARI full, 05 NOV

26W MEARI full, 05 NOV

J.M.A. (Japan Meteorological Agency) has designated an area of disturbed weather southeast of Vietnam a new tropical depression, while J.T.W.C. keeps the system weak as a disturbance, but has issued a T.C.F.A. (Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert). This system will not strengthen much do to its movement and its proximity to land. However, southern Vietnam and Cambodia can expect quite a bit of rainfall pout of this system as it moves inland over the weekend.

92W INVEST full, 05 NOV

92W INVEST full, 05 NOV

The remainder of the region can expect a decent chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms over the weekend, with Wake Island being a notable exception as drier continental air filters in and keeps the skies partly cloudy.

City

Sat High

C        F

Sun High

C        F

Conditions

Sat                         Sun

Guam

30

86 30 86 Sctd. t-storms

Thunderstorms

Yap

31

88 29 84 Sctd. t-storms

Thunderstorms

Palau

31

88 29 84 Sctd. t-storms

Thunderstorms

Chuuk

29

84 31 88 Thunderstorms

Partly cloudy

Pohnpei

28

82 29 84 Thunderstorms

Thunderstorms

Majuro

31

88 29 84 Thunderstorms

Sctd. showers

Wake

30

86 30 86 Partly cloudy

Partly cloudy

 

Have a wonderful weekend!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, NRL, JMA, JTWC

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