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NORTH

Another surge of cold air is entering the region from the north, bringing wintry conditions to Mongolia, northern China, and southeastern Russia. The leading edge of the first surge is hanging offshore of Japan, helping generate clouds and occasional heavy showers over the archipelago. Temperatures across the region will definitely have the feel of autumn, with slightly milder temperatures as you travel to the south.

City	High/Low C		High/Low F		Conditions
Ulaanbaatar	-8	-21	18	-6	Snow showers likely
Vladivostok	4	-4	39	25	Snow showers likely
Beijing	10	1	50	34	Partly cloudy
Seoul	14	4	57	39	Partly cloudy
Tokyo	13	10	55	50	Periods of rain
Xi’an	18	6	64	43	Partly cloudy
Shanghai	18	13	64	55	Mostly fair

 

CENTRAL

The leading edge of the latest cold surge has pulled up stationary over northern Indochina, extending eastward along the southern Chinese coast. The boundary has pulled well enough away that skies will be partly cloudy for most locations, with a chance for showers in the high country of south-central China. Temperatures will be mild across the region, with fairly uniform readings throughout.

City	High/Low C		High/Low F		Conditions
Kunming	18	12	64	54	Scattered showers possible
Hong Kong	24	22	75	72	Partly cloudy
Taipei	23	21	73	70	Partly cloudy
Naha	24	21	75	70	Mostly fair
Hanoi	24	18	75	64	Partly cloudy

 

SOUTH

Much of the northern half of the south region has dried out nicely as the air mass form the north settles into the region. A stalled frontal boundary is draped over northern Indochina, helping generate clouds and showers for northern reaches of Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are also possible in the southern half of the region, which remains untouched by the cooler, drier air from the north.

City	High/Low C		High/Low F		Conditions
Siem Reap	32	23	90	73	Scattered thunderstorms possible
Ho Chi Minh	32	24	90	75	Partly cloudy
Manila	32	24	90	75	Partly cloudy
Davao City	32	24	90	75	Scattered thunderstorms possible
Brunei	31	24	88	75	Thunderstorms possible
Singapore	30	24	86	75	Thunderstorms likely

 

TROPICS

Two systems remain on the watch list as tropical storm 1624 MA-ON spins up east of the Marianas and 96W INVEST gets better organized out in the Marshall Islands.

J.M.A. (Japan Meteorological Agency) has upgraded 27W into a tropical storm, and given it the name MA-ON. J.T.W.C. (Joint Typhoon Warning Center) continues to designate the system as a tropical depression only. This system has gotten a little better organized overnight as shear relaxes a bit over the immediate area of the center of circulation. Plenty of strong wind shear remains to its north, and that’s where steering currents will take it in the coming days, where most forecasts show dissipation by next week.

Tropical depression/96W INVEST also continues to look better organized in the far east of the region. The J.T.W.C. has issued a T.C.F.A. (Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert) for the system as it drifts slowly to the west. Long-range forecast models are inconclusive with this system with solutions ranging from dissipation to formation of a relatively significant tropical cyclone. We will have to keep a close watch on this one to see how things pan out.

Elsewhere across the tropics, deep moisture will combine with pockets of energy scattered about to help generate another typical dose of showers and thunderstorms across many locales throughout the region.

City	High/Low C		High/Low F		Conditions
Guam	30	26	88	79	Thunderstorms likely
Yap	29	26	84	79	Partly cloudy
Palau	30	26	86	79	Scattered thunderstorms possible
Chuuk	30	27	86	81	Scattered thunderstorms possible
Pohnpei	32	26	90	79	Scattered thunderstorms possible
Majuro	29	27	84	81	Scattered thunderstorms possible
Wake	29	27	84	81	Partly cloudy

 

Have a far-out Friday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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