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Daily weather brief – Friday, November 11, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 11 NOV

NWPAC outlook, 11 NOV

NORTH

Another surge of cold air is entering the region from the north, bringing wintry conditions to Mongolia, northern China, and southeastern Russia. The leading edge of the first surge is hanging offshore of Japan, helping generate clouds and occasional heavy showers over the archipelago. Temperatures across the region will definitely have the feel of autumn, with slightly milder temperatures as you travel to the south.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Ulaanbaatar

-8

-21 18 -6

Snow showers likely

Vladivostok

4

-4 39 25

Snow showers likely

Beijing

10

1 50 34

Partly cloudy

Seoul

14

4 57 39

Partly cloudy

Tokyo

13

10 55 50

Periods of rain

Xi’an

18

6 64 43

Partly cloudy

Shanghai

18

13 64 55

Mostly fair

 

CENTRAL

The leading edge of the latest cold surge has pulled up stationary over northern Indochina, extending eastward along the southern Chinese coast. The boundary has pulled well enough away that skies will be partly cloudy for most locations, with a chance for showers in the high country of south-central China. Temperatures will be mild across the region, with fairly uniform readings throughout.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Kunming

18

12 64 54

Scattered showers possible

Hong Kong

24

22 75 72

Partly cloudy

Taipei

23

21 73 70

Partly cloudy

Naha

24

21 75 70

Mostly fair

Hanoi

24

18 75 64

Partly cloudy

 

SOUTH

Much of the northern half of the south region has dried out nicely as the air mass form the north settles into the region. A stalled frontal boundary is draped over northern Indochina, helping generate clouds and showers for northern reaches of Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are also possible in the southern half of the region, which remains untouched by the cooler, drier air from the north.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Siem Reap

32

23 90 73

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Ho Chi Minh

32

24 90 75

Partly cloudy

Manila

32

24 90 75

Partly cloudy

Davao City

32

24 90 75

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Brunei

31

24 88 75

Thunderstorms possible

Singapore

30

24 86 75

Thunderstorms likely

 

TROPICS

Two systems remain on the watch list as tropical storm 1624 MA-ON spins up east of the Marianas and 96W INVEST gets better organized out in the Marshall Islands.

TAAG, 11 NOV

TAAG, 11 NOV

J.M.A. (Japan Meteorological Agency) has upgraded 27W into a tropical storm, and given it the name MA-ON. J.T.W.C. (Joint Typhoon Warning Center) continues to designate the system as a tropical depression only. This system has gotten a little better organized overnight as shear relaxes a bit over the immediate area of the center of circulation. Plenty of strong wind shear remains to its north, and that’s where steering currents will take it in the coming days, where most forecasts show dissipation by next week.

27W MA-ON full, 11 NOV

27W MA-ON full, 11 NOV

Tropical depression/96W INVEST also continues to look better organized in the far east of the region. The J.T.W.C. has issued a T.C.F.A. (Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert) for the system as it drifts slowly to the west. Long-range forecast models are inconclusive with this system with solutions ranging from dissipation to formation of a relatively significant tropical cyclone. We will have to keep a close watch on this one to see how things pan out.

96W full, 11 NOV

96W full, 11 NOV

Elsewhere across the tropics, deep moisture will combine with pockets of energy scattered about to help generate another typical dose of showers and thunderstorms across many locales throughout the region.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Guam

30

26 88 79

Thunderstorms likely

Yap

29

26 84 79

Partly cloudy

Palau

30

26 86 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Chuuk

30

27 86 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Pohnpei

32

26 90 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Majuro

29

27 84 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Wake

29

27 84 81

Partly cloudy

 

Have a far-out Friday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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