Weekend weather brief – November 12/13, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 12 NOV

NWPAC outlook, 12 NOV

NORTH

Continuous surges of cold Siberian air continue to permeate the north region as autumn gets a firm grasp on the region. High pressure is building in throughout Mongolia and northern China, extending over to southeastern Russia as the newest surge settles in. locations to the south and east are seeing slightly warmer temperatures, but it certainly feels like autumn. Weather will be fair over most of the region, with some snowfall in Russia and Mongolia over the weekend, and a few scattered showers in Shanghai on Sunday.

City

Sat High

C        F

Sun High

C        F

Conditions

Sat                          Sun

Ulaanbaatar

-6

21 -11 12 Partly cloudy

Snow showers

Vladivostok

3

37 1 34 Periods of snow

Mostly fair

Beijing

11

52 11 52 Mostly fair

Partly cloudy

Seoul

18

64 18 64 Mostly fair

Mostly cloudy

Tokyo

18

64 19 66 Mostly fair

Partly cloudy

Xi’an

18

64 18 64 Partly cloudy

Mostly fair

Shanghai

21

70 21 70 Partly cloudy

Sctd. showers

 

CENTRAL

Temperatures over the central region are rebounding following a strong Siberian surge that moved through last week. Temperatures will be comfortably warm over much of the region through the weekend. A few clouds and showers could pop up in the high country of south-central China and northern Indochina today, with improving conditions tomorrow, and fair weather dominating the region elsewhere.

City

Sat High

C        F

Sun High

C        F

Conditions

Sat                         Sun

Kunming

20

68 20 68 Sctd. showers

Partly cloudy

Hong Kong

27

81 28 82 Partly cloudy

Partly cloudy

Taipei

28

82 29 84 Partly cloudy

Mostly fair

Naha

26

79 27 81 Mostly fair

Mostly fair

Hanoi

28

82 31 88 Mostly cloudy

Partly cloudy

 

SOUTH

Drier air has settled in over portions of the south region as the northerly surges help build up the seasonal northeast monsoon across the region. High pressure is in control across Cambodia, Laos, central Vietnam, and the northern Philippines, while locations to the south and west continue to bathe in tropical moisture. Areas to the south will see a significantly higher chance for rainfall over their northern neighbors through the weekend as the deep moisture gets a lift from the afternoon sun.

City

Sat High

C        F

Sun High

C        F

Conditions

Sat                         Sun

Siem Reap

33

91 33 91 Partly cloudy

Mostly fair

Ho Chi Minh

33

91 33 91 Partly cloudy

Sctd. t-storms

Manila

32

90 32 90 Partly cloudy

Partly cloudy

Davao City

33

91 33 91 Mostly cloudy

Sctd. t-storms

Brunei

31

88 32 90 Sctd. t-storms

Thunderstorms

Singapore

31

88 32 90 Thunderstorms

Thunderstorms

 

TROPICS

Two systems continue to strengthen out in the tropics, with tropical storm 27W MA-ON east of the Mariana Islands, and newly-designated tropical depression 28W in eastern Micronesia.

TAAG, 12 NOV

TAAG, 12 NOV

Tropical storm 27W MA-ON continues to slowly strengthen while battling wind shear east of the Mariana Islands. Forecasts are keeping this storm weak as it tracks is a gentle arc through the northern Marianas this weekend before succumbing to a surge of dry air and volatile wind shear profiles early next week.

27W full, 12 NOV

27W full, 12 NOV

Tropical depression 28W is the system that has everyone’s attention, as official forecasts show a very weak system tracking through the southern Mariana Islands and then gaining strength once it enters the Philippines Sea as a mostly west-running system. Interests in the Philippines should casually monitor this situation over the weekend to see how forecasts develop this system and track.

28W full, 12 NOV

28W full, 12 NOV

Most locations in the tropics will see a fair chance for scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, especially over portions of eastern Micronesia where 28W continues to flare up.

City

Sat High

C        F

Sun High

C        F

Conditions

Sat                         Sun

Guam

29

84 31 88 Thunderstorms

Sctd. t-storms

Yap

29

84 30 86 Sctd. t-storms

Sctd. t-storms

Palau

29

84 29 84 Sctd. t-storms

Thunderstorms

Chuuk

31

88 32 90 Thunderstorms

Thunderstorms

Pohnpei

31

88 30 86 Wind & Rain

Sctd. t-storms

Majuro

29

84 29 84 Sctd. t-storms

Thunderstorms

Wake

29

84 29 84 Sctd. t-storms

Partly cloudy

 

Have a wonderful weekend!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, NRL, JMA, JTWC

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