November 12, 2016 
NWPAC outlook, 12 NOV
NORTH
Continuous surges of cold Siberian air continue to permeate the north region as autumn gets a firm grasp on the region. High pressure is building in throughout Mongolia and northern China, extending over to southeastern Russia as the newest surge settles in. locations to the south and east are seeing slightly warmer temperatures, but it certainly feels like autumn. Weather will be fair over most of the region, with some snowfall in Russia and Mongolia over the weekend, and a few scattered showers in Shanghai on Sunday.
| City |
Sat High C F |
Sun High
C F |
Conditions Sat Sun |
|||
| Ulaanbaatar |
-6 |
21 | -11 | 12 | Partly cloudy |
Snow showers |
| Vladivostok |
3 |
37 | 1 | 34 | Periods of snow |
Mostly fair |
| Beijing |
11 |
52 | 11 | 52 | Mostly fair |
Partly cloudy |
| Seoul |
18 |
64 | 18 | 64 | Mostly fair |
Mostly cloudy |
| Tokyo |
18 |
64 | 19 | 66 | Mostly fair |
Partly cloudy |
| Xi’an |
18 |
64 | 18 | 64 | Partly cloudy |
Mostly fair |
| Shanghai |
21 |
70 | 21 | 70 | Partly cloudy |
Sctd. showers |
CENTRAL
Temperatures over the central region are rebounding following a strong Siberian surge that moved through last week. Temperatures will be comfortably warm over much of the region through the weekend. A few clouds and showers could pop up in the high country of south-central China and northern Indochina today, with improving conditions tomorrow, and fair weather dominating the region elsewhere.
| City |
Sat High C F |
Sun High
C F |
Conditions Sat Sun |
|||
| Kunming |
20 |
68 | 20 | 68 | Sctd. showers |
Partly cloudy |
| Hong Kong |
27 |
81 | 28 | 82 | Partly cloudy |
Partly cloudy |
| Taipei |
28 |
82 | 29 | 84 | Partly cloudy |
Mostly fair |
| Naha |
26 |
79 | 27 | 81 | Mostly fair |
Mostly fair |
| Hanoi |
28 |
82 | 31 | 88 | Mostly cloudy |
Partly cloudy |
SOUTH
Drier air has settled in over portions of the south region as the northerly surges help build up the seasonal northeast monsoon across the region. High pressure is in control across Cambodia, Laos, central Vietnam, and the northern Philippines, while locations to the south and west continue to bathe in tropical moisture. Areas to the south will see a significantly higher chance for rainfall over their northern neighbors through the weekend as the deep moisture gets a lift from the afternoon sun.
| City |
Sat High C F |
Sun High
C F |
Conditions Sat Sun |
|||
| Siem Reap |
33 |
91 | 33 | 91 | Partly cloudy |
Mostly fair |
| Ho Chi Minh |
33 |
91 | 33 | 91 | Partly cloudy |
Sctd. t-storms |
| Manila |
32 |
90 | 32 | 90 | Partly cloudy |
Partly cloudy |
| Davao City |
33 |
91 | 33 | 91 | Mostly cloudy |
Sctd. t-storms |
| Brunei |
31 |
88 | 32 | 90 | Sctd. t-storms |
Thunderstorms |
| Singapore |
31 |
88 | 32 | 90 | Thunderstorms |
Thunderstorms |
TROPICS
Two systems continue to strengthen out in the tropics, with tropical storm 27W MA-ON east of the Mariana Islands, and newly-designated tropical depression 28W in eastern Micronesia.
TAAG, 12 NOV
Tropical storm 27W MA-ON continues to slowly strengthen while battling wind shear east of the Mariana Islands. Forecasts are keeping this storm weak as it tracks is a gentle arc through the northern Marianas this weekend before succumbing to a surge of dry air and volatile wind shear profiles early next week.
27W full, 12 NOV
Tropical depression 28W is the system that has everyone’s attention, as official forecasts show a very weak system tracking through the southern Mariana Islands and then gaining strength once it enters the Philippines Sea as a mostly west-running system. Interests in the Philippines should casually monitor this situation over the weekend to see how forecasts develop this system and track.
28W full, 12 NOV
Most locations in the tropics will see a fair chance for scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, especially over portions of eastern Micronesia where 28W continues to flare up.
| City |
Sat High C F |
Sun High
C F |
Conditions Sat Sun |
|||
| Guam |
29 |
84 | 31 | 88 | Thunderstorms |
Sctd. t-storms |
| Yap |
29 |
84 | 30 | 86 | Sctd. t-storms |
Sctd. t-storms |
| Palau |
29 |
84 | 29 | 84 | Sctd. t-storms |
Thunderstorms |
| Chuuk |
31 |
88 | 32 | 90 | Thunderstorms |
Thunderstorms |
| Pohnpei |
31 |
88 | 30 | 86 | Wind & Rain |
Sctd. t-storms |
| Majuro |
29 |
84 | 29 | 84 | Sctd. t-storms |
Thunderstorms |
| Wake |
29 |
84 | 29 | 84 | Sctd. t-storms |
Partly cloudy |
Have a wonderful weekend!
Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, NRL, JMA, JTWC
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