Daily weather brief – Monday, November 14, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 14 NOV

NWPAC outlook, 14 NOV

NORTH

Repeated surges of Siberian air continue to roll through the northern region as we start the new week. The latest surge is clipping the northernmost reaches of the region, bringing very cold temperatures to Mongolia and northern China. Most of the energy from this surge will travel to the east, but enough of the cold air will filter south to reinforce the already cold surface layer. This surge is going to open the door for a much stronger surge that will move through next weekend, bringing the first real taste of winter to the region. The earlier surge that moved through last week has stalled out over Japan and mainland East Asia, bringing clouds and showers to the eastern third of the region, while high pressure builds in and clear skies a bit in the west.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Ulaanbaatar

-12

-20 10 -4

Mostly fair

Vladivostok

9

-6 48 21

Periods of rain

Beijing

11

-1 52 30

Partly cloudy

Seoul

17

2 63 36

Periods of rain

Tokyo

18

14 64 57

Scattered showers likely

Xi’an

17

5 63 41

Partly cloudy

Shanghai

19

13 66 55

Periods of rain

 

CENTRAL

Temperatures have moderated across the central region and are holding mostly steady to kick off the week. This looks to remain until a new, stronger cold surge pushes through next weekend, bringing temperatures down much more. Most locations across the central region will see just a few scattered clouds, while moisture streaming in from the west will keep skies cloudy with a few showers in southern China and northern Indochina.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Kunming

21

9 70 48

Partly cloudy

Hong Kong

29

23 84 73

Mostly fair

Taipei

29

22 84 72

Mostly fair

Naha

28

23 82 73

Partly cloudy

Hanoi

30

23 86 73

Scattered showers likely

 

SOUTH

Drier air has moved well into the south region, especially over portions of Indochina and the Philippines. Temperatures will be quite warm under the mostly clear skies, but the humidity will be significantly lower, making it much more comfortable to bear. Moisture stays locked in for the southern third of the region, as clouds and thunderstorms pop during the peak of afternoon heating across northern Indonesia, Brunei, Malaysia, and Singapore.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Siem Reap

34

23 93 73

Partly cloudy

Ho Chi Minh

34

24 93 75

Mostly fair

Manila

32

26 90 79

Mostly fair

Davao City

33

24 91 75

Mostly fair

Brunei

32

24 90 75

Thunderstorms possible

Singapore

29

24 84 75

Thunderstorms possible

 

TROPICS

After watching a couple of weak systems try to get started, we now find a lull in activity as the tropics start feeling the effects of the seasonal changes.

TAAG, 14 NOV

TAAG, 14 NOV

With the demise of 27W MA-ON, we find only the remnants of what was tropical depression 28W lingering around south of the Mariana Islands. Computer forecast models are not doing much with this system as it remains in an area rather hostile for tropical cyclone formation.

28W, 14 NOV

28W, 14 NOV

The remainder of the region will see plenty of scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon as the warm sunshine lifts up the available moisture.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Guam

31

26 88 79

Thunderstorms likely

Yap

29

26 84 79

Thunderstorms likely

Palau

29

26 84 79

Thunderstorms likely

Chuuk

31

27 88 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Pohnpei

31

24 88 75

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Majuro

30

27 86 81

Thunderstorms likely

Wake

29

25 84 77

Mostly fair

 

Have a marvelous Monday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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