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Daily weather brief – Wednesday, November 16, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 16 NOV

NWPAC outlook, 16 NOV

NORTH

The cool feel of autumn envelops the north region today as a weak, reinforcing shot of cooler and drier air slides across the northernmost portion of the region. Skies will be fair to partly cloudy across the region, except in parts of interior China where moisture overrides the cooler surface layer ahead of the next surge, which will be significant. Starting this weekend in the northern locales of the region, and sweeping south and east through next week, one can only say “winter is coming”.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Ulaanbaatar

-5

-13 23 9

Mostly fair

Vladivostok

-1

-9 30 16

Partly cloudy

Beijing

12

2 54 36

Mostly fair

Seoul

11

3 52 37

Mostly fair

Tokyo

14

9 57 48

Partly cloudy

Xi’an

16

9 61 48

Mostly cloudy

Shanghai

19

14 66 57

Partly cloudy

 

CENTRAL

The central region will enjoy a warm mind-autumn day with most locations looking forward to a nice day. A few showers will slide up the terrain of Taiwan as the strong seasonal monsoon flow brings in moisture from the northeast. The next big cool-down for the central region will start in the middle of next week, as a strong frontal system works its way into the region.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Kunming

21

8 70 46

Partly cloudy

Hong Kong

28

23 82 73

Mostly fair

Taipei

26

21 79 70

Scattered showers likely

Naha

26

21 79 70

Mostly fair

Hanoi

29

21 84 70

Partly cloudy

 

SOUTH

High pressure extends to the south over portions of Indochina and the Philippines as the northeast monsoon gets stronger over the region. A plume of tropical moisture, associated with the remnants of what was 27W MA-ON, will continue moving through the northern Philippines today, bringing a good chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms. More tropical moisture will be trucked into the archipelago over the next 5 days, so some rainy weather can be expected for the country as we end the week. Showers and thunderstorms are also quite likely for locations to the south as deep tropical moisture remains undisturbed by continental influences from the north.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Siem Reap

34

23 93 73

Mostly fair

Ho Chi Minh

34

25 93 77

Partly cloudy

Manila

32

26 90 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Davao City

32

24 90 75

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Brunei

32

24 90 75

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Singapore

29

24 84 75

Thunderstorms possible

 

TROPICS

The tropics have fallen silent as the change of seasons brings in cooler, drier air and changes the atmospheric dynamics.

TAAG, 16 NOV

TAAG, 16 NOV

We did have 97W INVEST out there south of the Mariana Islands yesterday, but that disturbance was taken off the “books’ overnight, so now we just have widespread areas of convergence, especially south of 10N latitude. Several moisture plumes are evident on PWAT (Precipitable Water Vapor) imagery, and will be sliding through the region for the foreseeable future. Most locations in the tropics will see an afternoon of scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, with lots of warm sunshine in between the showers.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Guam

31

27 88 81

Thunderstorms likely

Yap

29

27 84 81

Thunderstorms likely

Palau

29

26 84 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Chuuk

30

26 86 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Pohnpei

29

26 84 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Majuro

28

27 82 81

Thunderstorms likely

Wake

29

26 84 79

Partly cloudy

 

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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