Weekend weather brief – November 19/20, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 19/20 NOV

NORTH

A pair of cold fronts is bringing a wintery 1-2 punch to portions of the north region this weekend. A leading storm system is rolling across eastern locales of the region today, helping sweep out the remaining warm air for the newer and stronger surge later this weekend. Southeastern Russia will deal with a wintry mix today as clouds and showers extend to the south-southwest behind this first storm system. Residents of Mongolia and northern China have already seen the big chill move in behind the strongest Siberian surge of the season thus far. These areas won’t see temperatures above freezing for at least the next 7 days as very cold air settles in from the northwest. This front will work its way to the south and east into the region through early next week, bringing a noticeable chill to the air. Beijing will see a chance for snow tomorrow as the newest surge pushes through.

CENTRAL

A storm system to the north will pull in clouds and showers, with occasional thunderstorms, across many locations throughout the central region this weekend. Temperatures are slowly climbing as warmer air gets pulled to the north ahead of a very strong surge that will move through much of the region by next week.

SOUTH

Heat and humidity will continue to dominate much of the south region, as the influence from the northeast monsoon relaxes a bit. Plentiful moisture is located over the Philippines and South China Sea, so the archipelago nation will see a decent chance for rain today, and rain chances will increase across southern Indochina tomorrow and into next week. The remainder of the region will see the usual chances for afternoon showers and thunderstorms as the warm sunshine gives the ample moisture a bit of a lift.

TROPICS

The tropics have gone mostly silent while we delve further and further into the climatologically quiet part of the tropical weather season.

TAAG, 19 NOV

Activity is minimal across the tropics as drier air from the north has helped balance the moisture profile across the region, especially north of 15N latitude. We have one focused area of showers and thunderstorms in the South China Sea and the Philippines, related to old remnant moisture and energy from what were 27W, 28W, and 97W INVEST. Another remarkable area of convergence is flaring up in parts of eastern Micronesia. Elsewhere, activity is minimal, however, a good chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms are in the forecast for most locations through the weekend.

Have a wonderful weekend!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, NRL, JMA, JTWC, NOAA

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