Daily weather brief – Tuesday, November 22, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 22 NOV

NORTH

High pressure continues to build in over the north region, bringing a round of seriously cold air to the region, especially over the northernmost locales. Mongolia, northern China, and southeastern Russia will stay in the deep-freeze today as temperatures stay well below freezing. Temperatures are a bit warmer to the south and east, while Japan will see a relatively balmy day as temperatures rise above 20C ahead of the surge. Most locations will see a day of bright sunshine, while snow showers fall over portions of central China along the stalled frontal boundary.

CENTRAL

Temperatures remain steady over the central region as a weak frontal boundary washes out overhead, bringing a good chance for showers along a line from Taiwan back to Hong Kong and into northern Indochina.

SOUTH

Warm, muggy conditions continue over the south region today as high pressure continues to weaken over much of the region. The northern Philippines will see lingering effects of the retreating high pressure area as skies remain partly cloudy. Residents of the southern Philippines are watching the developments of 98W INVEST, as some models take this system through the archipelago later in the week. Most locations in the region will see a decent chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms as the deep moisture gets a lift from the warm sunshine.

TROPICS

98W INVEST is the focus of attention in the tropics as forecasts indicate the system to possibly affect the Philippines by the end of the week.

TAAG, 22 NOV

98W INVEST continues to slowly gather strength far to the east of the Philippines. Due to the lower latitude and the marginally favorable conditions over the region, significant strengthening is not expected by this system, but it could get up to tropical storm strength. Computer forecast models are still uncertain on the final disposition of the system, with some models showing a re-curvature scenario and others showing the system to cross over the southern third of the Philippines.

98W INVEST, 22 NOV

Elsewhere across the region, plentiful moisture and warm sunshine will join forces to help generate afternoon showers and thunderstorms over many locales.

Have a terrific Tuesday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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