Daily weather brief – Thursday, November 24, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 24 NOV

NWPAC outlook, 24 NOV

NORTH

Temperatures are rebounding a bit across the northernmost portions of the north region as return flow from high pressure that has built in through all of eastern Asia continues to press to the south and east. In the east, Tokyo is seeing its first November 24th snowfall since 1962 as the leading edge of the big surge combines with energy just offshore. Despite the ‘warm-up’, most locations will see temperatures in the single digits today, with WELL below zero readings still entrenched across Mongolia, northern China, and southeastern Russia. The bright side is that the skies will be clear to partly cloudy for all locations, except Japan, where wintry precipitation is expected through much of the day.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Ulaanbaatar

-13

-25 9 -13

Partly cloudy

Vladivostok

-4

-12 25 10

Mostly fair

Beijing

3

-7 37 19

Mostly fair

Seoul

4

-4 39 25

Mostly fair

Tokyo

2

-1 36 30

Periods of snow

Xi’an

4

-3 39 27

Partly cloudy

Shanghai

11

6 52 43

Partly cloudy

 

CENTRAL

High pressure is building into the central region as a slow-moving frontal boundary slides through and pulls up almost stationary just offshore. Temperatures are not seeing a big decline, as the coldest air stays well to the north, however, cloud-covered and rain-cooled temperatures will dominate the entire region this afternoon. A few showers are in store for Taiwan and to the southwest over northern Indochina, while high pressure clears out the skies for the remainder of the region.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Kunming

18

8 64 46

Partly cloudy

Hong Kong

19

14 66 57

Partly cloudy

Taipei

19

18 66 64

Scattered showers likely

Naha

22

18 72 64

Partly cloudy

Hanoi

18

16 64 61

Scattered showers likely

 

SOUTH

98W INVEST has been designated a tropical depression by the Philippines’ state weather agency PAGASA, and thus has been identified as “Marce” by the organization. This weak system will bring plenty of much-needed rainfall to portions of the southern Philippines throughout the day. I’ll have more on this system in the ‘tropics’ section of this report. Elsewhere, a new surge is approaching the region from the north, behind a nearly-stationary frontal system located just to the north of the region. Weak high pressure continues to maintain relatively rain-free conditions over much of the northern half of the region, while the southern half stays locked into the heat and humidity, with rain chances significantly higher.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Siem Reap

32

21 90 70

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Ho Chi Minh

34

24 93 75

Partly cloudy

Manila

32

26 90 79

Partly cloudy

Davao City

29

24 84 75

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Brunei

31

24 88 75

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Singapore

32

25 90 77

Thunderstorms possible

 

TROPICS

98W INVEST continues to slowly get better organized, but not soon enough to cause significant concern at this time.

TAAG, 24 NOV

TAAG, 24 NOV

98W INVEST has been designated a tropical depression by the Philippines’ state weather agency PAGASA, and thus has been identified as “Marce” by the organization, while it maintains its “disturbance” designation with other WPAC agencies. This system is expected to remain quite weak as it traverses the southern third of the Philippines’ archipelago, bringing along a good deal of much-needed rainfall for the southern islands of the country. 98W INVEST is expected to slide across the southern Philippines and re-emerge into the South China Sea, where some additional strengthening may occur before moving into southern Indochina this weekend.

98W INVEST, 24 NOV

98W INVEST, 24 NOV

Elsewhere across the tropics, widespread pockets of energy will combine with the warm afternoon sun and plentiful moisture to bring about a good chance for showers and thunderstorms for most locations.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Guam

31

26 88 79

Scattered showers possible

Yap

31

26 88 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Palau

30

26 86 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Chuuk

29

26 84 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Pohnpei

28

25 82 77

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Majuro

29

27 84 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Wake

29

26 84 79

Mostly fair

 

Have a thrilling Thursday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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