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Daily weather brief – Monday, November 28, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 28 NOV

NWPAC outlook, 28 NOV

NORTH

Cold air remains in place over the north region as the transition from autumn to winter continues. The leading edge of the cold air mass has swept over Japan, and is moving to the east, bringing clear to partly cloudy skies across much of the region. The exceptions would be central China, where a weak disturbance is sliding through, bringing cloudy conditions, and also in eastern china, where low clouds and fog will make for a rather dreary day. Temperatures will once again range from below zero in the northernmost locales, to the low and middle teens to the south and east.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Ulaanbaatar

-9

-18 16 0

Mostly fair

Vladivostok

-4

-10 25 14

Mostly fair

Beijing

8

-3 46 27

Mostly fair

Seoul

4

-4 39 25

Mostly fair

Tokyo

14

7 57 45

Mostly fair

Xi’an

11

3 52 37

Mostly cloudy

Shanghai

13

8 55 46

Fog and low clouds

 

CENTRAL

Temperatures remain comfortably mild across the central region as the latest surge from the north slide well to the south of the region. Scattered showers are possible over the high country of southern China as moisture gets pumped in from the west along the jet stream, and also over Taiwan, as the strong northeasterly flow drags moisture up the higher terrain. The remainder of the region will see plenty of sunshine and just a few scattered clouds here and there.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Kunming

14

8 57 46

Scattered showers likely

Hong Kong

21

16 70 61

Mostly fair

Taipei

20

18 68 64

Scattered showers likely

Naha

22

19 72 66

Partly cloudy

Hanoi

25

15 77 59

Mostly fair

 

SOUTH

Conditions are considerably drier across Indochina today as the latest surge brings in a strong northeasterly flow across the peninsula. Portions of northwestern Philippines will see a chance of rain as the system formerly known as tropical storm TOKAGE gets torn apart by the incoming surge.  Locations to the south can also expect a good chance for scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms as the air mass remains moist and the sun continues to heat up the midday.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Siem Reap

31

20 88 68

Partly cloudy

Ho Chi Minh

33

24 91 75

Partly cloudy

Manila

31

25 88 77

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Davao City

32

24 90 75

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Brunei

32

24 90 75

Partly cloudy

Singapore

30

24 86 75

Thunderstorms possible

 

TROPICS

The remnants of tropical storm TOKAGE continue to unravel northwest of the Philippines while the remainder of the region sees activity wane a bit.

TAAG, 28 NOV

TAAG, 28 NOV

J.M.A. (Japan Meteorological Agency) has downgraded tropical storm TOKAGE, also named “Marce” by the Philippines’ state weather agency PAGASA, to tropical depression status as the system encounters very hostile conditions care of a strong northerly surge coming in. V.W.S. (Vertical Wind Shear) has increased to above 25 knots over the system, and has literally sheared off the heaviest convection far to the northeast, leaving the L.L.C.C. (Low-Level Circulation Center) a bit exposed. To make matters worse for the system, the circulation is dragging in very dry air from the north, compliments of the prevailing surge moving southward into the area. Forecasts continue to show the system weakening, with the weak, remnant low being pushed to the west-southwest over the next 24 hours by the strong flow of the Siberian surge, with complete dissipation expected within the next 48 hours.

29W full, 28 NOV

29W full, 28 NOV

Elsewhere across the tropics, a long trough of convergence extends through much of Micronesia, which will help fire off some scattered showers and thunderstorms across most locations in the Federated States, while far to the east, drier air has moved in, and taken rain chances out of the forecast for today.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Guam

31

27 88 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Yap

31

26 88 79

Mostly cloudy

Palau

31

27 88 81

Thunderstorms possible

Chuuk

31

27 88 81

Thunderstorms possible

Pohnpei

31

25 88 77

Thunderstorms possible

Majuro

30

27 86 81

Partly cloudy

Wake

29

26 84 79

Partly cloudy

 

Have a marvelous Monday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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