Archive | November, 2016

Tropical Storm Tokage / Marce Over the Philippines

Tropical Storm Tokage / Marce continues to track across the Philippines today bringing wide spread rainfall across northern Visayas and southern Luzon.

 

IR SAT

Overall this storm is on the low end of the spectrum as far as Typhoon in the Philippines, but it still has dangers associated with it, most specifically the rainfall north of the storms center. This is where a band of precipitation has been pumping on shore and will continue to do so through Saturday bringing the threat of localized floods and landslides.

 

Travel via sea on ferries has also been effect with many of them shut down in Visayas.

 

These conditions are expected to continue in to the weekend even as the storm slowly tracks north along the west coast of Luzon while gradually weakening as cold air starts to plow in the storm from the north.

If you are being impacted by this storm or have any reports to share please let us know! Also I apologize for the quick update, a very busy day at the end of a very busy week for me. Please be sure to check Michael’s daily updates though, he has been doing a fantastic job posting them and being rather consistent daily.

 

Daily weather brief – Friday, November 25, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 25 NOV

NWPAC outlook, 25 NOV

NORTH

Cold air stays in place over the north region as a new storm system gets wound up over central China, bringing another shot of wintry precipitation to parts of northern China and Mongolia. The resurgent cold front is draped across the central portions of East Asia making for a rather gloomy day across those locales. Below-zero and single-digit temperatures will once again be in store for most of the region, with only eastern China seeing temperatures creeping just into double digits.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Ulaanbaatar

-13

-24 9 -11

Snow showers likely

Vladivostok

-3

-11 27 12

Mostly fair

Beijing

4

-4 39 25

Partly cloudy

Seoul

6

-3 43 27

Partly cloudy

Tokyo

9

2 48 36

Partly cloudy

Xi’an

7

-1 45 30

Mostly cloudy

Shanghai

13

11 55 52

Mostly cloudy

 

CENTRAL

The newest surge of Siberian air has pulled up just short of the central region as a new storm system gets wound up along the frontal boundary. This storm system will usher in the surge to locations to the south over the weekend, bringing a noticeable nip to the air by the start of next week. Clouds and showers are prevalent across much of the region, with the coast of southeastern China seeing just a few clouds.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Kunming

18

5 64 41

Scattered showers likely

Hong Kong

19

16 66 61

Partly cloudy

Taipei

23

21 73 70

Scattered showers likely

Naha

22

20 72 68

Mostly cloudy

Hanoi

21

16 70 61

Mostly cloudy

 

SOUTH

Tropical storm 1625/29W has been designated at its current status by all three agencies associated with updates as it moves through the central Philippines this morning. Heavy rain has been reported in several locations in the Visayas, along with some flooding and scattered landslides. The Philippines’ state weather agency, PAGASA, has issued the following T.C.W.S. (Tropical Cyclone Warning Signals) for portions of the country:

#1 (30-60kph expected in 36 hrs)-

Northern Palawan including Cuyo Island, Rest of Oriental Mindoro, rest of Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Island and Masbate including Burias and Ticao Island, Biliran, Leyte, Northern Cebu including Bantayan and Camotes Islands, Negros Occidental, rest of Antique and Guimaras…

#2 (61-120kph expected in 24 hrs)-

Romblon, Calamian Group of Islands, Southern Occidental Mindoro and Southern Oriental Mindoro, Iloilo, Capiz, Aklan and Northern Antique…

29W, TCWS, 25 NOV

29W, TCWS, 25 NOV

Please see more on the forecasts for this system in the ‘tropics’ section of this report. Elsewhere across the central region, warm sunshine and plentiful moisture will help generate a few scattered showers and thunderstorms across some locales as warm air advects northward ahead of the newest incoming surge, due to arrive next week.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Siem Reap

33

22 91 72

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Ho Chi Minh

33

24 91 75

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Manila

28

26 82 79

Periods of rain

Davao City

31

24 88 75

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Brunei

32

24 90 75

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Singapore

31

25 88 77

Scattered thunderstorms possible

 

TROPICS

Only one system in the tropics to deal with at this time, as the eastern half of the region dries out considerably.

TAAG, 25 NOV

TAAG, 25 NOV

Newly-designated tropical storm 1625 TOKAGE, also named “Marce” by the Philippines’ state weather agency PAGASA, continues to bring heavy rain and strong winds to portions of the Philippines. The system entered the country in the Visayan Islands and has tracked generally west-northwest over the past 24 hours. Some are have received flooding rainfall and gusty winds, with all the hazards associated with a tropical system. As of this time, there are no reports of deaths or injury. The system is expected to continue passing through the western Visayas, emerging into the South China Sea. Forecasts show this system to track is a slow arcing curve to the north ahead of an incoming cold surge from the north. This forecast would indicate that the system will remain weak and be influenced mostly by lower-level steering mechanisms. However, PAGASA’s forecast varies a bit, showing the system to turn more to the west, which would indicate steering influences from an extension of the S.T.R. (Sub-Tropical Ridge) to the north due to a stronger system core during that time. For now, residents of the Philippines can expect heavy rain to continue for portions of the western Visayas and southern Luzon as the systems’ life cycle continues.

29W full, 25 NOV

29W full, 25 NOV

Elsewhere across the tropics, it has quieted down considerably over the region as drier air filters into the region from the north. Of course, in the tropics, ‘drier’ is a relative term, so the air will still be quite moist, allowing for a few scattered showers and thunderstorms to pop up across several locales.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Guam

32

27 90 81

Partly cloudy

Yap

31

26 88 79

Partly cloudy

Palau

31

26 88 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Chuuk

32

27 90 81

Thunderstorms possible

Pohnpei

28

25 82 77

Thunderstorms possible

Majuro

29

27 84 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Wake

29

26 84 79

Partly cloudy

 

Have a fabulous Friday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

==================================================================

Disclaimer:

By making use of any information on this website, you agree to the following:

NO WARRANTIES: All of the information provided on this website is provided “AS-IS” and with NO WARRANTIES. No express or implied warranties of any type are made with respect to the information, or any use of the information, on this site. Westernpacificweather.com makes no representations and extends no warranties of any type as to the accuracy or completeness of any information or content on this website.

DISCLAIMER OF LIABILITY: Westernpacificweather.com specifically DISCLAIMS LIABILITY FOR INCIDENTAL OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES and assumes no responsibility or liability for any loss or damage suffered by any person as a result of the use or misuse of any of the information or content on this website. Westernpacificweather.com assumes or undertakes NO LIABILITY for any loss or damage suffered as a result of the use, misuse or reliance on the information and content on this website.

USE AT YOUR OWN RISK: This website is for informational purposes only. The opinions expressed within this website are the opinions of each contributor. Westernpacificweather.com urges you to consult with OFFICIAL sources for information whenever you feel a threat is impending.

All rights reserved. © 2016 Westernpacificweather.com

Daily weather brief – Thursday, November 24, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 24 NOV

NWPAC outlook, 24 NOV

NORTH

Temperatures are rebounding a bit across the northernmost portions of the north region as return flow from high pressure that has built in through all of eastern Asia continues to press to the south and east. In the east, Tokyo is seeing its first November 24th snowfall since 1962 as the leading edge of the big surge combines with energy just offshore. Despite the ‘warm-up’, most locations will see temperatures in the single digits today, with WELL below zero readings still entrenched across Mongolia, northern China, and southeastern Russia. The bright side is that the skies will be clear to partly cloudy for all locations, except Japan, where wintry precipitation is expected through much of the day.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Ulaanbaatar

-13

-25 9 -13

Partly cloudy

Vladivostok

-4

-12 25 10

Mostly fair

Beijing

3

-7 37 19

Mostly fair

Seoul

4

-4 39 25

Mostly fair

Tokyo

2

-1 36 30

Periods of snow

Xi’an

4

-3 39 27

Partly cloudy

Shanghai

11

6 52 43

Partly cloudy

 

CENTRAL

High pressure is building into the central region as a slow-moving frontal boundary slides through and pulls up almost stationary just offshore. Temperatures are not seeing a big decline, as the coldest air stays well to the north, however, cloud-covered and rain-cooled temperatures will dominate the entire region this afternoon. A few showers are in store for Taiwan and to the southwest over northern Indochina, while high pressure clears out the skies for the remainder of the region.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Kunming

18

8 64 46

Partly cloudy

Hong Kong

19

14 66 57

Partly cloudy

Taipei

19

18 66 64

Scattered showers likely

Naha

22

18 72 64

Partly cloudy

Hanoi

18

16 64 61

Scattered showers likely

 

SOUTH

98W INVEST has been designated a tropical depression by the Philippines’ state weather agency PAGASA, and thus has been identified as “Marce” by the organization. This weak system will bring plenty of much-needed rainfall to portions of the southern Philippines throughout the day. I’ll have more on this system in the ‘tropics’ section of this report. Elsewhere, a new surge is approaching the region from the north, behind a nearly-stationary frontal system located just to the north of the region. Weak high pressure continues to maintain relatively rain-free conditions over much of the northern half of the region, while the southern half stays locked into the heat and humidity, with rain chances significantly higher.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Siem Reap

32

21 90 70

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Ho Chi Minh

34

24 93 75

Partly cloudy

Manila

32

26 90 79

Partly cloudy

Davao City

29

24 84 75

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Brunei

31

24 88 75

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Singapore

32

25 90 77

Thunderstorms possible

 

TROPICS

98W INVEST continues to slowly get better organized, but not soon enough to cause significant concern at this time.

TAAG, 24 NOV

TAAG, 24 NOV

98W INVEST has been designated a tropical depression by the Philippines’ state weather agency PAGASA, and thus has been identified as “Marce” by the organization, while it maintains its “disturbance” designation with other WPAC agencies. This system is expected to remain quite weak as it traverses the southern third of the Philippines’ archipelago, bringing along a good deal of much-needed rainfall for the southern islands of the country. 98W INVEST is expected to slide across the southern Philippines and re-emerge into the South China Sea, where some additional strengthening may occur before moving into southern Indochina this weekend.

98W INVEST, 24 NOV

98W INVEST, 24 NOV

Elsewhere across the tropics, widespread pockets of energy will combine with the warm afternoon sun and plentiful moisture to bring about a good chance for showers and thunderstorms for most locations.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Guam

31

26 88 79

Scattered showers possible

Yap

31

26 88 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Palau

30

26 86 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Chuuk

29

26 84 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Pohnpei

28

25 82 77

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Majuro

29

27 84 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Wake

29

26 84 79

Mostly fair

 

Have a thrilling Thursday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

==================================================================

Disclaimer:

By making use of any information on this website, you agree to the following:

NO WARRANTIES: All of the information provided on this website is provided “AS-IS” and with NO WARRANTIES. No express or implied warranties of any type are made with respect to the information, or any use of the information, on this site. Westernpacificweather.com makes no representations and extends no warranties of any type as to the accuracy or completeness of any information or content on this website.

DISCLAIMER OF LIABILITY: Westernpacificweather.com specifically DISCLAIMS LIABILITY FOR INCIDENTAL OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES and assumes no responsibility or liability for any loss or damage suffered by any person as a result of the use or misuse of any of the information or content on this website. Westernpacificweather.com assumes or undertakes NO LIABILITY for any loss or damage suffered as a result of the use, misuse or reliance on the information and content on this website.

USE AT YOUR OWN RISK: This website is for informational purposes only. The opinions expressed within this website are the opinions of each contributor. Westernpacificweather.com urges you to consult with OFFICIAL sources for information whenever you feel a threat is impending.

All rights reserved. © 2016 Westernpacificweather.com

Daily weather brief – Wednesday, November 23, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 23 NOV

NWPAC outlook, 23 NOV

NORTH

The big chill is settling into the north region as strong high pressure pushes south and builds into northern reaches of the region. Bitter cold is being felt as far south and east as the Korean peninsula, with temperatures in eastern China failing to reach double digits. Tokyo will be relatively warm today, but is looking at the possibility of snow overnight tonight and tomorrow as the surge pushes through. Cold weather will settle over the region for the foreseeable future, making it feel a lot like winter.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Ulaanbaatar

-17

-27 1 -17

Mostly fair

Vladivostok

-7

-14 19 7

Mostly fair

Beijing

4

-6 39 23

Mostly fair

Seoul

4

-5 39 23

Partly cloudy

Tokyo

12

2 54 36

Mostly cloudy

Xi’an

2

-7 36 19

Snow showers likely

Shanghai

9

3 48 37

Scattered showers likely

 

CENTRAL

High pressure from the north is also building down into the central region, and while the coldest air will remain to the north, a refreshing shot of cooler and drier air in on tap for the region over the next couple of days. The leading edge of the surge will help lift up the available moisture, squeezing out showers and moderate rainfall over the southern and eastern portions off the region. Temperatures will be mild across the region as clouds and precipitation dominates.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Kunming

19

6 66 43

Mostly fair

Hong Kong

21

13 70 55

Scattered showers likely

Taipei

21

18 70 64

Periods of rain

Naha

24

19 75 66

Periods of rain

Hanoi

26

14 79 57

Periods of rain

 

SOUTH

Weak high pressure continues to help limit cloud and showers development over the northern half of the south region, with another surge on the way for this weekend. Portions of the northern Philippines and Indochina will see a relatively nice day, with warm afternoon highs and just the slightest chance for showers or thunderstorms. The southern Philippines will be dealing with incoming moisture from tropical disturbance 98W INVEST, which is located east of the Philippine island of Mindanao. This disturbance is not expected to gain much strength as it slides across the southern Philippines over the next 2-3 days.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Siem Reap

30

23 86 73

Thunderstorms possible

Ho Chi Minh

32

24 90 75

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Manila

32

24 90 75

Mostly fair

Davao City

30

23 86 73

Thunderstorms likely

Brunei

32

24 90 75

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Singapore

31

25 88 77

Scattered thunderstorms possible

 

TROPICS

Tropical disturbance 98W INVEST continues to work slowly to the west, setting sights on the southern Philippines.

TAAG, 23 NOV

TAAG, 23 NOV

98W INVEST has been sliding along the general westerly flow of the I.T.C.Z. (Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone) for the past few days and while not getting very strong, it will bring a good deal of rainfall to very dry parts of the southern Philippines, who have been wracked by the recent El Nino effects. Computer models are in pretty good agreement that the system will remain very weak as it traverses the archipelago, with a possible strengthening trend once it emerges in the South China Sea later in the week and over the weekend.

98W INVEST, 23 NOV

98W INVEST, 23 NOV

Elsewhere in the tropics, scattered pockets of convergence will combine with the warm afternoon sunshine and the deep tropical moisture to bring a decent chance for showers and thunderstorms across most locales within the region.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Guam

31

26 88 79

Partly cloudy

Yap

29

26 84 79

Thunderstorms possible

Palau

29

26 84 79

Thunderstorms possible

Chuuk

31

27 88 81

Partly cloudy

Pohnpei

31

25 88 77

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Majuro

28

26 82 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Wake

29

26 84 79

Mostly fair

 

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

==================================================================

Disclaimer:

By making use of any information on this website, you agree to the following:

NO WARRANTIES: All of the information provided on this website is provided “AS-IS” and with NO WARRANTIES. No express or implied warranties of any type are made with respect to the information, or any use of the information, on this site. Westernpacificweather.com makes no representations and extends no warranties of any type as to the accuracy or completeness of any information or content on this website.

DISCLAIMER OF LIABILITY: Westernpacificweather.com specifically DISCLAIMS LIABILITY FOR INCIDENTAL OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES and assumes no responsibility or liability for any loss or damage suffered by any person as a result of the use or misuse of any of the information or content on this website. Westernpacificweather.com assumes or undertakes NO LIABILITY for any loss or damage suffered as a result of the use, misuse or reliance on the information and content on this website.

USE AT YOUR OWN RISK: This website is for informational purposes only. The opinions expressed within this website are the opinions of each contributor. Westernpacificweather.com urges you to consult with OFFICIAL sources for information whenever you feel a threat is impending.

All rights reserved. © 2016 Westernpacificweather.com