Daily weather brief – Thursday, December 1, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 01 DEC

NORTH

High pressure continues to move into the north region in waves, reinforcing the already very cold conditions throughout much of the region. Temperatures are not quite as cold as they have been in recent days, but the big chill is definitely locked in over much of the region. A weak storm system is pushing to the east as it crosses over southeastern Russia, Korea, and through the Japanese archipelago, bringing a few snow showers to Vladivostok and plenty of rain to Tokyo, with snowfall in the higher elevations. The remainder of the region will see mostly fair, but cold, weather through the day.

CENTRAL

Temperatures are holding steady across the central region as high pressure builds in from the north, keeping skies clear to partly cloudy over inland locales, while the cold air boundary lingers to the east, bringing rainfall to the offshore islands. Temperatures will be comfortably mild across the region, with the coolest air over the higher terrain in south-central China.

SOUTH

Cooler and drier air has swept into northern and central Indochina as the latest surge builds in from the north. The surge boundary is lingering over southern Indochina and the northern Philippines, bringing cloudy skies and a chance of widely scattered thunderstorms. The cooler air has also filtered down to more southerly locations, and while not lowering temperatures significantly, the air has dried out just a bit, leaving behind only a slight risk for scattered afternoon thunderstorms as the warm sunshine works with the available moisture.

TROPICS

All is quiet in the tropics as the “official” end of the tropical season dawns across the NWPAC.

TAAG, 01 DEC

As we get deeper into the autumn season, we are finding much less to talk about across the tropics. Convergence continues below 10 degrees north latitude as the weakened I.T.C.Z. (Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone) continues to undulate over the area, and long-range computer models do show the possibility of some weak disturbances forming out there, but nothing significant is on the horizon at this time. Most locations within the region will see a chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms, because the moisture is still locked in, especially in the south portion of the region, and the sunshine is still pretty intense as we head slowly towards solar minimum later this month.

Have a thrilling Thursday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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