Archive | December 26, 2016

TYPHOON NOCK-TEN LEAVES PHILIPPINES, WEAKENS EAST OF LUZON

At least 3 confirmed deaths but possibly more have been reported as of Tuesday morning due to Typhoon Nock-ten after it rolled over the Philippines on Christmas weekend.

Impressively there was not any more deaths from this storm for a few reasons. The big one was the fact it hit over the holiday weekend, a time when many people were just not paying attention to the news or if they were then were just straight up ignoring it and going on with Christmas plans. But what took place ahead of it may have saved hundreds of lives, mass forced evacuations by people actually going to low lying communities and forcing people to get out ahead of the storm.

 

This is fantastic news and truly represents the scope of change since Typhoon Haiyan just 4 years ago.

 

There still will be a road to recovery though, the worst hit areas of Camarines Sur seen about 60% of the local infrastucutre destroyed with most of the area losing power. Now emergency officials are working to get things back up and running but as always this is going to take some time.

 

Also good news is the storm tracked further south missing the highly populated city of Manila out of the worst of the storm. I am sure attitude this morning on this storm would be vastly different if it had actually rolled over that metro with 9 million plus people.

 

JTWC TRACK

Where is the storm now..

 

Now it is in a heavy weight boxing match with the North East Monsoon and losing. Dry air, and high wind shear will force Nock-ten (Nina) to continue to weaken over the next 48hrs eventually becoming a tropical depression over the south china sea. Great news for Vietnam and Cambodia who have been watching this storm in fear of a repeat of what we seen in the Philippines. For now though that does not look like it will happen.

 

 

Personal note:

 

Big thanks to the entire westpacwx crew and community for all the information put out during this storm. I personally already had plans over the holidays in Japan and was unable to write updates or put out videos. If it not for the team here and the fb page PTS I am sure this avenue of information would have not been available. I do hope it continues to stay that way though and helps more people out in the future.

Daily weather brief – Monday, December 26, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 26 DEC

NWPAC outlook, 26 DEC

NORTH

A new surge of Siberian air is pushing through the north region today with a storms system located in northern Hokkaido, and the associated frontal system stretching back to the west across the Korean Peninsula and northeastern China. Temperatures behind the front are significantly cooler, while locations out ahead of the front are cool but bearable. Clouds and showers will keep it dreary along the frontal boundary in southeastern Russia, Korea, and Japan, and a few showers ahead of the front will dampen spirits across eastern China.

City High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions
Ulaanbaatar

-19

-28 -2 -18

Mostly fair

Vladivostok

-2

-19 28 -2

Mostly cloudy

Beijing

3

-7 37 19

Mostly cloudy

Seoul

4

-4 39 25

Mostly cloudy

Tokyo

12

11 54 52

Mostly cloudy

Shanghai

12

4 54 39

Scattered showers likely

 

CENTRAL

Temperatures are rebounding across the central region, ahead off the next surge to move down later this week. Skies will be mostly clear across southeastern China, Taiwan, and the Ryukyu Islands, and a few scattered clouds will appear over the higher terrain of south-central China. Scattered showers are likely over portions of southern China and northern Indochina as lingering moisture remains. Temperatures region-wide will be warm, but comfortable.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Kunming

17

4 63 39

Partly cloudy

Hong Kong

26

15 79 59

Mostly fair

Taipei

28

17 82 63

Mostly fair

Naha

24

20 75 68

Mostly fair

Hanoi

27

16 81 61

Scattered showers likely

 

SOUTH

Residents of the Philippines are picking up the pieces left behind by what was super typhoon NOCK-TEN (Nina). The storm system continues to batter portions of southern Luzon today as it moves westward towards its demise in the South China Sea later this week. For more on this system, please check out the “tropics” section of this briefing. Elsewhere across the region, the latest surge of continental air has settled over much of Indochina, bringing about a fair weather scenario, while deep tropical moisture remains over the more southerly locales, offering up a good chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms this afternoon.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Siem Reap

33

22 91 72

Partly cloudy

Ho Chi Minh

32

23 90 73

Partly cloudy

Manila

29

26 84 79

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS

Davao City

31

24 88 75

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Brunei

32

24 90 75

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Singapore

31

24 88 75

Scattered thunderstorms possible

 

TROPICS

TYPHOON 30W NOCK-TEN continues to weaken as it traverses southern Batangas province in the Philippines…forecast tracks take the storm well south of Manila…

TYPHOON 30W NOCK-TEN (Nina) continues to weaken as it tracks in a westerly direction. At 9:30am PST, J.T.W.C placed the center near 13.8N 120.9E, approximately 67nm (124km) south-southeast of Manila, Philippines, and is moving westward at 15kt (28kph).

Latest official forecast tracks bring the system into southern Batangas province later this afternoon, exiting the country near Nasugbu, Batangas this evening.

J.T.W.C. and J.M.A. are showing the system continues to decline in strength with J.T.W.C. assessing sustained winds of 100kt (185kph), a “very strong typhoon” on the J.M.A. scale, or, a moderate CAT 2 equivalent tropical system on the Saffir-Simpson scale, while J.M.A. assesses the storm’s current strength near 85kt (157kph), a “very strong typhoon” on the J.M.A. scale, or, a weak CAT 2 equivalent tropical system on the Saffir-Simpson scale.

As of 8am, PAGASA had the following PSWS signals in place:

SIGNAL #3 (Winds of 121 -170 kph is expected in at least 18 hrs)-

Southern Quezon, Marinduque, Batangas, Northern Oriental Mindoro, Lubang Island, Cavite and Laguna

SIGNAL #2 (61-120kph expected in 24 hrs)-

Metro Manila, Rizal, Northern Quezon including Polillo Islands, Bulacan, Bataan, Pampanga, Southern Zambales, Rest of Oriental Mindoro, Romblon, Northern Occidental Mindoro, Camarines Norte and Camarines Sur

SIGNAL #1 – (30-60kph expected in 36 hrs)

30W TCWS, 08PST 26 DEC

30W TCWS, 08PST 26 DEC

The rest of Occidental Mindoro, rest of Zambales, Tarlac, Nueva Ecija, Southern Aurora, Pangasinan, Albay and Burias Island

Residents of southern Luzon and northwestern Visayas, particularly Marinduque, all of Mindoro, Batangas, southern Quezon, southern Laguna, and southern Cavite provinces should have FINISHED all preparations for a significant weather system.

Better preparation is the key, and with the holiday atmosphere, one may tend to be lax or even discount the threat.

The current official tracks show the system to enter southern Luzon in southern Batangas province this afternoon quickly crossing southern Luzon over the region, exiting into the South China Sea near Nasugbu, Batangas later this evening.

Forecasts will change due to the evolving atmospheric conditions, so all areas mentioned previously should monitor the progress of this system.

Elsewhere across the tropics, partly cloudy skies will prevail over the more northerly locations within the region, while locations to the south and east can expect a good chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Guam

30

26 86 79

Partly cloudy

Yap

29

26 84 79

Partly cloudy

Palau

32

26 90 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Chuuk

31

27 88 81

Partly cloudy

Pohnpei

28

26 82 79

Thunderstorms possible

Majuro

28

26 82 79

Thunderstorms possible

Wake

28

24 82 75

Partly cloudy

 

Have a marvelous Monday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

==================================================================

Disclaimer:

By making use of any information on this website, you agree to the following:

NO WARRANTIES: All of the information provided on this website is provided “AS-IS” and with NO WARRANTIES. No express or implied warranties of any type are made with respect to the information, or any use of the information, on this site. Westernpacificweather.com makes no representations and extends no warranties of any type as to the accuracy or completeness of any information or content on this website.

DISCLAIMER OF LIABILITY: Westernpacificweather.com specifically DISCLAIMS LIABILITY FOR INCIDENTAL OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES and assumes no responsibility or liability for any loss or damage suffered by any person as a result of the use or misuse of any of the information or content on this website. Westernpacificweather.com assumes or undertakes NO LIABILITY for any loss or damage suffered as a result of the use, misuse or reliance on the information and content on this website.

USE AT YOUR OWN RISK: This website is for informational purposes only. The opinions expressed within this website are the opinions of each contributor. Westernpacificweather.com urges you to consult with OFFICIAL sources for information whenever you feel a threat is impending.

All rights reserved. © 2016 Westernpacificweather.com