
NWPAC outlook, 03 JAN
NORTH
A fresh surge of cooler air has made its way into the north region, lowering temperatures across the northern tier of the region. A frontal system is draped diagonally from northeast to southwest across the region, with high pressure building in behind it. The front has yet to move through north-central China, so hazardous air quality will be in place until frontal passage takes place later today. Another moderate storm system is pushing eastward out of northern Japan, leaving clearing skies behind. Temperatures will still be frigid across the northern and western portions of the region, while areas to the south and east will see cool, but comfortable readings. Skies will be mostly fair across much of the region, with eastern China being the lone exception as fog and low clouds keep the sun at bay.
City |
High/Low
C
|
High/Low
F |
Conditions
|
Ulaanbaatar |
-11
|
-25 |
12 |
-13 |
Mostly fair
|
Vladivostok |
-2
|
-13 |
28 |
9 |
Mostly fair
|
Beijing |
9
|
-4 |
48 |
25 |
Partly cloudy
|
Seoul |
6
|
-1 |
43 |
30 |
Mostly fair
|
Tokyo |
12
|
4 |
54 |
39 |
Mostly fair
|
Shanghai |
14
|
7 |
57 |
45 |
Fog and low clouds
|
CENTRAL
Temperatures across the central region will remain mild and comfortable today, as high pressure filters into the region from the north. Cloudy skies and rainfall will dampen spirits across the higher terrain of south-central China, and scattered showers will fall across Taiwan and the Ryukyu Islands as moisture from the west gets swept up into a storm system to the north. Along the coast of southeast China and over northern Indochina, skies will be fair to partly cloudy, with plentiful sunshine bringing about fairly warm temperatures.
City |
High/Low
C
|
High/Low
F |
Conditions
|
Kunming |
13
|
7 |
55 |
45 |
Periods of rain
|
Hong Kong |
26
|
19 |
79 |
66 |
Mostly fair
|
Taipei |
22
|
19 |
72 |
63 |
Scattered showers likely
|
Naha |
23
|
18 |
73 |
64 |
Scattered showers likely
|
Hanoi |
28
|
17 |
82 |
63 |
Partly cloudy
|
SOUTH
Drier air has settled in over the northern tier of the south region, and the warm sunshine will allow temperatures to rise quickly across these areas. Moisture in the region is relegated to the southern portion of the region, as the strong seasonal northeast monsoon pushes much of it down below 10 degree latitude. However, this means that portions of Malaysia, as well as Singapore and Brunei will see a good chance for an afternoon thunderstorm, and the southern Philippines will see some scattered showers and tropical moisture lingers in the area.
City |
High/Low
C
|
High/Low
F |
Conditions
|
Siem Reap |
33
|
21 |
91 |
70 |
Partly cloudy
|
Ho Chi Minh |
33
|
23 |
91 |
73 |
Partly cloudy
|
Manila |
32
|
24 |
90 |
75 |
Partly cloudy
|
Davao City |
31
|
24 |
88 |
75 |
Scattered showers possible
|
Brunei |
32
|
24 |
90 |
75 |
Thunderstorms possible
|
Singapore |
30
|
24 |
86 |
75 |
Thunderstorms possible
|
TROPICS
Tropical disturbance 95W INVEST is the only game in town as the tropics look rather quiet to start the New Year…

TAAG, 03 JAN
95W INVEST continues to look quite disorganized to the southeast of western Micronesia, suffering from low latitude and a rather sparse moisture profile, relatively-speaking. Current long-range forecast models are fairly consistent with this system, showing a weak area of low pressure affecting the island of Mindanao in the Philippines by the end of the week. For more on the tropical situation, please see the “Western Pacific Tropical Update” by meteorologist Mike Adcock on the website.

95W INVEST, 03 JAN
The I.T.C.Z. (Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone) is still quite depressed, both in terms of activity and latitude, as it meanders south of 10 degrees north latitude. Southerly locales within the region will see a chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms, while northernmost islands will see fair to partly cloudy skies and continental air filters into these locales.
City |
High/Low
C
|
High/Low
F |
Conditions
|
Guam |
30
|
25 |
86 |
77 |
Mostly cloudy
|
Yap |
29
|
26 |
84 |
79 |
Scattered thunderstorms possible
|
Palau |
30
|
26 |
86 |
79 |
Scattered thunderstorms possible
|
Chuuk |
31
|
26 |
88 |
79 |
Scattered thunderstorms possible
|
Pohnpei |
30
|
26 |
86 |
79 |
Partly cloudy
|
Majuro |
28
|
27 |
82 |
81 |
Thunderstorms possible
|
Wake |
28
|
24 |
82 |
75 |
Mostly fair
|
Have a terrific Tuesday!
Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA
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