Archive | January 5, 2017

Coming of Age Day Japan Weekend Winter Weather Outlook

We are now getting in to mid-winter across Japan and its the time of year where snow lovers really start to put their happy hats and snow haters shut the blinds and wait for spring. Just on Thursday in to Friday parts of Gunma and Niigata seen well over 40cm of snowfall.

This coming weekend there will be a few opportunities for mother nature to add to the already heavy snow pack across Japan.  In fact much of Hokkaido is already seeing well above average snow totals thus far this winter as shown in the graphic below.

The rest of Honshu is seeing either average or slightly below average snow totals, not the best news but much better than what we were seeing a year ago this time.

The first opportunity for snow will be tonight through Friday morning, the classic winter weather pattern we see this time of year has set up with persistent north west winds dominating the forecast.

The second and more tricky to predict shot is going to coming in on Sunday night in to Monday morning.  As a winter sports lover I would be excited about Monday mornings conditions this coming weekend if the forecast plays out right.  (Monday is a National Holiday in Japan)

There is a storm system developing out of South East China and will track along the pacific coastline of Japan. Depending on  how far or close it tracks along the coast will determine how much snow falls in the mountains. Right now many numerical models are split but I will personally go with the JMA which is predicting a high snow total. Sites like Snowforecast.com are showing lower numbers but every model run this updates and becomes more accurate, so I would keep checking it if you are in the mountains.

One other thing to keep in mind is due to re-freeze and new snowfall on top of that the avalanche threat will remain in place for the time being. Parts of Hokkaido are being considered a “high” avalanche risk including the Niseko area. Something to keep in mind if heading out.

If you are heading to Nagano as well this weekend do check out the snow monkeys. Below is a video and some fun facts about them.

Western Pacific Tropical Update – 5 January 2017

Bottom Line Up Front: Increased rain for Mindanao as the ITCZ remains south of the development area and generally quiet.

Tropical Analysis – 5 January 2017 0300 UTC


Current Storms: None

5-Day Tropical Discussion: The remnants of 94W are currently passing through the Mindanao, providing showers across the southern half of the Philippines. Meanwhile, remnants of 95W have passed through Palau, centered near 135° E. It is expected to spread rain showers across Mindanao for the weekend. Neither disturbance is expected to further develop.

Elsewhere in the Western Pacific, tropical cyclone development is not expected to occur over the next five days.

Until next time, have a great day and take care. -Mike

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Daily weather brief – Thursday, January 5, 2017

NWPAC outlook, 05 JAN

NWPAC outlook, 05 JAN

NORTH

A reinforcing shot of cooler air has settled over the northernmost reaches of the north region, hints of things to come as we get into the weekend and early next week. Air quality levels in Beijing are at hazardous readings, and while snow falls from the hazy skies, there is little relief in sight in the near-term. Some moisture is pushing up from the south, bringing rainfall to eastern China and cloudy skies to the Korean peninsula. Temperatures will be chilly across mainland Asia and Japan, where Tokyo will enjoy scattered clouds and sunshine.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Ulaanbaatar

-13

-27 9 -17

Partly cloudy

Vladivostok

-7

-18 19 0

Mostly fair

Beijing

3

-4 37 25

Snow showers/HAZARDOUS AIR

Seoul

10

-1 50 30

Mostly cloudy

Tokyo

10

0 50 32

Mostly fair

Shanghai

12

11 54 52

Periods of rain

CENTRAL

Warmer air is advecting northward across the central region, ahead of a new surge that will push through next week. The moisture that has been moving through the region has travelled north, leaving behind fair to partly cloudy skies across much of the region, except for northern Indochina, where clouds streaming in from the southwest will keep the sun at bay.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Kunming

14

6 57 43

Partly cloudy

Hong Kong

25

20 77 68

Partly cloudy

Taipei

27

18 81 64

Mostly fair

Naha

23

20 73 68

Partly cloudy

Hanoi

27

19 81 66

Mostly cloudy

SOUTH

Drier air continues to settle over Indochina, letting the warm sunshine heat things up a bit across the peninsula. Moisture being trucked in the by the strong seasonal northeast monsoon will bring a chance for scattered thunderstorms over the northern Philippines, while tropical moisture associated with the remnants of 94W and 95W will bring clouds and thunderstorms to the southern half of the archipelago. Moisture is entrenched over the Malay peninsula, Singapore, and Brunei as well, giving these locations a good chance for an afternoon thunderstorm.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Siem Reap

33

23 91 73

Partly cloudy

Ho Chi Minh

33

24 91 75

Partly cloudy

Manila

30

23 86 73

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Davao City

27

23 81 73

Thunderstorms likely

Brunei

31

24 88 75

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Singapore

32

25 90 77

Scattered thunderstorms possible

TROPICS

The tropics remain quiet, aside from weak pulses of energy and moisture in the western half of the region…

TAAG, 05 JAN

TAAG, 05 JAN

The remnants of 94W and 95W will bring plentiful showers and thunderstorms across the southern Philippines today. The ITCZ remains well below the 10 latitude, with most of the region’s moisture settled in below that latitude. There are no areas of concern out there at this time, and most locations in the southern half of the region will see a chance for showers or scattered thunderstorms, while mostly dry conditions will prevail over areas to the north. For more details on the tropical situation, please see the “Western Pacific Tropical Update” by meteorologist Mike Adcock on the site.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Guam

31

24 88 75

Partly cloudy

Yap

30

26 86 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Palau

28

26 82 79

Thunderstorms possible

Chuuk

30

26 86 79

Scattered showers possible

Pohnpei

29

26 84 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Majuro

29

27 84 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Wake

28

24 82 75

Partly cloudy

Have a thrilling Thursday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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Disclaimer:

By making use of any information on this website, you agree to the following:

NO WARRANTIES: All of the information provided on this website is provided “AS-IS” and with NO WARRANTIES. No express or implied warranties of any type are made with respect to the information, or any use of the information, on this site. Westernpacificweather.com makes no representations and extends no warranties of any type as to the accuracy or completeness of any information or content on this website.

DISCLAIMER OF LIABILITY: Westernpacificweather.com specifically DISCLAIMS LIABILITY FOR INCIDENTAL OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES and assumes no responsibility or liability for any loss or damage suffered by any person as a result of the use or misuse of any of the information or content on this website. Westernpacificweather.com assumes or undertakes NO LIABILITY for any loss or damage suffered as a result of the use, misuse or reliance on the information and content on this website.

USE AT YOUR OWN RISK: This website is for informational purposes only. The opinions expressed within this website are the opinions of each contributor. Westernpacificweather.com urges you to consult with OFFICIAL sources for information whenever you feel a threat is impending.

All rights reserved. © 2016 Westernpacificweather.com