NORTH
Very cold air continues to dominate much of the north region today as we head into the weekend. The big story this weekend is the snowfall expected in parts of western Japan as the latest storm system drags in very cold air over the relatively warmer Sea of Japan, and gets a lift from the topography throughout the western and central prefectures. This scenario is forecast to bring about a significant snowfall event over these areas, leading to the potential for avalanches in the mountainous terrain. Anyone planning to visit these areas over the weekend should exercise extreme caution.
Elsewhere across the region, clouds and a few snow showers are likely over southeastern Russia and the Korean Peninsula, while fog and low clouds will keep conditions cool and clammy across eastern china. Air quality across Beijing continues to degrade and stagnant air and high pressure remain locked in.
City |
High/Low C |
High/Low
F |
Conditions |
||
Ulaanbaatar |
-15 |
-29 | 5 | -20 |
Mostly fair |
Vladivostok |
-11 |
-24 | 12 | -11 |
Mostly cloudy |
Beijing |
2 |
-8 | 36 | 18 |
Partly cloudy/Haz. air quality |
Seoul |
-1 |
-11 | 30 | 12 |
Snow showers likely |
Tokyo |
10 |
0 | 50 | 32 |
Mostly fair |
Shanghai |
11 |
1 | 52 | 34 |
Fog and low clouds |
CENTRAL
Clouds and showers will dampen sprits over the central region as a frontal system remains stalled out over the region. The heaviest precipitation will be found over the Ryukyu Islands, while scattered showers will prevail to the south and west as far as northern Indochina. Temperatures will be held back a bit by the cloud-cover and rain, with most locations only reaching the mid to upper teens C (low-mid 60’s F).
City |
High/Low C |
High/Low
F |
Conditions |
||
Kunming |
16 |
7 | 61 | 45 |
Scattered showers likely |
Hong Kong |
16 |
15 | 61 | 59 |
Mostly cloudy |
Taipei |
17 |
14 | 63 | 57 |
Scattered showers likely |
Naha |
18 |
15 | 64 | 59 |
Periods of rain |
Hanoi |
16 |
14 | 61 | 57 |
Scattered showers likely |
SOUTH
The south region is dealing with two major plumes of moisture associated with tropically-oriented systems as the remnants of 01W move into Indochina, and moisture from the degrading 97W INVEST moves into the Philippines. Most of the rainfall will begin this weekend in Vietnam, Cambodia, and eastern Thailand, but parts of the Philippines has already seen the rainfall begin.
To the south, plentiful tropical moisture remains in place, lending to a good chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Where the sun shines the most, temperatures will be very warm, while the remainder of the region will also see highs in the lower 30’s C (Near 90 F).
City |
High/Low C |
High/Low
F |
Conditions |
||
Siem Reap |
33 |
23 | 91 | 73 |
Mostly cloudy |
Ho Chi Minh |
34 |
24 | 93 | 75 |
Partly cloudy |
Manila |
31 |
24 | 88 | 75 |
Partly cloudy |
Davao City |
32 |
24 | 90 | 75 |
Scattered thunderstorms possible |
Brunei |
33 |
24 | 91 | 75 |
Partly cloudy |
Singapore |
32 |
25 | 90 | 77 |
Thunderstorms possible |
TROPICS
01W and 97W INVEST continue to weaken as the atmosphere continues to dry out over much of the tropics…
01W, which JMA still labels a tropical depression on surface maps, has basically fallen apart due to strong wind shear and dry atmospheric conditions. This system will continue to degrade as it gets pushed to the west-southwest by the strong seasonal northeast monsoon. 97W INVEST has also been showing signs of degradation, as the convection has separated from the very weak surface low pressure, and has been pushed to the west by the strong northeast monsoon. This system is currently bringing rainfall to the eastern Visayas in the Philippines, and this moisture will slide across the Visayas and southern Luzon over the weekend.
Elsewhere across the tropics, much of the moisture has been carried away to the west by the most recent disturbances, and as the recent M.J.O. (Madden-Julian oscillation0 phase wanes and drier air comes in from the north, we find most of the remaining moisture to be located well below 10 degrees latitude. Most locations across the tropics can expect a chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms today, but the action will be quite isolated and light. For more information on the tropics, please refer to the “Western Pacific Tropical Update” by meteorologist Mike Adcock on this website.
City |
High/Low C |
High/Low
F |
Conditions |
||
Guam |
30 |
26 | 86 | 79 |
Scattered thunderstorms possible |
Yap |
30 |
26 | 86 | 79 |
Scattered thunderstorms possible |
Palau |
30 |
26 | 86 | 79 |
Partly cloudy |
Chuuk |
30 |
26 | 86 | 79 |
Scattered thunderstorms possible |
Pohnpei |
30 |
26 | 86 | 79 |
Partly cloudy |
Majuro |
30 |
26 | 86 | 79 |
Scattered thunderstorms possible |
Wake |
27 |
24 | 81 | 75 |
Mostly fair |
Have a fabulous Friday!
Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA
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