Western Pacific Tropical Update – 6 February 2017

Bottom Line Up Front:  Tropical Depression Bising on last breath.

Tropical Analysis – 6 February 2017 0600 UTC

Active Storms: Tropical Depression (98W/Bising)
Watches/Warnings: No tropical cyclone watches or warning.
Hazards: High surf along eastern seaboards of Philippines and western seaboard of Palau, mostly from Northeast Monsoon, but enhanced by Bising.
Discussion: Shear is winning the battle again Bising this afternoon.  The cold front over Japan will continue to usher shear over the Philippine Sea while cutting off steering support for the system.  As a result, Bising should continue weakening and meandering across the Philippine Sea.  Although it is weakening, remnants showers will linger for a few more days, increasing the possibility of isolated showers for eastern portions of the Philippines.

National agencies are in agreement of this scenario.  JMA no longer forecasting Bising to become a tropical storm, although it maintained it as a depression at 0000 UTC.  PAGASA maintains depression status, noting weakening as well.  JTWC no longer suspects the area for development.  Moreover, there was no 0600 UTC analysis and the invest may be removed soon.

Satellite Snapshot, Tropical Depression (98W/Bising) – 6 February 2017 0600 UTC


5-Day Tropical Discussion: 

Elsewhere, tropical cyclone development is not expected to occur over the next five days.

Until next time, have a great day and take care. -Mike



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