Archive | February 16, 2017

Western Pacific Tropical Update – 16 February 2017

Bottom Line Up Front:  Heavy rains affecting portions of the Philippines.

Tropical Analysis – 16 February 2017 0600 UTC

Active Storms: None.

5-Day Tropical Discussion: 

A trough of low pressure area along southeastern Philippines continues drifting westward.  It is spreading heavy rains across Mindanao and the Visayas.  100-200 mm are possible over the eastern seaboard of the Philippines, increasing the threat for possible flash flooding and landslides.  Development of this disturbance is not anticipated.

Elsewhere, tropical cyclone development is not expected to occur over the next five days.

Until next time, have a great day and take care. -Mike



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Philippines Hit With Cool Air in North, Heavy Rains i

A complex weather setup continues to dominate the Philippines today due to a combination of factors. For starters a tropical trough is lingering over Mindanao bringing heavy rain to the southern Island of the Philippines.


Synoptic Setup

Fueling up this trough is cool air aloft due to a cold surge that has been bringing the coldest air of the season to the Northern Philippines this past week. There has even been reports of frost in the rural foothills of northern Luzon. 

Good news this foul weather pattern should end through the weekend with temperatures across Luzon getting back to normal and the trough in the south tapering off.