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Heavy rainfall for Mindanao over the next 24-36 hours

Good afternoon from the Western Pacific Weather team.

After a few days of relative calm in the Western Pacific, a developing low pressure east of Mindanao will bring significant rainfall for the central and southern Philippines over the next 24-36 hours (from Thursday through late Friday/early Saturday). The rain has already been falling up until this point – especially for those in Visayas and near Cebu, but the rain will intensify throughout the rest of the day and into the overnight hours, eventually expanding further south. There are concerns for flooding through that time period. Rainfall rates will increase from the current rate of about 5 mm/hr to anywhere from 10-15 mm/hr. The system will likely move west of the Philippines before intensifying into a weak tropical depression in about 36 hours (sometime mid to late Friday).

Jonathan Oh
Meteorologist, Western Pacific Weather

20171116 Satellite

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About Jonathan Oh

Jonathan Oh is a meteorologist on Western Pacific Weather and appearing on NHK World. Jonathan has been working in the field for more than 10 years with a focus on broadcast, radar, and computer model forecasting. He is currently based in Tokyo, Japan.

2 Responses to “Heavy rainfall for Mindanao over the next 24-36 hours”

  1. Michael Carlysle Brotherton Reply November 16, 2017 at 8:53 pm

    Hey Johnathon Thanks for the update I hang out there when I am there> I hope it goes away for a bit in the next couple of weeks. I like the new look here glad the team is still basically together still. I live by a river there what is the potential for flooding. Say in the Cagayan De Oro area

    • Thanks for your comment. Well, at this point, most of the rain has departed from the Philippines, which means it is likely that areas that aren’t seeing flooding are not likely to deal with any problems in the near future.

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