Archive | February, 2021

Long Range Tropical Outlook and Storm Over South West Japan

The tropics remain calm for now but I talk about what March – April could hold for us in the western pacific. Plus a quick look at what’s going on across Japan this week as back to back storms start to spin up.

The first part of today’s update I discuss the back to back storms that are flowing along the jet stream from Okinawa to Hokkaido. Not unprecedented conditions but messy none the less. Find your local weather conditions here.

Meanwhile in the tropics nothing in the long range forecast is visible yet a La Nina remains in place and is expected to stick around through the spring according to the climate predication center.

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https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml

The graphic below indicates where the sea surface temperature anomalies are at this time. This indicates above average temperatures in the western pacific and the Philippine sea. This would provide more fuel for storms to spin up if the ingredients become in place through March in to April.

Do you want to know more about what the ENSO is, watch the video below.

Hachiko, the World’s Coolest Dog!

Outside of Shibuya Train Station right next to the world famous scramble is Hachiko. Or what I like to call world’s coolest dog. This video I talk about why.

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Storm Developing to Impact South West Japan while Philippines clean up after Auring / Dujuan

Auring internationally known as Dujuan has weakened and really is no more outside of the shearing line that lingers in Luzon. Thousands were evacuated ahead of the storm four people are now missing at one six year old girl drowned due to flooding from the storm.

Good news it will dry up there this week, but the energy from the storm could lift north and bring some rough weather to South West Japan by the end of the week. First though on Thursday – Friday winds will pick up in Okinawa with gust up to 30-40kts, that is tropical storm possible wind gust on Okinawa. Enough to toss light objects around but not enough to cause any sort of Damage. By Friday in to Saturday Kyushu and Shikoku will also see a significant increase in wind.

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Tropical Depression Auring / Dujuan Update

Severe floods took place after heavy rainfall in North East Mindanao. Thousands were evacuated here as homes became submerged. Good news is Auring / Dujuan continues to weaken today leaving behind clearing conditions in those places hit the worse. In this update I discuss what has happened and the extended forecast.


Satellite imagery on the storm can be found here. https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/01W/01W_floater.html