Tropical Depression Auring / Dujuan Near Landfall in the Philippines

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Tropical Auring / Dujuan was upgraded to a Tropical Storm today as it nears Mindanao and Visayas. Yet after it moves onshore it will weaken quickly thanks to a cold surge flowing in out of China. Thus the track looks scary I know but the big thing is the intensity of it as it tracks north and the moisture load in NE Mindanao and Eastern Visayas where serious flooding will take place.

The biggest rainfall threat will be in South East Visayas and North East Mindanao where wide spread 100mm plus of rainfall is likely creating a flood threat / landslide threat for the area.

Thus on the JTWC track if you look close at the intensity it has it weakening… LONG Range I’m watching for impacts on Okinawa.. there is a SMALL SMALL chance of it moving north but not enough of a threat to worry at this time.

Lastly remember that Mindanao does not typically get heavy rainfall like this and there is a decent chance of flooding here. Even with the same amount of rain that would not create as much of a mess further north. Image below in fact shows the Signal Force Warnings today. Very rare to have them in SE Mindanao.


The bigger impact further north in to Okinawa is the inflow of cold wind across the island associated with a cold surge today.

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