Archive | May, 2021

Developing Tropical Depressions East of the Philippines

We have two areas to watch this weekend in the tropics, one currently bringing passing storms to Palau and another impacting small islands south east of Guam. Guidance develops both storms yet are different on where exactly to take them. Regardless an increase in rainfall for the Philippines and Guam is in the forecast.

For now though we need to monitor this closely, if you have any questions let me know on our Facebook or youtube page.

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Western Pacific Tropical Outlook

We now have a new invest area in the western pacific, (99W) located south of Guam. The tropics seem to be starting to fire up recently but at least nothing major seems to be popping up in the forecast. Still though lets talk about this invest area and what we see today.

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Long Range Tropical Threat and when will the wet season arrive.

Lots of questions in today’s update. For now things are relatively calm out side of passing heavy showers across Mindanao and the rainy season front in Japan. But the GFS has been aggressive on developing something out there as we wrap up the month of June. In this update I discuss what we could be looking at.

Plus we also take a look at when the wet season will be turning on here for South East Asia.

Tropical Depression Over Mindanao

After a short spell as a Tropical Storm Crising is laughably disorganized now as it moves over Mindanao. The big issue continues to be rainfall with this low as tracks west north of Davao City. Some rain may be felt futher north into southern Visayas as well but that is about the extent of impacts from this storm system.

Elsewhere the rainy season front continues to dominate today bringing messy weather from eastern China through South West Japan with high pressure in control in the northern Philippines resulting in extreme heat there through the Indo-China Penisulla.