Archive | September, 2021

Typhoon Mindulle Passing Near Tokyo, Japan Friday

A messy Friday in the Forecast for the Izu islands and coastal Kanto Plain in Japan. It May not be a full-on Typhoon for Tokyo but for the coast some tropical storm conditions are likely. This includes the Yokosuka area where gust over 100kph is possible Friday afternoon. That equals a few gusts over “50kts” enough to sufficiently toss a trampoline or two.

The 50KT forecast is also expected via CFAY or the Military weather office in Yokosuka.

Good news is the storm will peak Friday but by Saturday conditions will rapidly improve on the back side of Mindulle leading to some nice weather over the weekend.

Typhoon Mindulle Nearing Japan

#Mindulle has a big fat eye on it after going through an EWRC (eyewall replacement cycle). So big you can almost call this guy MIke Wazowski. (let’s see who gets that) This has created a rather large wind field with it but the good news is the storm should stay offshore enough to keep the worse of the weather away from Honshu. Coastal Chiba and Kanagawa though are going to see messy conditions Friday morning.

For my friends along the coast of Honshu including Kanagawa, Chiba and the Izu islands here is a rough translation of what you can expect according to JMA. I think these numbers are on the higher end of the forecast but still possible as #Mindulle passes off the coast.

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Chanthu / Kiko Passes near Luzon and then in to Taiwan

Sunrise over Typhoon Chanthu / Kiko shows a beast of a storm off the coast of northeast Luzon. I know it looks spooky but the good news the forecast continues to pull the storm north. To close for comfort though with the outer rain bands though. I do think the outer eye wall will be close enough to cause problems for places like Santa Ana and Aparri in northern Luzon.

Then it’s all about the rainfall not only in the Philippines but also further north in to Taiwan and flooding rains along the east coast through Taipei is likely. Full video here.

Super Typhoon Chanthu / Kiko Nearing NE Luzon and in to Taiwan

#Chanthu / Kiko is still too close for comfort in to Luzon, it is expected to pass north of Cagayan but cone of error remains well over Cagayan. In fact I think the outer eye wall will likely move over Santa Ana and Aparri, so if you know anyone out there ensure they are getting ready for a typhoon.

On another note, inflow will wrap into the storm from the west behind it bringing rain all weekend down through Palawan, Manila and even Visayas. Then as the storm moves over Taiwan severe flooding is possible as we could see well over 500MM of rainfall.