16th November 2021 Tropical Outlook

Tracking an LPA and a few tropical waves out over the western pacific today. In short no typhoons in the forecast but that does not mean everything will be dry either.

  1. The LPA over the Sulu sea is bringing plenty of rainfall from Cebu to Palawan today. Few areas could see local flooding and even the threat of landslides.
  2. The shear line over Luzon is also triggering locally heavy rainfall in the Cagayan valley. This setup will remain in place through Wednesday.
  3. A new tropical wave is passing Guam, it has been raining there on and off for the past 48hrs and more rain is on it’s way due to the wave. This area is not expected to become a typhoon but will increase in organzition a bit before hitting the shear line with the cold surge later this week in to the weekend. This will increase showers in the Philippines. First in Visayas then lifting north in to Luzon by Sunday in to Monday.

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