Archive | November 29, 2021

New Storm developing in the Philippine Sea

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center is now warning on the Tropical Depression near Guam. A high surf advisory is in place for the entire Mariana islands as well as scattered showers here into Tuesday. Despite the track showing a turn to the northeast the JTWC discussion does state pretty clearly that there is low confidence in the extended outlook and there is some split in the model guidance on if the storm will quickly turn north, stall out or linger and move west. The bulk of the guidance still turns it north and east with that said and thus it is reflected on the JTWC track. If this storm is named it will be called Nyatoh by JMA and Odette by PAGASA.