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TSUNAMI WATCH Cancelled over the Indian Ocean Region;

Manila (Philippines) 11 April 2012 – An earthquake struck off coast of Sumatra, Indonesia, specifically it’s about 434 km Southwest of Northern Sumatra. The earthquake struck 4:38 PM Indonesia local time. The said earthquake reached a Magnitude 8.9 but later on it was lowered by the USGS to Magnitude 8.6.

With this amount of force released to the grounds, different national agencies including PTWC have issued a Tsunami Watch all over the Indian Ocean. This event was taken seriously by different countries all over the Indian Ocean: Indonesia, India, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, Thailand, Maldives and other countries in the east of African Continent.

(Reuters Agency) India – officials in the Andaman islands in India have evacuated a few thousand people to higher ground as the islands prepare for tsunami waves up to 3.9 meters.”There could be high waves of 1.5 metres at Port Blair and 3.9 metres at Campbell Bay,” said Prabhakar Rao, the official in charge of the disaster control room at Port Blair, the main town on the islands. “We have evacuated people from low lying areas of Campbell Bay islands and we have also alerted them as there is a reportthat high waves may hit Indira Point area,” south Andaman region police superintendent S.B.S. Tyagi said.

(Aljazeera) Thailand – Thai authorities have shut the international airport on the southern tourist island of Phuket, Six provinces along the Andaman coast were issued a tsunami warning following the initial quake off Aceh and people has started evacuating on higher grounds

(Aljazeera) Sri Lanka – reporting from Sri Lanka, says the acting media minister has stated that  tourists in hotels along the coastal belt have been moved to safer ground following renewed warnings of a tsunami for the Indian Ocean.

(Aljazeera) Indonesia – People from coastal areas in Indonesia have been evacuated. There are no reports of damages or casualties.

Three hours after the initial quake it was still unclear whether a tsunami had been generated. A geophysicist from the PTWC stated that a gauge closest to the epicenter of the quake off the northern coast of Sumatra recorded a peak of about a meter. A bulletin issued by the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center on 10:14 UTC stated that a tsunami was generated and may have been destructive along some coasts already. However, BBC reported that the quake was unlikely to generate a tidal wave. Indonesian authorities have also issued a statement saying that the probability of occurrence of a tsunami is low.

MEASUREMENTS OR REPORTS OF TSUNAMI WAVE ACTIVITY

GAUGE LOCATION        LAT   LON    TIME        AMPL         PER

——————-  —– ——  —–  —————  —–

KO TAPHAO NOI TH      7.8N  98.4E  1143Z   0.05M /  0.2FT  06MIN

ENGGANO ID            5.3S 102.3E  1104Z   0.12M /  0.4FT  04MIN

TRINCONMALEE LK       8.6N  81.2E  1129Z   0.06M /  0.2FT  16MIN

TELUKDALAM ID         0.6N  97.8E  1044Z   0.22M /  0.7FT  14MIN

COCOS ISLAND AU      12.1S  96.9E  1102Z   0.08M /  0.3FT  18MIN

SABANG ID             5.8N  95.3E  1010Z   0.36M /  1.2FT  06MIN

MEULABOH ID           4.1N  96.1E  1007Z   1.06M /  3.5FT  12MIN

DART 23401            8.9N  88.5E  0956Z   0.03M /  0.1FT  06MIN

2004 Earthquake and 2012 Earthquake Scenario

December 26, 2004. A 9.1 Earthquake struck almost same area, which generated a monster wave that killed 200,000 people. Now another huge earthquake struck with a Magnitude of 8.6, different countries fear for a possible scenario that might happen. After several hours, PTWC has lifted all watches in the region.
A possible explanation for this is that the “Boxing Day” Tsunami, which was triggered on December 26, 2004, was generated by a subduction fault undersea. The sudden movement causes the wave to be in its chaos form.

 

April 11, 2012 Earthquake’s movement is strike slip. Meaning the movement of the fault are nearly vertical. This may cause a minimal waves not destructive as the subduction movement.

Although waves still can reach a meter.

2012 Cherry Blossom Forecast

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            Cherry blossom, the most awaited plant to full bloom for the Japanese and foreigners, is now starting to bloom again. Most of the trees in the southern areas of Japan have started to bloom but it is expected to be fully bloom this April. The expected full bloom in the northern parts especially Hokkaido is on May due to some weather abnormalities this year. The temperatures on March stayed low, this stayed the flower buds to grow slowly. For this reason the cherry blossom blooming date will be slower than usual.

In Osaka and Hiroshima Prefecture, cherry blossom has started to flowered. Cherry Blossom flowering was reported on April 2. In Osaka this was the first time for the tree to bloom in April since 2005. April 3 when the Low Pressure lashes over Japan, Cherry blossoms are not expected to fall because of the winds and full bloom may start next week.

※Forecast from (Japan Weather Association) JWA

※ Map were edited by Lextrike

※ of the difference (last year) average year “-” is faster than (last year) average, “+” indicates that the slower than (last year) average.

※ The value is the average value or last year, using the value of each municipality and attractions, the Meteorological Agency, there is no point average value was calculated on the basis of observational data of the past.

※ point there is no record of past observations point has not been observed and is in full bloom, full bloom is not expected to announced.

※ at the point of the anticipated date () is flowering, full bloom was observed, represents flowering date, the date in full bloom.

Kyushu region Point Expected
flowering date
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days) Expected
full bloom
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days)
Fukuoka Fukuoka (March 27)

+4

+5

(April 1)

Zero

-1

Oita Oita (March 27)

+3

+4

(April 3)

Zero

-2

Nagasaki Nagasaki (March 26)

+2

+3

(April 2)

-1

-5

Saga Saga (March 28)

+4

+6

(April 3)

Zero

-2

Kumamoto Kumamoto (March 25)

+2

+4

(April 2)

+1

-5

Miyazaki Miyazaki (March 24)

Zero

+1

(April 3)

+1

-1

Miyakonojo (March 23)

-1

+1

(March 30)

-1

-3

Kagoshima Kagoshima (March 26)

Zero

+3

April 5

+1

Zero

Shikoku Point Expected
flowering date
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days) Expected
full bloom
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days)
Kagawa Takamatsu (April 2)

+5

+2

April 8

+3

Zero

Tokushima Tokushima (April 1)

+4

+1

April 7

+2

-1

Ehime Matsuyama (March 30)

+5

+5

(April 4)

Zero

-2

Uwajima (March 25)

+3

+5

(March 30)

-2

+1

Kochi Kochi (March 21)

-1

-1

(March 27)

-3

-4

Sukumo (March 24)

+1

+2

Chugoku Point Expected
flowering date
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days) Expected
full bloom
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days)
Hiroshima Hiroshima (April 2)

+6

+1

April 9

+5

-1

Okayama Okayama (April 3)

+5

+3

April 9

+3

+2

Shimane Matsue April 5

+5

-1

April 11

+3

-1

Tottori Tottori City (April 3)

+3

+1

April 11

+4

+3

Yamaguchi Shimonoseki (March 30)

+3

Zero

April 7

+2

Zero

Iwakuni (April 1)

Five

One

April 7

Two

Zero

Kinki Point Expected
flowering date
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days) Expected
full bloom
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days)
Osaka Osaka (April 2)

+5

+2

April 9

+4

+2

Shiga Hikone April 7

+5

+6

April 14

+5

+3

Kyoto Kyoto (April 3)

+6

+6

April 9

+4

+2

Maizuru April 9

+6

+4

April 15

+7

+5

Hyogo Kobe (April 2)

+5

+2

April 11

+6

+1

Himeji (April 4)

+6

+2

April 12

+5

+1

Nara Nara (April 3)

+5

+3

April 9

+4

+1

Wakayama Wakayama (March30)

+4

+3

(April 4)

Zero

-3

Tokai region Point Expected
flowering date
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days) Expected
full bloom
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days)
Aichi Nagoya (March 30)

+4

+3

April 7

+4

+1

Shizuoka Shizuoka (March 24)

-1

+4

(April 1)

-2

-3

Hamamatsu (March 29)

+2

+1

(April 4)

Zero

-3

Gifu Gifu City (March 30)

+4

+2

April 7

+3

+3

Takayama April 18

+3

Zero

April 23

+3

-1

Mie Tsu (April 4)

+5

+3

April 10

+5

+5

Kanto region Point Expected
flowering date
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days) Expected
full bloom
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days)
Tokyo Central Tokyo (March 31)

+5

+3

April 8

+5

+2

Hachioji April 5

+8

+5

Ibaraki Mito April 6

+4

Zero

April 12

+4

Zero

Tochigi Utsunomiya April 6

+5

Zero

April 12

+4

Zero

Gunma Maebashi April 5

+5

+2

April 10

+4

-1

Saitama Kumagaya (April 4)

+6

+3

April 10

+5

+2

Saitama
(Omiyakoen)
(April 2)

+7

+1

Chiba Choshi (April 2)

+2

-2

April 10

+2

-2

Kanagawa Yokohama (April 2)

+7

+3

April 9

+6

+1

Odawara (March 30)

+4

-2

April 6

+3

-2

Tokyo Hachijo-jima (March 28)

-3

-4

April 9

Zero

+1

Koshin region Point Expected
flowering date
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days) Expected
full bloom
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days)
Yamanashi Kofu (April 1)

+5

+3

April 8

+5

Zero

Nagano Nagano April 16

+3

+1

April 21

+4

Zero

Omachi April 23

+4

+1

April 27

+5

-1

Iiyama April 20

+3

-4

Matsumoto April 13

+3

+2

April 18

+3

+1

Ueda April 14

+5

+3

April 19

+6

+3

Komoro April 19

+4

+2

April 25

+4

Zero

Suwa April 17

+5

+3

Ina April 11

-1

-2

April 17

Zero

-1

Iida April 8

+4

+2

April 14

+5

+3

Hokuriku District Point Expected
flowering date
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days) Expected
full bloom
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days)
Niigata Prefecture Niigata April 15

+6

+1

April 19

+5

+1

Niigata Joetsu City
(Park Takada)
April 14

+6

+2

April 18

+5

+2

Toyama Prefecture Toyama April 10

+5

+2

April 14

+4

+3

Toyama Prefecture Takaoka
(Takaoka Castle Park)
April 10

+4

+2

April 14

+4

Zero

Ishikawa Prefecture Kanazawa April 8

+4

+1

April 14

+4

+2

Ishikawa Prefecture Wajima April 14

+5

+1

Fukui Prefecture Fukui April 7

+4

Zero

April 14

+5

+1

Tohoku district Point Expected
flowering date
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days) Expected
full bloom
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days)
Miyagi Sendai April 15

+4

+3

April 21

+5

+6

Aomori Aomori April 28

+4

+3

May 4

+5

+6

Aomori Hirosaki
(Hirosaki Park)
April 27

+4

+1

May 3

+5

+1

Aomori Hachinohe April 29

+6

+5

Akita Akita April 22

+4

-1

April 27

+5

Zero

Akita Semboku
(Tsutsumi Uchikawa cypress-Kakunodate)
April 28

+4

-3

May 2

+4

-3

Iwate Morioka April 26

+5

+6

April 30

+5

+1

Iwate Kitakami
(Katsuji Exhibition north)
April 25

+5

+2

April 30

+4

-1

Iwate Ofunato April 19

+5

+8

Yamagata Yamagata April 20

+5

+2

April 25

+6

Zero

Yamagata Sakata
(Park Konan)
April 18

+4

-3

April 23

+5

-4

Fukushima Fukushima April 13

+4

+1

April 18

+5

+3

Fukushima Iwaki
(Onahama)
April 11

+5

+2

April 16

+4

+1