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Westpacwx Typhoon Basics

Some basic typhoon and westpacwx information for those new to the area. Typhoon season is coming so best to be ready with all the right information.

Philippine Seasonal Weather Update:

The verdict is split on if people are ready for this or not, but the winds look more and more like a solid shift this weekend into next weekend across SE Asia including the Philippines. Simply put if not the start of the SW Monsoon it’s an appetizer leading up to it. Starting this weekend expect more rain not only for Mindanao but also switching north across the NCR and much of Luzon.

Meanwhile long-range ensembles show a weak a La Nina and below-average rainfall from June to September

Watching the tropical western pacific.

Tropical easterlies are dominating across the western pacific today. But there is a tropical wave worth watching southeast of Guam. Let’s discuss some of the latest on what’s going on out there.

Today PAGASA now watching the tropical wave near Chuuk for possible development. At this point the chance of development is “low” but the chance is there nonetheless. Guidance continues to remain split on if we see something develop or not as well but one thing is consistent, at least an increase in rainfall with a tropical disturbance into late next week. Unfortunately, this could be for the same areas impacted by Agaton this past week as well. At this point as with any long-term forecast don’t panic, watch for the latest updates.

LONG RANGE TROPICAL OUTLOOK

Today PAGASA now watching the tropical wave near Chuuk for possible development. At this point the chance of development is “low” but the chance is there nonetheless. Guidance continues to remain split on if we see something develop or not as well but one thing is consistent, at least an increase in rainfall with a tropical disturbance into late next week. Unfortunately, this could be for the same areas impacted by Agaton this past week as well. At this point as with any long-term forecast don’t panic, watch for the latest updates.

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