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Typhoon Fengshen Undergoes Rapid Intensification

The Northern Mariana Islands are being impacted by a now much stronger typhoon Fengshen after the storm underwent some rapid intensification over the North Pacific.

According to the Guam NWS ” The Typhoon Warning for Agrihan, Pagan, and Alamagan in the

Commonwealth of the Northern Marianas will be cancelled by 800 AM.
Winds across all three islands have decreased below damaging levels
but will remain breezy today.:" 

Good news where that warning is in place the islands are more or less uninhabited. The storm will continue to recurve as well thanks to an upper level trough to the north resulting in it missing the Ogasawara islands as well of Japan. I’m sure some nasty waves on their southern shores will be felt but that is nothing new for those islands.

The image below is the DVORAK estimate on the storm. Notice the large jump after rapid intensification took place on the storm. This is very similar to what we seen with typhoon Halong and typhoon Hagibis earlier this year in the same area of the Pacific. Warm sea surface temperatures in this area really provide fuel for these storms to gain strength.

Overall Fengshen is an interesting storm to look but but I’m not all to worried on it’s impact on people directly.


Lastly and I continue to job search in Japan. It’s home for me which is one reason why I continue to put these updates out, if you know of any weather positions open in the country please let me know!

Also remember you can follow me on

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Lastly for more information on me please check https://www.robertspeta.com

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Bomb Cyclone Of A storm over Far Eastern Russia Set to bring heavy snow to northern Japan

A low pressure area who’s pressure dropped over 24mb in 24hrs making it a “bomb cyclone” is stirring up the seas off of Far Eastern Russia today. According to ASCAT imagery in fact sustained winds near Typhoon strength are being seeing just north of Hokkaido around the Kuril Islands, I’m sure due to funneling in those areas gust over typhoon strength are taking place.

As the image shows below JMA is expecting over 100cm of snowfall across Hokkaido from the 15th – the 17th along with winds upwards of 35 m/s to 126kph! That’s more or less a very rough day.

Skiers and snowboards rejoice though, this will help resorts get going across northern Japan with the sea effect snow as well bringing snow for most of the resorts in Hokkaido and maybe even as far south as the mountains across Niigata and Nagano. Places like Kagura in Yuzawa will get a nice bit of snow.

If you are curious about the dynamics behind sea effect snow check out this video.


Lastly and I continue to job search in Japan. It’s home for me which is one reason why I continue to put these updates out, if you know of any weather positions open in the country please let me know!

Also remember you can follow me on

Twitter

Facebook

Instagram (RobertSpetaWX)

YouTube (Westpacwx)

Lastly for more information on me please check https://www.robertspeta.com

Tropical Storm Kalmaegi / Ramon Impacting the Philippines

A disorganized mess of a storm continues to swirl off the east coast of the Philippines today bringing scattered showers up and down the countries eastern Sea board. This all thanks to Tropical Storm Kalmaegi or Ramon as it is known in the Philippines.

The key thing to note with this storm is that it will be a big rain maker in northern Luzon, in fact upwards of 300-400 mm of rain is possible creating localized flooding and possible landslides in Northern Luzon from the Cagayan Valley East maybe. Manila on the other hand should miss out on most of the rain.

There is some debate on if this storm will become a typhoon though, at this time the low level circulation remains rather disorganized and stretched to the north east thanks to an upper level through out of China. If the low level swirl does consolidate enough it could develop in to a full on typhoon and track north east as the forecast from JMA depicts. Yet I agree more with the graphic below from JTWC keeping the storm relatively weak as it struggles against wind shear moving across the Philippines this week. In fact I would be surprised it remains a severe tropical storm for long either. *Still bringing rainfall though*

Unfortunately not much rainfall is expected in Manila and the NCR for that matter from this storm. This area remains dry and water restrictions are in place for parts of the region. The lack of any real storms over Manila is the culprit for this. One thing to note though is in the extended forecast models continue to detect a possible typhoon some where in the country. We can in fact see where the possible storm could develop well out to sea south of Guam. But now with the convection there and a low level swirl starting to show it’s face I feel more comfortable discussing the possibility with this storm. For now though we will watch it closely and I think tomorrow I’ll have more information on this next possible storm.

Lastly Fengshen the most impressive storm in the Western Pacific right now has been upgraded to a typhoon by the Japan Meteorological agency. The storm has triggered typhoon warnings for the Northern Mariana Islands and will bring some messy weather across the Ogasawara islands in Japan as well but will in the end re-curve and head out to sea.



Lastly and I continue to job search in Japan. It’s home for me which is one reason why I continue to put these updates out, if you know of any weather positions open in the country please let me know!

Also remember you can follow me on

Twitter

Facebook

Instagram (RobertSpetaWX)

YouTube (Westpacwx)

Lastly for more information on me please check https://www.robertspeta.com