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JUNE 1ST TROPICAL OUTLOOK

It’s June 1st in the in the western pacific and what does that mean? Well, not much.. in the westpac typhoon season never really begins or ends and there really is a threat year-round for the development of storms.

One thing that does change as we head into June is the chance of re-curving typhoons towards Japan. That is why the US Military they do set TCORIV on June 1st. A simple way to ensure the military there are just a bit more prepared for the threat of a storm.

For the Philippines the storm threat moves a bit further north as well, thus taking Mindanao out of the cone of risk or at least high risk for a typhoon. The area already was blasted earlier this year by Typhoon Odette which brought severe damage from Sairgao to Cebu to Palawan.

For the latest forecast be sure to check our youtube channel

Westpacwx Typhoon Basics

Some basic typhoon and westpacwx information for those new to the area. Typhoon season is coming so best to be ready with all the right information.

Philippine Seasonal Weather Update:

The verdict is split on if people are ready for this or not, but the winds look more and more like a solid shift this weekend into next weekend across SE Asia including the Philippines. Simply put if not the start of the SW Monsoon it’s an appetizer leading up to it. Starting this weekend expect more rain not only for Mindanao but also switching north across the NCR and much of Luzon.

Meanwhile long-range ensembles show a weak a La Nina and below-average rainfall from June to September

Watching the tropical western pacific.

Tropical easterlies are dominating across the western pacific today. But there is a tropical wave worth watching southeast of Guam. Let’s discuss some of the latest on what’s going on out there.

Today PAGASA now watching the tropical wave near Chuuk for possible development. At this point the chance of development is “low” but the chance is there nonetheless. Guidance continues to remain split on if we see something develop or not as well but one thing is consistent, at least an increase in rainfall with a tropical disturbance into late next week. Unfortunately, this could be for the same areas impacted by Agaton this past week as well. At this point as with any long-term forecast don’t panic, watch for the latest updates.