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North Korea Rocket Launch Forecast / 12 April 2012

 

 

North Korea’s Rocket in Tongchang-ri is fueled and ready to go for a launch sometime this week. Weather conditions continue to improve hear leading to the likely hood this the rocket would take off on Thursday to Saturday sometime as Sunday and Monday a frontal

system will start to work through bring low clouds and rain showers. Both conditions unfavorable for a rocket launch.

If the rocket launches with no humor error then Thursday and Friday would be the best days to do so.

If you have any comments please post them in the comment box below. Input and analysis from everyone is always encouraged.

~Meteorologist Robert Speta

2012 Cherry Blossom Forecast

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            Cherry blossom, the most awaited plant to full bloom for the Japanese and foreigners, is now starting to bloom again. Most of the trees in the southern areas of Japan have started to bloom but it is expected to be fully bloom this April. The expected full bloom in the northern parts especially Hokkaido is on May due to some weather abnormalities this year. The temperatures on March stayed low, this stayed the flower buds to grow slowly. For this reason the cherry blossom blooming date will be slower than usual.

In Osaka and Hiroshima Prefecture, cherry blossom has started to flowered. Cherry Blossom flowering was reported on April 2. In Osaka this was the first time for the tree to bloom in April since 2005. April 3 when the Low Pressure lashes over Japan, Cherry blossoms are not expected to fall because of the winds and full bloom may start next week.

※Forecast from (Japan Weather Association) JWA

※ Map were edited by Lextrike

※ of the difference (last year) average year “-” is faster than (last year) average, “+” indicates that the slower than (last year) average.

※ The value is the average value or last year, using the value of each municipality and attractions, the Meteorological Agency, there is no point average value was calculated on the basis of observational data of the past.

※ point there is no record of past observations point has not been observed and is in full bloom, full bloom is not expected to announced.

※ at the point of the anticipated date () is flowering, full bloom was observed, represents flowering date, the date in full bloom.

Kyushu region Point Expected
flowering date
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days) Expected
full bloom
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days)
Fukuoka Fukuoka (March 27)

+4

+5

(April 1)

Zero

-1

Oita Oita (March 27)

+3

+4

(April 3)

Zero

-2

Nagasaki Nagasaki (March 26)

+2

+3

(April 2)

-1

-5

Saga Saga (March 28)

+4

+6

(April 3)

Zero

-2

Kumamoto Kumamoto (March 25)

+2

+4

(April 2)

+1

-5

Miyazaki Miyazaki (March 24)

Zero

+1

(April 3)

+1

-1

Miyakonojo (March 23)

-1

+1

(March 30)

-1

-3

Kagoshima Kagoshima (March 26)

Zero

+3

April 5

+1

Zero

Shikoku Point Expected
flowering date
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days) Expected
full bloom
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days)
Kagawa Takamatsu (April 2)

+5

+2

April 8

+3

Zero

Tokushima Tokushima (April 1)

+4

+1

April 7

+2

-1

Ehime Matsuyama (March 30)

+5

+5

(April 4)

Zero

-2

Uwajima (March 25)

+3

+5

(March 30)

-2

+1

Kochi Kochi (March 21)

-1

-1

(March 27)

-3

-4

Sukumo (March 24)

+1

+2

Chugoku Point Expected
flowering date
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days) Expected
full bloom
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days)
Hiroshima Hiroshima (April 2)

+6

+1

April 9

+5

-1

Okayama Okayama (April 3)

+5

+3

April 9

+3

+2

Shimane Matsue April 5

+5

-1

April 11

+3

-1

Tottori Tottori City (April 3)

+3

+1

April 11

+4

+3

Yamaguchi Shimonoseki (March 30)

+3

Zero

April 7

+2

Zero

Iwakuni (April 1)

Five

One

April 7

Two

Zero

Kinki Point Expected
flowering date
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days) Expected
full bloom
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days)
Osaka Osaka (April 2)

+5

+2

April 9

+4

+2

Shiga Hikone April 7

+5

+6

April 14

+5

+3

Kyoto Kyoto (April 3)

+6

+6

April 9

+4

+2

Maizuru April 9

+6

+4

April 15

+7

+5

Hyogo Kobe (April 2)

+5

+2

April 11

+6

+1

Himeji (April 4)

+6

+2

April 12

+5

+1

Nara Nara (April 3)

+5

+3

April 9

+4

+1

Wakayama Wakayama (March30)

+4

+3

(April 4)

Zero

-3

Tokai region Point Expected
flowering date
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days) Expected
full bloom
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days)
Aichi Nagoya (March 30)

+4

+3

April 7

+4

+1

Shizuoka Shizuoka (March 24)

-1

+4

(April 1)

-2

-3

Hamamatsu (March 29)

+2

+1

(April 4)

Zero

-3

Gifu Gifu City (March 30)

+4

+2

April 7

+3

+3

Takayama April 18

+3

Zero

April 23

+3

-1

Mie Tsu (April 4)

+5

+3

April 10

+5

+5

Kanto region Point Expected
flowering date
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days) Expected
full bloom
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days)
Tokyo Central Tokyo (March 31)

+5

+3

April 8

+5

+2

Hachioji April 5

+8

+5

Ibaraki Mito April 6

+4

Zero

April 12

+4

Zero

Tochigi Utsunomiya April 6

+5

Zero

April 12

+4

Zero

Gunma Maebashi April 5

+5

+2

April 10

+4

-1

Saitama Kumagaya (April 4)

+6

+3

April 10

+5

+2

Saitama
(Omiyakoen)
(April 2)

+7

+1

Chiba Choshi (April 2)

+2

-2

April 10

+2

-2

Kanagawa Yokohama (April 2)

+7

+3

April 9

+6

+1

Odawara (March 30)

+4

-2

April 6

+3

-2

Tokyo Hachijo-jima (March 28)

-3

-4

April 9

Zero

+1

Koshin region Point Expected
flowering date
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days) Expected
full bloom
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days)
Yamanashi Kofu (April 1)

+5

+3

April 8

+5

Zero

Nagano Nagano April 16

+3

+1

April 21

+4

Zero

Omachi April 23

+4

+1

April 27

+5

-1

Iiyama April 20

+3

-4

Matsumoto April 13

+3

+2

April 18

+3

+1

Ueda April 14

+5

+3

April 19

+6

+3

Komoro April 19

+4

+2

April 25

+4

Zero

Suwa April 17

+5

+3

Ina April 11

-1

-2

April 17

Zero

-1

Iida April 8

+4

+2

April 14

+5

+3

Hokuriku District Point Expected
flowering date
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days) Expected
full bloom
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days)
Niigata Prefecture Niigata April 15

+6

+1

April 19

+5

+1

Niigata Joetsu City
(Park Takada)
April 14

+6

+2

April 18

+5

+2

Toyama Prefecture Toyama April 10

+5

+2

April 14

+4

+3

Toyama Prefecture Takaoka
(Takaoka Castle Park)
April 10

+4

+2

April 14

+4

Zero

Ishikawa Prefecture Kanazawa April 8

+4

+1

April 14

+4

+2

Ishikawa Prefecture Wajima April 14

+5

+1

Fukui Prefecture Fukui April 7

+4

Zero

April 14

+5

+1

Tohoku district Point Expected
flowering date
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days) Expected
full bloom
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days)
Miyagi Sendai April 15

+4

+3

April 21

+5

+6

Aomori Aomori April 28

+4

+3

May 4

+5

+6

Aomori Hirosaki
(Hirosaki Park)
April 27

+4

+1

May 3

+5

+1

Aomori Hachinohe April 29

+6

+5

Akita Akita April 22

+4

-1

April 27

+5

Zero

Akita Semboku
(Tsutsumi Uchikawa cypress-Kakunodate)
April 28

+4

-3

May 2

+4

-3

Iwate Morioka April 26

+5

+6

April 30

+5

+1

Iwate Kitakami
(Katsuji Exhibition north)
April 25

+5

+2

April 30

+4

-1

Iwate Ofunato April 19

+5

+8

Yamagata Yamagata April 20

+5

+2

April 25

+6

Zero

Yamagata Sakata
(Park Konan)
April 18

+4

-3

April 23

+5

-4

Fukushima Fukushima April 13

+4

+1

April 18

+5

+3

Fukushima Iwaki
(Onahama)
April 11

+5

+2

April 16

+4

+1

The Dawn Of A New Beginning: NHK World’s Newest Resident Meteorologist Robert Speta Debuts

By: Weatherguy Adonis

Adonis S. Manzan

Meteoric Leap, Empowering More People Across Asia Pacific, World

Iloilo City, Philippines, 09April 2012, (1430Z)–Long before I was entrusted this humbling experience of being an author here on Westernpacificweather.com, I have been amazed with the way Meteorologist Robert Speta was doing his Tropical Updates focusing more on Western Pacific Region for the last two (2) years.  There ain’t no other “American” guy you can find online that does these humbling stuffs and giving more emphasis on Asia’s weather but him.  His profound dedication and sheer honesty to his craft, and worth mentioning beyond his being accessibly friendly nature and blessed with the knowledge and proper training, there could be no doubt, he will do great wonders and an asset to NHK World’s sentinel of equally sensible and great team of forecasters we ought to see on television, heard on the radio and online.

Little did I know that Mr. Speta is a Broadcast and Operational Meteorologist rolled into one.  I could still remember his helpful video feeds from his website especially during times of great need like an approaching Typhoon about to affect my country, the Philippines back in 2011.

Additionally, he had seven (7) years of service with the United States Navy (USNavy), and now, he is engaged in anchoring the weather segment broadcast in Japan’s top-rating Newsline at NHK World Headquaters in Tokyo, effective today, 09 April 2012, Monday.

On 29 March 2012, I got an invite from Mr. Speta to join him in his vision of providing adequate information relative to what he loved of doing as a goal-oriented guy from Buffalo, New York in the USA.  Mr. Speta, where most of his friends call him, “Rob,” was no less like a young gun who wanted to make the world a safer, better place for the rest of us.

Mr. Speta, based on his career portfolio, is a seasoned, American Meteorological Society (AMS) Certified Meteorologist, who loved to carry on his mission by educating more and more people about the working relationship between climatic variables and effective understanding of what weather will be in the coming days, or what could be the areas affected by a singularly important aspect of life most of us do not fully comprehend but does form part an integral thread of our way of living.  It was beyond one’s dreams that brought a throng of people line into a particular calling.

Challenges Ahead

Time could only be a constant determinant of what’s to come for I was about to embark into a new dimension, a beginning of what I do best–writing articles that could provide credible, comprehensive information on what’s been happening around us, giving more weight on the study of Climatic dynamism and tropical cyclogenesis which affects the Western Pacific since time immemorial.

I am no professional in the study of meteorology, but with Meteorologist Speta at the helm of this vessel, I know we will go farther and reach ever closer to more people that deserve nothing less but dependable and adequate ideas and workable truths in today’s relatively unstable and elaborately extreme weather.

A good friend, a brother in the Philippines, shared his wisdom, in the person of Michael Williams, Sr. said to me on this day,“I take anything I associate myself with very seriously.  It only takes ONE good screw up to ruin a reputation, thus in many times, it cannot be recovered.”

In the light of these development, I also would like to thank Mr. Speta for the trust and continued support on my works here on Westernpacificweather.com, and considering that this could be this generation’s best, by far, in the last eleven (11) days that I have been engaged in this job, we are largely being viewed back home in the Philippines and abroad, especially in Malaysia via team mate and admin for this site, a fellow author and contributor in the person of whiz kid Francis Chuah and my fellow “Kababayan,” Ian Patrick Malejana, now based in Long Island, New York, USA.  These are smart people, make no mistake, they will deliver the goods the way it should be–piping hot, in-depth analysis and no nonsense.

Here are some of today’s cut on tube in case you missed today’s broadcast.  Enjoy as we did this afternoon at around 1720PM-JST, 0920Z (0520PM-PHL) during his first broadcast LIVE on air at posh NHK World Studios in NHK HQ in Tokyo, Japan:

Fig. 1.0 "Live on NHK World Studios in Tokyo, Meteorologist Robert Speta made an entry about the blossoming Sakura trees in Kanto Region, as JMA has confirmed its full bloom two days ago. Image Credit: Weatherguy Adonis."

Fig. 2.0 "On this screen indicate a possible flood potential for the regions of Yellow Sea bordering Korean Peninsula, that could spawn thunderstorm activity that could adversely affect the scheduled Ballistic/Rocket launch by Pyongyang, NoKor on 12 April and 16 April 2012. Image Credit: Weatherguy Adonis."

In today’s weather forecast, discussed the likelihood of yet another wet and windy weather by late Tuesday, 10 April 2012 across Western edge of Southern Japan, explains further the areas to be hit by another “Spring Storm,” this week, and advised locales to bring weather implements as a sort of protection against the elements, pointing out the possible rains across Southern China, that could spill into Yellow Sea as a developing Trough of Low could yet again surge into Sea of Japan, though not as intense as last week that hit Japan.

Moving on to the other side of the Pacific Basin, he laments of the incoming moisture coming from a huge Trough of Low along the Northwestern regions of the United States, and a brewing severe storm off the Southern regions, where a potential for damaging winds, severe thunderstorm activity and golf, tennis-ball sized hail pound the Mid-states of Oklahoma, possibly “Tornadic” activity in neighboring states as well into the next coming days and a potential for damaging winds, severe thunderstorm activity which is not a good situation out there.

In Europe, across the Baltic Region, an area of Low is fast approaching the British Isles.  Spain, however was hit by record drought conditions. Rains across Barcelona, Spain could provide a respite from the excessive heat as a surging area of Low that could cause Polar air into the Baltic Seas, further plunging temperatures across Europe and wet and windy conditions in the coming days.  Portions of the Netherlands to the South, and Norway to the North could be expecting some wet and windy weather associated with the system.  Italy could be getting some pounding rains and gusty wind conditions as an area of Low also lingers a bit off greater Italy and the Mediterranean countrysides.  Some thundery showers are also in the forecast.
To give you guys a gist of what’s to come, I give you Robert Speta, a fulfilled meteorologist ready to take on the world’s challenges!

Join us as we take the center stage using the most credible insights!

This has been your Weatherguy hailing from the Philippines, Mabuhay! =)

 (Note: If you have queries, email me at amanzan@smartbro.net or through weatherguyadonis@theboplive.net)