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Daily weather brief – Thursday, December 29, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 29 DEC

NWPAC outlook, 29 DEC

NORTH

A new frontal system is rolling through the north region, with a new surge behind it that is reinforcing the cold air already in place across the region. Moisture levels are quite low ahead of the frontal system, so only a few scattered clouds are likely as the system sweeps across Japan later this afternoon. Most locations ill see bright, sunny skies today, with just a few scattered clouds to the south and east. Temperatures will be bone-chillingly cold across the most northerly locales, while more comfortable readings dominate in the southeast.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Ulaanbaatar

-17

-29 1 -20

Mostly fair

Vladivostok

-9

-19 16 -2

Mostly fair

Beijing

2

-8 36 18

Mostly fair

Seoul

-1

-8 30 18

Mostly fair

Tokyo

11

2 52 36

Partly cloudy

Shanghai

8

2 46 36

Partly cloudy

 

CENTRAL

It feels a lot like winter across much of the central region as high pressure builds into the region from the northwest. Showers will persist over the Ryukyu Islands and Taiwan, with cloudy skies over southeastern China as a frontal system passes to the north. Low clouds and fog will hamper travel across the high country of south-central China as sunny skies dominate over southern China and northern Indochina.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Kunming

12

2 54 36

Fog and low clouds

Hong Kong

16

12 61 54

Mostly cloudy

Taipei

16

14 61 57

Scattered showers likely

Naha

20

16 68 61

Scattered showers likely

Hanoi

23

12 73 54

Mostly fair

 

SOUTH

Drier and slightly cooler air has moved into northern locales of the south region, as the seasonal northeast monsoon builds back in following the weekend’s tropical activity. Remnants of 30W NOCK-TEN are filtering into southern Indochina, bringing cloudy skies to the area, while partly cloudy conditions will dominate over central Indochina and the northern half of the Philippines. Deep tropical moisture persists below 5N attitude, and will bring about a chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms over Malaysia, Brunei, the southern Philippines and northern Indonesia, with cloudy skies over Singapore.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Siem Reap

29

18 84 64

Partly cloudy

Ho Chi Minh

30

23 86 73

Mostly fair

Manila

32

26 90 79

Partly cloudy

Davao City

31

24 88 75

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Brunei

31

24 88 75

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Singapore

31

24 88 75

Mostly cloudy

 

TROPICS

The tropics have quieted down considerably as drier air from the north pushes well into the region…

TAAG, 29 DEC

TAAG, 29 DEC

As we gaze across the western Pacific Ocean we see only 93W INVEST out there, and this disturbance has lost its gusto after taking in much drier air. This system will most likely be taken off the books today, leaving the tropics mostly clear of any significant activity. A few scattered thunderstorms are possible over eastern Micronesia and the Marshall Islands this afternoon, while the remainder of the region deals with a pleasant mix of clouds and sunshine.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Guam

30

25 86 77

Mostly fair

Yap

30

26 86 79

Mostly cloudy

Palau

31

26 88 79

Partly cloudy

Chuuk

31

27 88 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Pohnpei

31

26 88 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Majuro

28

26 82 79

Thunderstorms possible

Wake

27

24 81 75

Mostly fair

 

Have a Thrilling Thursday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

==================================================================

Disclaimer:

By making use of any information on this website, you agree to the following:

NO WARRANTIES: All of the information provided on this website is provided “AS-IS” and with NO WARRANTIES. No express or implied warranties of any type are made with respect to the information, or any use of the information, on this site. Westernpacificweather.com makes no representations and extends no warranties of any type as to the accuracy or completeness of any information or content on this website.

DISCLAIMER OF LIABILITY: Westernpacificweather.com specifically DISCLAIMS LIABILITY FOR INCIDENTAL OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES and assumes no responsibility or liability for any loss or damage suffered by any person as a result of the use or misuse of any of the information or content on this website. Westernpacificweather.com assumes or undertakes NO LIABILITY for any loss or damage suffered as a result of the use, misuse or reliance on the information and content on this website.

USE AT YOUR OWN RISK: This website is for informational purposes only. The opinions expressed within this website are the opinions of each contributor. Westernpacificweather.com urges you to consult with OFFICIAL sources for information whenever you feel a threat is impending.

All rights reserved. © 2016 Westernpacificweather.com

Weekend weather brief – December 24/25, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 24-25 DEC

NORTH

Temperatures are cold across the northern half of the north region, courtesy of the latest surge to move into the area. The associated storm system is pushing offshore of northern japan today with a cold front sweeping through the archipelago from north to south. Most of the moisture and inclement weather is associated directly with the strong low pressure area; however, sea-effect snowfall will be prevalent across the western shores and higher terrain of Hokkaido and northern Honshu. High pressure is building in behind the storm system and is bringing clearing conditions across much of the continent, except for portions of eastern China where the frontal system and moisture coming in from the west will keep skies grey and showery.

City

Sat High

C        F

Sun High

C        F

Conditions

Sat                          Sun

Ulaanbaatar -12 10 -18 0 Mostly cloudy Mostly fair
Vladivostok -6 21 -4 25 Partly cloudy Mostly fair
Beijing 4 39 3 37 Mostly fair Mostly cloudy
Seoul 2 36 8 46 Partly cloudy Mostly fair
Tokyo 11 52 11 52 Mostly fair Partly cloudy
Xi’an N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Shanghai 11 52 16 61 Mostly cloudy Sctd. showers

 

CENTRAL

Temperatures across the central region will rebound a bit through the weekend as warmer air advects northward ahead of the surge to the north. A few showers will fall across portions of southeastern China and Taiwan today, and skies will remain cloudy over the Ryukyu Islands through the weekend. Temperatures will remain comfortably mild across the region, with the warmest readings to the south.

City

Sat High

C        F

Sun High

C        F

Conditions

Sat                         Sun

Kunming 16 61 17 63 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
Hong Kong 20 68 23 73 Sctd. showers Partly cloudy
Taipei 21 70 24 75 Sctd. showers Partly cloudy
Naha 20 68 22 72 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
Hanoi 24 75 27 81 Fog/low clouds Partly cloudy

 

SOUTH

Residents of the Philippines are watching the developments of typhoon NOCK-TEN, also named “Nina” by the Philippines’ state weather agency PAGASA, as it continues to strengthen and move towards the northern half of the archipelago. Storm warning signals have been issued for parts of southeastern Luzon by PAGASA as the storm bears down on the region. For more information on this system, please refer to the “tropics” section of this briefing.

The remainder of the region will enjoy a rather warm, but pleasant, weekend as drier air infiltrates Indochina and clears out the skies, and scattered thunderstorms affect the more southerly locales of Malaysia, Singapore, Brunei, Indonesia, and the southern Philippines.

City

Sat High

C        F

Sun High

C        F

Conditions

Sat                         Sun

Siem Reap

33

91 33 91 Mostly fair

Partly cloudy

Ho Chi Minh

33

91 32 90 Mostly fair

Partly cloudy

Manila

31

88 31 88 Partly cloudy

Partly cloudy

Davao City

32

90 31 88 Sctd. t-storms

Sctd. t-storms

Brunei

32

90 32 90 Sctd. t-storms

Thunderstorms

Singapore

30

86 31 86 Thunderstorms

Sctd. t-storms

 

TROPICS

TAAG, 24 DEC

TYPHOON 30W NOCK-TEN now a typhoon at category 2 strength on the Saffir-Simpson scale…forecasts show southern Luzon landfall during the evening on Christmas…

TYPHOON 30W NOCK-TEN (Nina) continues to strengthen as it moves towards the Philippines. At 5am PST, J.T.W.C placed the center near 13.1N, 129.0E, or about 517km (321mi) east-southeast of Legazpi City, Albay, Philippines. The system is moving west-northwest at 9 knots (17kph).

Latest official forecast tracks bring the system into southern Luzon on Christmas day, while strength estimates on landfall between J.T.W.C. and J.M.A. are a bit different.

J.T.W.C. is showing a system with peak sustained winds of 130kt (241kph) early Christmas morning, a “violent typhoon” on the J.M.A. scale, or, a strong CAT 4 equivalent super-typhoon on the Saffir-Simpson scale, with landfall strength near 110kt (204kph).

J.M.A. is showing a system with peak sustained winds of 100kt (185kph) early Christmas morning, a “very strong typhoon” on the J.M.A. scale, or, a moderate CAT 3 equivalent typhoon on the Saffir-Simpson scale, with landfall strength near 100kt (185kph).

JTWC and JMA forecasts, 24 DEC

PAGASA has issued the following PSWS signals:

SIGNAL #1- Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Albay, Catanduanes, Sorsogon and Masbate including Ticao and Burias Islands, Northern Samar and Eastern Samar

PSWS, 24 DEC

Residents of the eastern Philippines, from the northern Visayas to central Luzon, and particularly the Bicol region of Luzon, should have FINISHED initial preparations for a significant weather system, should FINISH secondary preparations and begin FINAL PREPARATIONS for this system today.

Residents of south-central Luzon in Quezon, Laguna, Batangas, Rizal, Cavite, Bataan, Bulacan, Pampanga, and Zambales provinces, including Manila, should be finishing initial preparations today and should begin secondary and final preparations now.

This means stocking up on water and non-perishable foods, LPG for cooking, and planning an evacuation route if you feel it may be necessary. Fuel your vehicles, start bringing in and/or securing any outside objects that can become dangerous wind-driven projectiles. Taping or boarding of windows may be necessary. Buy batteries for flashlights and acquire candles for emergency lighting.

IF YOU LIVE WITHIN 5 KM OF THE EASTERN OR NORTHERN FACING SHORELINES NEAR TO, AND NORTH OF, THE POINT OF LANDFALL IN SOUTHEASTERN LUZON, YOU SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES IN.

WESTERN FACING SHORES OF WESTERN LUZON SOUTH OF THE PASSAGE OF THE CENTER CAN ALSO EXPECT A SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE EVENT. THIS INFORMATION WILL NOT BE CLEAR UNTIL THE STORM IS VERY CLOSE DUE TO UNCERTAINTIES IN THE TRACK, THEREFORE, IF YOU LIVE ALONG THESE DESCRIBED SHORELINES, YOU SHOULD EITHER MAKE PREPARATIONS, OF EVACUATE TO INLAND LOCATIONS.

Better preparation is the key, and with the holiday approaching, one may tend to be lax or even discount the threat.

The current official tracks show the system to enter southeastern Luzon at or near Catanduanes Island early in the evening on December 25th, quickly crossing south-central Luzon near Manila, exiting into the South China Sea somewhere between the provinces of Zambales and Cavite in the afternoon of December 26.

However, due to the storm’s proximity to the Bicol peninsula extension of Luzon, effects will start to be felt in that region starting early morning Christmas Day.

Forecasts will change due to the evolving atmospheric conditions, so all areas mentioned previously should monitor the progress of this system.

The remainder of the tropics region will see a warm and mostly wet weekend, as deep tropical moisture gets a lift from the warm afternoon sunshine each day.

City

Sat High

C        F

Sun High

C        F

Conditions

Sat                         Sun

Guam

28

82 31 88 Sctd. t-storms

Partly cloudy

Yap

29

84 30 86 Sctd. t-storms

Sctd. t-storms

Palau

29

84 29 84 Sctd. t-storms

Sctd. t-storms

Chuuk

28

82 29 84 Thunderstorms

Thunderstorms

Pohnpei

28

82 30 86 Sctd. t-storms

Partly cloudy

Majuro

30

86 28 82 Sctd t-storms

Thunderstorms

Wake

27

81 27 81 Partly cloudy

Sctd. showers

 

Have a wonderful weekend and Merry Christmas!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, NRL, JMA, JTWC

==================================================================

Disclaimer:

By making use of any information on this website, you agree to the following:

NO WARRANTIES: All of the information provided on this website is provided “AS-IS” and with NO WARRANTIES. No express or implied warranties of any type are made with respect to the information, or any use of the information, on this site. Westernpacificweather.com makes no representations and extends no warranties of any type as to the accuracy or completeness of any information or content on this website.

DISCLAIMER OF LIABILITY: Westernpacificweather.com specifically DISCLAIMS LIABILITY FOR INCIDENTAL OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES and assumes no responsibility or liability for any loss or damage suffered by any person as a result of the use or misuse of any of the information or content on this website. Westernpacificweather.com assumes or undertakes NO LIABILITY for any loss or damage suffered as a result of the use, misuse or reliance on the information and content on this website.

USE AT YOUR OWN RISK: This website is for informational purposes only. The opinions expressed within this website are the opinions of each contributor. Westernpacificweather.com urges you to consult with OFFCIAL sources for information whenever you feel a threat is impending.
All rights reserved. © 2016 Westernpacificweather.com

Daily weather brief – Friday, December 23, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 23 DEC

NWPAC outlook, 23 DEC

NORTH

 

A surge of cold Siberian air is sliding east-southeast through the north region, and is the harbinger of an even colder air mass that will arrive early next week. The latest storm system associated with the surge is making its way offshore of Japan, with a strong low situated near northeastern Hokkaido. Skies will be cloudy across Southeastern Russia, northeastern China, the Korean peninsula, and northern Japan and a few snow showers and flurries are possible across these areas, especially to the east. Sea-effect snow is likely across northern and central japan as well as high pressure builds in and brings a strong northwesterly wind across the relatively warm waters of the Sea of Japan. Temperatures across continental areas of the northern half of the region will be near, or below, 0C (32F) today, with areas to the south and east seeing readings in the teens. Tokyo will see record warmth today ahead of frontal passage later tonight, when temperatures will drop significantly.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions
Ulaanbaatar -14 -24 7 -11 Partly cloudy
Vladivostok -9 -17 16 1 Mostly cloudy/Snow flurries
Beijing 3 -5 37 23 Partly cloudy
Seoul -1 -6 30 21 Mostly cloudy/Snow flurries
Tokyo 17 7 63 45 Mostly fair
Xi’an N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Shanghai 11 3 52 37 Fog and low clouds

 

CENTRAL

 

The latest frontal system to pass through the central region has cleared things out quite nicely, leaving behind a refreshing shot of cooler and drier air over the region. Temperatures will be down slightly over readings from the past few days, with only portions of southern china and northern Indochina seeing an increase as warm air from the south advects northward a bit. Aside from a few showers over the higher terrain of south-central China, skies will be partly cloudy region-wide.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions
Kunming 15 8 59 47 Scattered showers possible
Hong Kong 23 18 73 64 Partly cloudy
Taipei 19 16 66 61 Partly cloudy
Naha 20 16 68 61 Partly cloudy
Hanoi 26 18 79 64 Partly cloudy

 

SOUTH

 

All attention in the south, and especially the Philippines, is focused on the progress of tropical storm NOCK-TEN, also named “Nina” by the Philippines’ state weather agency PAGASA. This storm looks to bring quite a hit to the most populated area of the country late this weekend and early next week. For more on this system, please see the ‘tropics” section of this briefing. Drier air has settled into much of the northern half of the south region, especially over Indochina and the northern half of the Philippines, keeping skies clear to partly cloudy. Tropical moisture remains over the southern half of the region, where a few afternoon showers and thunderstorms could pop up during the peak of daytime heating. Temperatures will remain warm, with most locations seeing readings in the low 30’s C (near 90F).

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions
Siem Reap 32 22 90 72 Mostly fair
Ho Chi Minh 33 23 91 73 Partly cloudy
Manila 31 24 88 75 Mostly fair
Davao City 32 24 90 75 Scattered thunderstorms possible
Brunei 31 24 88 75 Scattered thunderstorms possible
Singapore 31 24 88 75 Thunderstorms possible

 

TROPICS

 

Tropical storm 30W NOCK-TEN continues to increase strength…has entered the P.A.R. (Philippine Area of Responsibility) and has been named “Nina” by PAGASA…forecasts show southern Luzon landfall during the early morning hours of December 26th…

TAAG, 23 DEC

TAAG, 23 DEC

 

30W NOCK-TEN (Nina) continues to strengthen as it moves towards the Philippines. At 5am PST, J.T.W.C placed the center near 10.9N, 135.0E, or about 1251km (777mi) east-southeast of Legazpi City, Albay, Philippines. The system is moving west-northwest at 18 knots (33kph). Latest official forecast tracks bring the system into southern Luzon on Christmas day and strength estimates on landfall between J.T.W.C. and J.M.A now agree. J.T.W.C. and J.M.A. are showing a system with peak sustained winds of 105kt (194kph) early Christmas morning, a “violent typhoon” on the J.M.A. scale, or, a moderate CAT 3 equivalent typhoon on the Saffir-Simpson scale, with landfall strength near 100kt (185kph).

 

 

Residents of the eastern Philippines, from the northern Visayas to central Luzon, and particularly the Bicol region of Luzon, should have begun initial preparations for a significant weather system, and should begin secondary preparations as soon as possible. This means stocking up on water and non-perishable foods, LPG for cooking, and planning an evacuation route if you feel it may be necessary. Fuel your vehicles, start bringing in and/or securing any outside objects that can become dangerous wind-driven projectiles. Taping or boarding of windows may be necessary, and these efforts should be done on places of interest that will not be occupied during the storm, such as a place of business or an extra building/garage. Better preparation is the key, and with the holiday approaching, one may tend to be lax or even discount the threat.

 

The current official tracks show the system to enter south-central Luzon in Quezon province early in the morning on December 26th, quickly crossing south-central Luzon just north of Manila, exiting into the South China Sea in the province of Zambales on the evening of December 26. However, due to the storm’s proximity to the Bicol peninsula extension of Luzon, effects will start to be felt in that region starting early morning Christmas Day. Forecasts will change due to the evolving atmospheric conditions, so all areas mentioned previously should monitor the progress of this system.

 

Elsewhere across the tropics, plenty of latent moisture remains over much of the region, so afternoon showers and thunderstorms are likely, especially over western locales. The tail end of a continental surge will help bring some showers to Wake Island today, while temperatures across the region are indicative of the minimal sun angle and intrusions of cooler air from the north, settling in near the upper20’s C (mid-upper 80’s F).

City High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions
Guam

29

26 84 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Yap

30

26 86 79

Thunderstorms possible

Palau

29

26 84 79

Thunderstorms possible

Chuuk

31

26 88 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Pohnpei

29

26 84 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Majuro

29

27 84 81

Thunderstorms possible

Wake

28

24 82 75

Scattered showers likely

 

Have a fabulous Friday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

==================================================================

Disclaimer:

By making use of any information on this website, you agree to the following:

NO WARRANTIES: All of the information provided on this website is provided “AS-IS” and with NO WARRANTIES. No express or implied warranties of any type are made with respect to the information, or any use of the information, on this site. Westernpacificweather.com makes no representations and extends no warranties of any type as to the accuracy or completeness of any information or content on this website.

DISCLAIMER OF LIABILITY: Westernpacificweather.com specifically DISCLAIMS LIABILITY FOR INCIDENTAL OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES and assumes no responsibility or liability for any loss or damage suffered by any person as a result of the use or misuse of any of the information or content on this website. Westernpacificweather.com assumes or undertakes NO LIABILITY for any loss or damage suffered as a result of the use, misuse or reliance on the information and content on this website.

USE AT YOUR OWN RISK: This website is for informational purposes only. The opinions expressed within this website are the opinions of each contributor. Westernpacificweather.com urges you to consult with OFFICIAL sources for information whenever you feel a threat is impending.

All rights reserved. © 2016 Westernpacificweather.com