As Typhoon Man-yi, locally named Pepito by PAGASA, strengthens over the Philippine Sea, communities across eastern and central parts of the country brace for yet another typhoon. This marks the fifth to sixth consecutive typhoon to affect the Philippines in recent weeks, underscoring the relentlessness of this year’s storm season. Despite exhaustion, preparation remains crucial as Pepito takes aim at Samar, Bicol, and potentially central Luzon. Here’s a detailed breakdown of what to expect, how to prepare, and answers to common questions about the storm.
A Tight and Intensifying Storm
Unlike some broader, sprawling typhoons, Man-yi / Pepito is a relatively compact system. However, its intensification over warm waters has resulted in a tight inner core capable of packing a punch with strong winds and heavy rainfall.
Infrared and microwave satellite imagery show that Pepito has developed a well-defined eye, indicative of a rapidly strengthening system. Its projected path suggests a landfall scenario near Samar or southeastern Luzon by Saturday evening, with impacts extending into central Luzon by Sunday. The storm’s size means that areas outside its inner core may experience less intense winds but significant rainfall.
Key Impacts
1. Heavy Rainfall
- Regions at risk: Samar, Bicol Region, central Luzon, and Metro Manila.
- Rainfall totals: Models predict 200–300 mm of rainfall in some areas, potentially higher if the storm slows down or tracks closer to the coast.
- Flooding concerns: Saturated soil from recent typhoons raises the risk of flash floods and landslides, especially in mountainous areas.
2. Strong Winds
- Typhoon-force winds are expected in the storm’s inner core, particularly in the right front quadrant (the most intense region).
- Northern Samar, Catanduanes, and the Bicol Region should prepare for Signal #3 or #4 wind warnings, with tropical storm-force winds extending westward into central Luzon.
3. Storm Surge
- Potential areas: Coastal regions in northern Samar, eastern Bicol, and Aurora.
- Height: Surge levels could reach 2–3 meters, exacerbated by a full moon’s naturally higher tides.
Forecast Track and Timing
Current multi-agency forecasts, including those from JMA, PAGASA, and JTWC, predict a west-northwestward track. The storm is expected to:
- Saturday morning: Begin affecting eastern Samar with strong winds and heavy rain.
- Saturday evening: Make potential landfall in northern Samar or southeastern Luzon.
- Sunday afternoon: Traverse central Luzon, bringing heavy rain to Metro Manila and nearby provinces.
Man-yi’s exact track remains uncertain, with slight deviations north or south significantly altering impacts. Coastal and low-lying areas in the storm’s right front quadrant are particularly vulnerable.
Preparation Tips
1. Emergency Kits
Ensure you have essential supplies, including:
- Flashlights, batteries, and portable chargers.
- Non-perishable food and bottled water for at least three days.
- Necessary medications and first aid supplies.
2. Evacuation Plans
- Know your local evacuation routes and shelters.
- If living in a flood-prone or coastal area, move to higher ground before conditions worsen.
3. Monitoring Updates
- Stay tuned to updates from PAGASA, local government units, and trusted weather sources.
- Download reliable weather apps for real-time tracking.
4. Secure Property
- Reinforce windows and doors.
- Bring in or secure outdoor items that could be blown away by strong winds.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
1. Why does this storm have two names?
Typhoon Man-yi is the international name assigned by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA). Once the storm entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), PAGASA assigned it the local name Pepito. This dual naming system helps in localized tracking and communication.
2. Is this storm stronger than recent typhoons?
While Pepito’s strength is comparable to previous storms, its smaller size and slightly different path may lead to varied impacts. It is expected to bring more rainfall to regions such as Samar and southeastern Luzon, areas previously spared by earlier storms.
3. How can I stay updated?
Follow official agencies like PAGASA, JMA, and your local disaster management offices for updates. Social media and reliable news outlets can also provide real-time information.
4. When will this storm leave the Philippines?
Pepito is expected to exit the PAR by Monday or early Tuesday, depending on its speed and trajectory.
The 2024 Typhoon Season So Far
The 2024 typhoon season has been relentless, with a conveyor belt of storms impacting the Philippines. Here’s a quick summary of notable events:
- Typhoon Christine brought widespread flooding to the Bicol Region and Metro Manila in early October.
- Typhoon Usagi (Ofel) weakened before making a significant impact, sparing northern Luzon from major damage.
- Other storms this season have tested the resilience of communities across Luzon and Visayas, with many regions still recovering from earlier typhoons.
Despite the frequency of these storms, emergency responses and preparedness campaigns have been critical in reducing casualties and damage.
Looking Ahead
The good news is that after Man-yi / Pepito, meteorological models suggest a possible break in typhoon activity. A cold surge moving into the region could suppress further storm development in the short term. However, vigilance remains essential as the typhoon season continues until the end of the year.
Final Thoughts
Typhoon Man-yi / Pepito serves as a reminder of the importance of preparation and resilience in the face of natural disasters. While the Philippines endures yet another storm, the strength and cooperation of its communities are evident. Stay informed, prepare wisely, and support each other during this challenging time.
For updates, continue following trusted weather sources and heed the advice of local authorities. Stay safe, and remember: prepare, don’t panic.