Western Pacific Tropical Update, 05 December 2021

For my tropical westpac friends no named storms out there today but there is a weak tropical wave formed up along the leading edge of the NE Monsoon off the coast of Visayas. This will bring some decent rainfall over the next few days along the east coast there with a few areas seeing well […]

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New Storm developing in the Philippine Sea

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center is now warning on the Tropical Depression near Guam. A high surf advisory is in place for the entire Mariana islands as well as scattered showers here into Tuesday. Despite the track showing a turn to the northeast the JTWC discussion does state pretty clearly that there is low confidence […]

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Western Pacific Tropical Update November 28th.

The tropics are starting to heat up yet again in the western pacific, after a month-long break during a time we would at least see one or two named storms. In today’s update, we take a look at a new invest area spinning up near Guam.

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Philippine Tropical Outlook, LPA, and the Shear line

The LPA east of the Philippines is still looking more and more organized today, good news once it hits that shear line expect it to be torn apart into the weekend. Still expect heavy rainfall and some strong to severe storms from Visayas then tracking north into next week bringing rain as well into Central […]

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16th November 2021 Tropical Outlook

Tracking an LPA and a few tropical waves out over the western pacific today. In short no typhoons in the forecast but that does not mean everything will be dry either. The LPA over the Sulu sea is bringing plenty of rainfall from Cebu to Palawan today. Few areas could see local flooding and even […]

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11 November 2021 Tropical Update

The shear line over Northern Luzon continues to push cool air south today with yet another cold surge. Out in the tropics, the ITCZ is worth watching. Some guidance develops it near Guam into early next week but most of that same guidance turns it north afterward keeping it far east of the Philippines. Then […]

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04 November Philippine Tropical Outlook

The shear line has returned and on the leading edge of it is a low-pressure area that is moving onshore into Visayas and northern Mindanao this week. Scattered showers and local flooding is possible with this area as it moves onshore. Meanwhile northern Luzon stays in the threshold of the full-on NE Monsoon with dry […]

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