Super Typhoon Man-yi, locally named Pepito by PAGASA, has left a trail of destruction across the Philippines, with its devastating impact being most felt in Catanduanes, an island province in the Bicol Region. With estimated wind gusts exceeding 300 km/h, the typhoon is categorized as a Category 5 Super Typhoon by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), highlighting its sheer intensity.
In this detailed article, we’ll cover:
- A breakdown of Super Typhoon Man-yi / Pepito’s track and impact.
- Insight into the roles of weather agencies like JTWC, PAGASA, and JMA.
- An explanation of PAGASA’s Signal Force Warnings and the Typhoon Wind Scale.
- A closer look at Catanduanes, the island at the storm’s ground zero.
- How you can support storm tracking efforts through WestPacWx’s Patreon.
- Frequently asked questions (FAQs) about typhoons.
The Track and Impact of Super Typhoon Man-yi / Pepito
Super Typhoon Pepito made landfall near Panganiban, Catanduanes at 9:40 PM on November 16, bringing devastating winds, torrential rains, and storm surges. The storm, with its broad circulation, is a powerful weather system that will continue to impact vast areas across Luzon.
Here’s what you need to know about Pepito’s track, expected impacts, and what lies ahead.
Current Track and Forecast Path
Following its landfall in Catanduanes, Pepito is now moving west-northwest over the waters north of the Camarines Provinces.
- Next Possible Landfall: A landfall or close approach near the Calaguas Islands could occur by early morning on November 17.
- Polillo Islands: Pepito is expected to pass close to or directly over Polillo Islands between morning and noon on November 17.
- Northern Quezon or Aurora Landfall: Landfall in northern Quezon or central/southern Aurora is anticipated between noon and afternoon on November 17.
After crossing Luzon’s upland areas, Pepito will traverse the northern portion of Central Luzon and the southern portion of Northern Luzon, affecting the Sierra Madre, Caraballo, and Cordillera Central mountain ranges. It is expected to emerge over the West Philippine Sea by the evening of November 17.
Intensity and Forecast Changes
Pepito is projected to maintain its status as a super typhoon or slightly weaken to a strong typhoon as it nears Aurora Province.
- Mainland Luzon Passage: Despite significant weakening as Pepito interacts with land, it is expected to retain typhoon status during its entire transit across Luzon.
- Potential Track Shifts: The storm’s path may still shift within the forecast confidence cone, necessitating close monitoring.
Hazards to Land Areas
Even areas outside Pepito’s immediate landfall zone and forecast track are at risk. The storm’s vast circulation poses threats across Luzon and nearby regions.
1. Heavy Rainfall
- Sierra Madre and Cordillera Ranges: Torrential rain is expected, raising the likelihood of landslides and flooding in these mountainous areas.
- Central and Southern Luzon: Widespread rainfall may cause rivers to overflow, with downstream areas experiencing secondary flooding.
2. Severe Winds
- Typhoon-force Winds: Strong winds will cause structural damage, uproot trees, and disrupt power lines in areas along and near Pepito’s path.
- Tropical-storm-force Winds: These winds will extend hundreds of kilometers from the center, impacting coastal and inland communities alike.
3. Storm Surge
- Storm surges along the eastern seaboard of Luzon, particularly in coastal areas of Quezon, Aurora, and Catanduanes, remain a significant risk.
4. Other Risks
- Flying Debris: Loose objects and improperly secured structures pose a hazard during strong wind gusts.
- Secondary Flooding: Low-lying areas in urban centers like Metro Manila could experience flooding due to water runoff from upstream rivers.
What Lies Ahead?
While Pepito’s impact is expected to lessen as it interacts with Luzon’s rugged terrain, the storm will re-emerge over the West Philippine Sea on the evening of November 17. At that point, it could restrengthen slightly, depending on environmental conditions such as wind shear and sea surface temperatures.
Stay Updated
For the latest updates, rely on trusted sources such as:
It is crucial to follow official forecasts, as they provide the most accurate and region-specific information.
Key Takeaways
- Stay Prepared: Secure loose objects, stock up on essentials, and know your evacuation routes.
- Follow Updates: Weather systems like Pepito can change paths or intensities; stay informed through local and international weather agencies.
- Act Early: If you’re in low-lying or flood-prone areas, consider moving to safer ground before conditions worsen.
The full impact of Super Typhoon Pepito is still unfolding, and areas along its path will experience dangerous conditions. Stay safe, and prioritize your family’s safety during this time.
Signal Force Warnings by PAGASA: What Do They Mean?
PAGASA uses Public Storm Warning Signals (PSWS) to inform the public about the severity of incoming tropical cyclones. Here’s a quick breakdown:
- Signal No. 1: Winds of 30–60 km/h expected in 36 hours; minimal damage anticipated.
- Signal No. 2: Winds of 61–120 km/h expected in 24 hours; moderate damage likely.
- Signal No. 3: Winds of 121–170 km/h expected in 18 hours; significant damage to structures.
- Signal No. 4: Winds of 171–220 km/h expected in 12 hours; widespread damage to communities.
- Signal No. 5: Winds above 220 km/h expected in 12 hours; catastrophic impacts expected.
Understanding the Typhoon Wind Scale
Typhoons are categorized based on sustained wind speeds:
| Category | Wind Speed | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Category 1 | 119–153 km/h | Minimal damage to structures. |
| Category 2 | 154–177 km/h | Moderate damage to homes. |
| Category 3 | 178–208 km/h | Devastating to buildings. |
| Category 4 | 209–251 km/h | Severe damage to structures. |
| Category 5 | >252 km/h | Catastrophic damage possible. |
A Super Typhoon is a storm with sustained winds exceeding 240 km/h—Man-yi fits squarely within this category.
Spotlight on Catanduanes: The First Line of Defense
Catanduanes, often referred to as the “Land of the Howling Winds,” is no stranger to typhoons. Its geographical location makes it the first area in the Philippines to experience Pacific typhoons.
Key Facts About Catanduanes
- Population: Approximately 260,000.
- Economy: Agriculture-based, with abaca farming as a primary livelihood.
- Storm Preparedness: Homes and structures are built with resilience in mind.
Despite its preparedness, the sheer intensity of Man-yi overwhelmed the island, leading to significant power outages and storm surge threats along coastal communities.
Call to Action: Support WestPacWx’s Patreon
Typhoon tracking and updates require resources and dedication. Robert Speta and his team at WestPacWx have been at the forefront of providing reliable, real-time storm information for over 15 years.
Your support can help improve these efforts by funding:
- High-quality graphics and tools.
- Expanding coverage for underserved regions.
- Continuous updates for those directly in harm’s way.
👉 Support WestPacWx on Patreon today!
FAQs About Typhoons
1. What is the difference between a typhoon, hurricane, and cyclone?
They are all the same weather phenomenon, but the naming depends on the location:
- Typhoon: Northwest Pacific.
- Hurricane: Atlantic and Northeast Pacific.
- Cyclone: South Pacific and Indian Ocean.
2. How does a typhoon form?
Typhoons form over warm tropical waters, where the heat causes air to rise, creating a low-pressure system. With sufficient moisture, wind, and favorable conditions, this can escalate into a tropical cyclone.
3. What is the most intense typhoon recorded?
Typhoon Haiyan (Yolanda) in 2013 holds the record for one of the most intense typhoons, with sustained winds exceeding 315 km/h.
4. How can I prepare for a typhoon?
- Secure loose objects around your property.
- Stock up on food, water, and essential supplies.
- Stay updated with official sources like PAGASA and JTWC.
The Road Ahead
Super Typhoon Man-yi / Pepito continues its destructive path but is expected to weaken as it moves further inland and interacts with landmasses. For those in affected areas, heed warnings, stay updated, and prioritize safety.
We at WestPacWx are committed to keeping you informed. Follow our updates, and if you can, consider supporting us on Patreon to help us provide better service for the region. Stay safe, and let’s weather this storm together.