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HEAVY RAINS HAVE TRIGGERED DEADLY FLOODING ACROSS THAILAND

At least 19 have been killed in Thailand this past week following unseasonably heavy rains which have ravaged the country.

The Interior Ministry says the disaster, triggered by a downpour that has hammered the region since New Year’s day, has affected more than 330,000 households.

 

An airport in the main southern city of Nakhon Si Thammarat was closed for 4 days due to the heavy rains. Authorities also suspended train services across much of the region.

This of course has also impacted resort destinations such as Phuket and Krabi which normally is crowded with foreign tourists in January thanks to the dry season and pleasant weather. But many people have reportedly changed or canceled their plans.

 

A Thai research institute estimates damage to the tourism and farming industries will top 2.3 billion dollars.

 

This recent heavy rainfall is really thanks to the north east monsoon but also a tropical low developing west of Thailand enhancing moisture flow over the country.  Just in the past 24hrs PRACHUAP KHIRIKHAN, Thailand south of Bangkok received 267mm of rainfall certainly contributing to the floods.

 

The heavy rains should continue to Wednesday before tapering off as the tropical low in the Bay of Bengal lifts north and towards Burma.

Coming of Age Day Japan Weekend Winter Weather Outlook

We are now getting in to mid-winter across Japan and its the time of year where snow lovers really start to put their happy hats and snow haters shut the blinds and wait for spring. Just on Thursday in to Friday parts of Gunma and Niigata seen well over 40cm of snowfall.

This coming weekend there will be a few opportunities for mother nature to add to the already heavy snow pack across Japan.  In fact much of Hokkaido is already seeing well above average snow totals thus far this winter as shown in the graphic below.

The rest of Honshu is seeing either average or slightly below average snow totals, not the best news but much better than what we were seeing a year ago this time.

The first opportunity for snow will be tonight through Friday morning, the classic winter weather pattern we see this time of year has set up with persistent north west winds dominating the forecast.

The second and more tricky to predict shot is going to coming in on Sunday night in to Monday morning.  As a winter sports lover I would be excited about Monday mornings conditions this coming weekend if the forecast plays out right.  (Monday is a National Holiday in Japan)

There is a storm system developing out of South East China and will track along the pacific coastline of Japan. Depending on  how far or close it tracks along the coast will determine how much snow falls in the mountains. Right now many numerical models are split but I will personally go with the JMA which is predicting a high snow total. Sites like Snowforecast.com are showing lower numbers but every model run this updates and becomes more accurate, so I would keep checking it if you are in the mountains.

One other thing to keep in mind is due to re-freeze and new snowfall on top of that the avalanche threat will remain in place for the time being. Parts of Hokkaido are being considered a “high” avalanche risk including the Niseko area. Something to keep in mind if heading out.

If you are heading to Nagano as well this weekend do check out the snow monkeys. Below is a video and some fun facts about them.

Western Pacific Tropical Update – 4 January 2017

Bottom Line Up Front: Strong Northeast Monsoon flow and wind shear persist across the basin while a weak disturbance persists east of Palau.

Tropical Analysis – 4 January 2017 0300 UTC


Current Storms: None

5-Day Tropical Discussion: Invest 95W was removed from the Automated Tropical Cyclone File. This is despite multiple model support—albeit weak—that has continued for consecutive runs and sustained convection along the north edge of the low pressure area. Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms continue with this weak circulation. This activity exists south of Yap between 135° and 145° E longitude, with the western periphery of the disturbance approaching Palau. Regardless of its “invest” status, increased showers are expected for Yap and Palau through the end of the week. By Friday, showers will increase for Mindanao as the remnant circulation approaches the eastern coast of the Philippines. There is better support for the circulation by the beginning of next week as the low passes Palawan and enters the South China Sea. If convection can persist and the remnants of 95W can avoid wind shear, there remains a slim possibility this can develop into a tropical depression, but chances continue to appear low at this time.

Another circulation has developed near the Equator by 157° E longitude. Given its proximity to the Equator and the continued support of the ITCZ remaining far south, development is not anticipated.

Elsewhere in the Western Pacific, tropical cyclone development is not expected to occur over the next five days.

Until next time, have a great day and take care. -Mike

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Western Pacific Tropical Update – 3 January 2017

Bottom Line Up Front: Weak disturbance persists between Papua New Guinea and Micronesia.

Tropical Analysis – 3 January 2017 0300 UTC



Current Storms: None

5-Day Tropical Discussion: Invest 95W continues marching south of the Caroline Islands at and south of 5°N latitude. Circulation remains weak and broad with scattered showers with little to no change in development is expected. Palau and Yap atolls will see increased showers from this disturbance continues moving west. Mindanao should expect increased precipitation probability on Friday. By this point there is a slim chance 95W may develop into a tropical depression, but chances appear to be low at this time.

Satellite Snapshot, Tropical Disturbance 95W – 3 January 2017 0000 UTC


Elsewhere in the Western Pacific, tropical cyclone development is not expected to occur over the next five days.

Until next time, have a great day and take care. -Mike

==================================================================

Disclaimer:

By making use of any information on this website, you agree to the following:

NO WARRANTIES: All of the information provided on this website is provided “AS-IS” and with NO WARRANTIES. No express or implied warranties of any type are made with respect to the information, or any use of the information, on this site. Westernpacificweather.com makes no representations and extends no warranties of any type as to the accuracy or completeness of any information or content on this website.

DISCLAIMER OF LIABILITY: Westernpacificweather.com specifically DISCLAIMS LIABILITY FOR INCIDENTAL OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES and assumes no responsibility or liability for any loss or damage suffered by any person as a result of the use or misuse of any of the information or content on this website. Westernpacificweather.com assumes or undertakes NO LIABILITY for any loss or damage suffered as a result of the use, misuse or reliance on the information and content on this website.

USE AT YOUR OWN RISK: This website is for informational purposes only. The opinions expressed within this website are the opinions of each contributor. Westernpacificweather.com urges you to consult with OFFICIAL sources for information whenever you feel a threat is impending.

All rights reserved. © 2017 Westernpacificweather.com