As Typhoon Usagi (known locally as “Ofel”) begins to weaken, all eyes in the Philippines turn to the powerful tropical system trailing behind it: Man-yi, which will soon become Typhoon Pepito upon entering the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). This weather system, currently intensifying over the Philippine Sea, threatens to bring further devastation to regions already reeling from consecutive storms.
With residents still recovering from recent typhoons, it’s essential to prepare for Pepito’s potentially significant impact. Below, we’ll delve into the status of both typhoons, key preparations, an FAQ section, and a summary of the 2024 typhoon season so far.
Current Situation: Typhoon Usagi and Typhoon Pepito
Usagi’s Departure
Typhoon Usagi has begun its trek northward, heading toward Taiwan after impacting northern Luzon. The system’s weakening trend has led to the lowering of typhoon signals in Luzon. However, remnants of heavy rains and flooding, especially in regions like Cagayan and Isabela, pose continued risks for landslides and flash flooding, especially in already saturated areas. Taiwan, now within Usagi’s projected path, is preparing for moderate impacts as the storm weakens further.
Pepito’s Intensification
In the wake of Usagi, Pepito (internationally known as Man-yi) has been strengthening, and forecasters anticipate it will reach typhoon status before landfall. Pepito is expected to enter PAR on Saturday, targeting regions in southeastern Luzon and possibly Samar. The likely timing of Pepito’s arrival and its path could cause heavy rains across the Bicol region and northern parts of the Visayas, as well as flash flooding and landslides. The country faces the significant challenge of continuous rain and wind damage from this sixth consecutive storm within the past month.
Impacts and Preparations for Pepito’s Arrival
Heavy Rainfall and Flooding Risks
Pepito is expected to bring heavy rainfall across parts of southeastern Luzon, including the Bicol region, as well as Metro Manila, which is likely to experience intermittent heavy showers. The National Capital Region (NCR) and surrounding areas should also be alert for sudden intense rains as Pepito moves closer. The Bicol region has seen extensive rainfall from previous storms, and the already saturated grounds amplify the risk of flash flooding and landslides, especially in mountainous areas.
Storm Surge and Dam Flooding
Storm surges are expected in coastal areas near Pepito’s landfall zone, which includes Samar, the Bicol region, and possibly Central Luzon. Additionally, Magat Dam and other reservoirs are operating at high levels following consecutive typhoons. Dam operators have been conducting controlled releases to prevent overflow, but should heavy rain from Pepito persist, local residents may face evacuation due to the risk of flooding in downstream areas.
Tracking Pepito’s Path
According to the Japan Meteorological Agency, Pepito is expected to move towards the north-northwest, potentially making landfall by Saturday evening or early Sunday morning. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center and the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a similar path, predicting Pepito will cross central Luzon, affecting regions as far south as the NCR and possibly as far north as Pangasinan. Meteorologists are closely monitoring the storm for any deviations that could shift its potential impact zone.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
1. Why are there so many typhoons hitting the Philippines this season?
The current 2024 typhoon season has been unusually active due to a combination of factors, including warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures and shifting atmospheric conditions that favor storm formation. Increased ocean temperatures allow storms to gain strength more quickly, leading to more frequent and intense typhoons across the western Pacific.
2. How should I prepare for Typhoon Pepito?
Prepare an emergency kit with essentials like food, water, and first aid supplies. Check your home for any structural issues, secure loose items, and monitor the latest updates from local authorities. If you live in flood-prone or coastal areas, consider relocating to safer ground well in advance of the storm’s arrival.
3. What’s the difference between Pepito and Man-yi?
Pepito is the local name assigned by PAGASA (Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration) for the typhoon once it enters the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). Internationally, this storm is referred to as Man-yi.
4. Will Pepito affect Metro Manila?
Yes, Metro Manila is likely to experience heavy rain and strong winds as Pepito makes its way across Luzon. Flash flooding is a concern, especially in low-lying and densely populated areas.
5. How long will this stormy period last?
Meteorologists suggest that Pepito may be the last major system for a while, with a brief period of quieter weather expected once the typhoon season slows. However, residents should remain vigilant, as climate patterns can change unexpectedly.
Summary of the 2024 Typhoon Season So Far
This year has been a record-breaking typhoon season for the Philippines and the broader western Pacific region. Here’s a summary of the major storms so far:
- Typhoon Christine (late October) – Impacted central Luzon, bringing torrential rain and extensive flooding.
- Typhoon Nika – Made landfall near northern Luzon, dumping over 400 millimeters of rain in parts of Cagayan and Isabela, resulting in significant river swelling and landslides.
- Typhoon Leon (Kong-rey) – Struck northwestern Luzon with gusty winds and moderate rains, but left extensive infrastructure damage in its path.
- Typhoon Usagi (Ofel) – Brought high winds and intense rains to northern Luzon, causing additional strain on reservoirs and flood-prone areas.
- Upcoming Typhoon Pepito (Man-yi) – Expected to bring heavy rains and potentially severe flooding to parts of Luzon, including NCR and Bicol, over the weekend.
In addition to these primary storms, multiple weaker tropical storms and depressions have also brought rain and challenging weather conditions. The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) notes that five typhoons in a single month is historically high, contributing to widespread weather fatigue.
Preparation Tips for Future Storms
After a taxing typhoon season, Filipinos are well-versed in storm preparedness. Here are a few key actions to keep in mind:
- Stay Informed: Monitor updates from reliable sources such as PAGASA, the Japan Meteorological Agency, and local news. Stay aware of any evacuation advisories and shelter locations.
- Check Local Infrastructure: Given that many dams and rivers are near capacity, it’s vital to keep up with local flood warnings and road closures. Avoid crossing flooded streets and bridges.
- Prepare Your Home and Family: With storms on such a consistent basis, be sure to secure rooftops, windows, and essential belongings. Establish a family communication plan and identify safe spaces within your home.
Conclusion
As the Philippines faces yet another typhoon with Pepito, communities are bracing for another onslaught of wind and rain. This relentless 2024 typhoon season has brought devastation across Luzon and other regions, but it has also highlighted the resilience of Filipino communities. Despite the challenging conditions, people across the country are supporting one another, staying informed, and preparing effectively to face each new storm.
Typhoon Pepito will soon be the latest test of that resilience. In the face of storm fatigue and difficult conditions, it’s essential to maintain vigilance, cooperate with local authorities, and prepare for the coming days.
Stay safe, stay prepared, and keep a close eye on official updates as the Philippines braces for Pepito’s arrival.