Typhoon Tino, known internationally as Kalmaegi, is moving away from the Philippines on Wednesday after crossing northern Palawan, while another system, Fung-Wong (Uwan), continues to intensify south of Guam.
Forecast models from the GFS and ECMWF show Fung-Wong tracking west across the Philippine Sea with the potential to reach super typhoon strength before nearing northeastern Luzon between Sunday night and Monday morning. Peak winds could reach up to 120 knots, with some weakening possible prior to landfall due to interaction with the northeast monsoon and upper-level wind shear.
Data from the Google DeepMind weather model also indicates the storm could reach Category 5 intensity over open water before dropping to around Category 3 as it nears landfall. Despite variations in model timing, ensemble guidance continues to show high confidence in a track toward Aurora and Isabela provinces.
The developing system will also affect Guam, where inflow on the eastern side of the storm is expected to bring heavy rainfall through Thursday and Friday. As the storm tightens and moves west, rapid intensification is likely across the Philippine Sea.
Meanwhile, Tino is expected to strengthen again over the South China Sea, approaching Vietnam by Thursday night as a strong typhoon. Sustained winds near 155 kilometers per hour and pressures around 950 hPa are possible at landfall, bringing additional flooding to areas already saturated from the northeast monsoon.
Flooding across parts of Cebu, Leyte, Negros, and Panay remains significant following Tino’s passage, though some areas are now seeing gradual improvement. Conditions are forecast to continue easing for central and southern sections of the Philippines over the next few days.