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ONSET OF THE RAINY SEASON IN THE WESTERN PACIFIC

The Philippines is on the verge of entering the rainy season, as signs point toward the imminent arrival of the Southwest Monsoon, locally known as the Habagat. While the exact date of onset will be officially declared by PAGASA, atmospheric conditions this week suggest that change is already underway. The broader monsoon circulation appears to […]

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Uncertainty Grows Over Potential Tropical Development Near the Philippines

The potential for tropical development east of the Philippines remains uncertain as various weather models present conflicting forecasts for early May. The Global Forecast System (GFS) model has consistently projected the development of a strong typhoon off the Philippine east coast around May 4. However, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and other

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Explosive Cyclone Rapidly Strengthens Near Northwestern Australia

A tropical cyclone undergoing extreme intensification in the eastern Indian Ocean has rapidly strengthened into a Category 5 storm just off the northwest coast of Australia, according to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC). Winds were estimated at 140 knots (260 km/h) on the Saffir-Simpson scale — not the regional Australian cyclone scale — placing

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